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Slovenia vs Kazakhstan
Slovenia has been having a really solid qualification campaign with 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses and 18-8 in goals. Especially at home Slovenia has been strong with 3 wins and 1 draw in 4 games, the only draw came against Denmark, the best team in the group but overall Slovenia has everything in their favour to move to the Euro 2024, they just need a draw here against a team they already beat on the road by 2:1.
Kazakhstan has been a really good surprise in this group stage, they are in 3rd place and only 1 point behind Slovenia for the qualification and personally I wasn't expecting that because I taught it would be Finland fighting with Slovenia for the 2nd place. Kazakhstan has 6 wins and 3 losses in 9 games with 15-10 in goals and on the road they won 3 games and lost 1 and even their road record is good they beat San Marino by 3:0 what is very normal but than they beat Northern Ireland by 1:0 and Finland by 2:1 too but even those results in theory are amazing because they won they were lucky in both games to beat their opponents.
For Slovenia it's easy, a draw is enough to advance to the Euro 2024 but I don't believe they will risk it to play for a draw. Also knowing that for Kazakhstan only the win matters here they will need to risk a bit more in this game and will need to attack, especially if the game is a draw in the 2nd half and overall that type of game benefits Slovenia strenghts and that's why I overall believe that Slovenia in the end will win this game and get their ticket to the EURO 2024.