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芬兰人,有自己投注模型,公开记录的2136场比赛场均盈利率超10%
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2021-04-24

比赛分析

瑞超

已完赛

星期六2021-04-24 21:00

解读理由

A good example of what a meaningless info the first few games may give for the season! After 2 rounds Häcken are at 0 points, Sirius at 4.

Häcken were in my papers along DIF the only team possibly able to challenge Malmö for the title, Sirius are a midtable team class-wise at best. They are already in the Swedish cup final, ended up 3rd last season and have gotten stronger this season with new classy players like Jeremejeff and Olsson

Häcken did admittedly fail their opening game, but it was away at the newly promoted side and those teams tend to be at their best in the start of the season, and on 2nd round they hosted Malmö themselves. It was unlucky loss, Häcken created 13 shots, and the both ended up in about 1.5 worth of goal expectation.

At injury front things are looking good as also their new signing, Sweden international Martin Olsson has recovered to do his debut, and only Friberg and Irandust are in the injury list for sure. Centre-back Toivio got a minor knock v Malmö but should be able to start.

Sirius did start well, a draw away at Norrköping is a decent result, a home win v Halmstad more like an expected one. The results did not come easily though, a draw would had been the fairest result v Halmstad, and their defense also let Norrköping shoot 14 times and it usually well enough for a win!

Not much expected changes in Sirius lineup, right-back Ståhl is likely to return.

I see things getting normalized, the class-difference between these teams is big, but in case another failure here it would already be a mini crisis at Häcken!

2-0

赫根是在我认为唯一可能挑战马尔默的团队,天狼星充其量是一个中等级别的团队。他们已经进入了瑞典杯决赛,上个赛季排名第三,本赛季有了杰里米杰夫和奥尔森这样的新球员,他们变得更强了

赫根确实输掉了他们的首场比赛,但这是在客场,这些球队往往在赛季开始时处于最佳状态,在第二轮他们主场迎战马尔默。这是一场不幸的失利,赫根创造了13次射门,两场比赛的进球期望值都在1.5左右。

在伤病方面,情况看起来很好,他们的新引援,瑞典国脚马丁·奥尔森已经恢复并进行了他的首秀,只有弗里伯格和伊兰德斯特肯定会在伤病名单上。中后卫托维奥在对马尔默的比赛中受了点轻伤,但是应该能够首发。

天狼星开局不错,在北雪平的平局是一个不错的结果,一个主场战胜哈尔姆斯塔德更像是一个预期的结果。结果并不容易,平局对哈尔姆斯塔德应该是最公平的结果,他们的防守也让北雪平有14次射门,这通常足以赢得一场胜利!

天狼星的阵容没有太多预期的变化,右后卫Ståhl可能会回归。

我看到事情变得正常化了,这些团队之间的阶级差异很大

看好赫根,比分参考2 - 0

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