In my opinion Blackpool is clear favorite of today's match up and should be able to make 3 points.

I see big difference between both teams in terms of quality, potential and ambitions. Blackpool have been relegated from Championship and wants to back there as soon as possible. Shrewsbury is bottom half of the table team in League One standards and their main goal is to avoid relegation at the end of the season.

Blackpool coming for this game in solid form as they won 5 of last 9 matches. 2 losses during that run, both against teams from top4. Blackpool looking good front of home crowd - 5 wins in 9 rounds (2 wins in 2 matches against teams from bottom 7 in table)and scored 17 goals. Blackpool is very dangerous in attack - only 3 teams in whole league produced higher number of expected goals scored. They are OK at the back - they are better in that department than half of the league (according to the expected goals conceded model).

Shrewsbury is very poor on the road. In previous season they lost more than 50% matches on away. In current campaign they are even worse - 6 losses in 8 away matches with horrible 2:12 goals balance. Shrewsbury recorded only one win on the road - against Fleetwood from relegation zone. Guests defensive formation is very leaky - only 4 teams in whole league have higher expected goals conceded number.

Blackpool scored more than one goal in 5 of last 6 matches in all competitions and they should be able to continue good streak today as well. Shrewsbury conceded more than one goal in last 6 consecutive matches.

More than one goal for Blackpool should be enough to make 3 points here.

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在我看来，布莱克浦是今天比赛中最受欢迎的球队，他们应该能得到3分。

我看到了两支球队在质量、潜力和雄心方面的巨大差异。布莱克浦已经从英冠降级，希望尽快回到那里。什鲁斯伯里在英甲联赛中排名靠后，他们的主要目标是在本赛季结束后保级。

布莱克浦以稳定的状态来参加这场比赛，他们在过去的9场比赛中赢了5场。在这段时间里输了2场，都是对阵top4的球队。布莱克浦在主场看起来不错，9轮5胜(2场2胜，对手是排名倒数7的球队)，进17球。布莱克浦在进攻端非常危险，全联赛只有3支球队的预期进球数比他们高。他们的后防线还行——他们在后防线上的表现比联赛中一半的球队都要好(根据预期失球模型)。

什鲁斯伯里的道路非常贫瘠。在上个赛季，他们在客场输掉了超过50%的比赛。在目前的比赛中，他们的表现更糟了——8场客场6负，2:12的进球平衡非常糟糕。什鲁斯伯里在客场只取得了一场胜利——对阵降级区的弗利特伍德。客队的防守阵型漏洞百出，全联盟只有4支球队的失球预期数比客队高。

布莱克浦在最近的6场比赛中有5场进球超过1球，他们今天应该也能继续保持良好的势头。什鲁斯伯里在最近的6场比赛中丢了一个以上的球。

如果布莱克浦能进一个以上的球就足以在这里得到3分了。

11月18日布莱克浦 VS 什鲁斯比赛分析直播