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End of season in Italy with good odds

2021-04-24

比赛分析

意甲

已完赛

星期日2021-04-25 00:00

解读理由

A rich Saturday in terms of different betting options. I would say the selection is so big, that we’re spoilt for choice. So I am focusing first and foremost on the options, which I would call a “must have”.

First one is in Italy, where relegated (de-facto) Crotone takes on Parma. Hosts are in shallow waters themselves aftert the dramatic last minute 3-4 loss to Cagliari, which may in the end prove really costly and send them to Serie B.

While Crotone has already given up and the recent run of results clearly suggests that they are done. 0-1 against Sampdoria in an absolutely colourless and dead game in the previous round was a follow up to a similar 1-2 defeat against Udinese. The last time I saw Crotone really on fire as a result was against Spezia in the 2-3 defeat and Napoli in the crazy 3-4 loss.

If we compare how the team approached their last round fixture against Sampdoria and what we saw from them in the Spezia game - it would be a difference like between day and night.

Parma has been ferociously fighting for life in recent rounds, but all in vain. A shocker turnaround in the away game against Cagliari, where they let 3-2 lead slip to 3-4 defeat in stoppage time; then a decent effort against Juventus, which still ended in a 1-3 defeat. To Parma’s credit, they are scoring goals, but systematically failing to hold on the lead.

While relegation seems close to inevitable for Parma, they still have reasons to believe and should not give up without a fight. The club is ambitious enough being owned by Americans and having signed Director of Football from Zenit (Rybalta) earlier in the month. They have serious plans and to fulfil them a win against morally exhausted Crotone is required.

I was honestly expecting odds around 1.50, but then came to realize why we have 1.80 at hand - Parma has only won 3 (!!) games all season in 32 rounds. Even less than Crotone. Well, maybe we will only have a reason to thank Parma for this and the win on Saturday. You can save yourselves with a bet on Crotone around 5.00 odds. This game SHOULD NOT end in a draw.

在意大利,降级的(事实上的)克罗托内迎战帕尔马。帕尔马在最后一分钟3-4负于卡利亚里的戏剧性比赛后也陷入了困境,球队的保级压力也非常大。

而克罗托内已经放弃了,最近的结果清楚地表明他们已经放弃了。继1-2输给乌迪内斯之后,上一轮0-1输给桑普多利亚,这场比赛毫无生气,毫无生气。我看到克罗托内在2-3输给斯佩齐亚和3-4输给那不勒斯的比赛中表现很差。

如果我们比较他们上一轮对阵桑普多利亚的表现和他们在斯佩齐亚的比赛中所看到的,那将会是天壤之别。

帕尔马在最近几轮激烈地为生存而战,但一切都是徒劳的。在客场对阵卡利亚里的比赛中一个令人震惊的逆转,在伤停补时阶段,他们3-2的领先却3-4输了;对阵尤文图斯时的精彩表现,最终以1-3落败告终。值得称道的是,他们不断进球,但却未能保持领先。

虽然帕尔玛的保级似乎是不可避免的,但他们仍然有理由相信,不应该不战而退。俱乐部已经足够雄心勃勃了,并在本月早些时候从泽尼特签下了足球总监(雷巴尔塔)。他们有严肃的计划,要实现这些计划,就必须战胜精神疲惫的克罗托内。

看好帕尔马得分。

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