Werder Bremen VS Eintracht Frankfurt

Werder Bremen welcome Frankfurt for this German Bundesliga round 11 clash at Weserstadion early Monday morning Beijing time. This is the third-best league in the world after the English Premier League and the Spanish LaLiga. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind can expect a match of mediocre level by the Bundesliga standards here. Frankfurt currently occupy the 7th place in the standings. They have 17 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is lower – 14.45 to be precise. They have netted the ball only 15 times in the Bundesliga so far! That is less than Werder Bremen who have scored 16 goals. Frankfurt's defense has been surprisingly strong though and they have conceded only nine goals. However, this number is misleading. Their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 14.56. Away from home their defence has looked more vulnerable than at home. Even so, their defense has a better structure and their defenders make less silly mistakes than those of Werder Bremen. The hosts have allowed 20 goals but their number of xGA is 17.89. As a whole Frankfurt are the better team but the difference between the teams is much smaller than the bookies seem to estimate. Bremen are having a pretty good season and are in 12th place. They have 10 points in their pocket but their number of xPTS is 13.32. Away from home Werder Bremen are not a strong team but their loud and loyal fans offer them a massive boost! Indeed, they have lost just one of their last 11 games at home. With the expected lineups, taking the substantial home advantage into account, the hosts deserve to be slim favourites here. We will take the Bremen +0.5 goals handicap option. Frankfurt are missing Koch, Loune, Rode and Simoni. The hosts are without only Gross and Pavlenka. Frankfurt played a surprisingly balanced game in Helsinki against HJK on Thursday in UEFA Europe Conference League. They won 1-0 as big favourites – priced around 1.40 to win - but did not impress me. HJK were very close to making it 1-1 late into the second half. They have had only two full days to rest and prepare which is far from ideal in professional football. The flight from Helsinki is some 2.5 hours – not an optimal way to recover! Bremen took a nice 2-2 draw as very clear underdogs in their last game – away from home. Both teams generated 2.01 in xG.

云达不莱梅VS法兰克福

北京时间周一凌晨，云达不莱梅将在威西体育场迎来德甲第11轮对阵法兰克福。这是世界上第三好的联赛，仅次于英超和西甲。足球爱好者和我们这些着眼长远利益的严肃投注者可以期待一场以德甲标准衡量的中等水平的比赛。法兰克福目前排名第七。他们的账户上有17分。然而，它们的期望值(xPTS)较低，准确地说是14.45。到目前为止，他们在德甲联赛中只有15次进球!这比打进16球的云达不莱梅少。法兰克福的防守非常强大，他们只丢了9个球。然而，这个数字具有误导性。他们的预期进球数(xGA)是14.56。在客场，他们的防守看起来比在主场更加脆弱。即便如此，他们的防守结构比云达不莱梅更好，他们的后卫犯的愚蠢错误也比云达不莱梅少。东道主丢了20个球，但他们的射门数是17.89。整体而言，法兰克福是一支更好的球队，但两队之间的差距比博彩公司估计的要小得多。不莱梅本赛季表现不错，排在第12位。他们已经拿到了10分，但是他们的得分是13.32分。在客场，云达不莱梅并不是一支强队，但他们的忠实球迷给了他们巨大的鼓舞!事实上，他们在过去的11场主场比赛中只输了一场。考虑到预期的阵容，考虑到主场的优势，东道主在这里应该是微弱的热门。我们将选择不莱梅+0.5个进球障碍的选项。法兰克福没有科赫、劳恩、罗德和西蒙尼。东道主没有格罗斯和帕夫连卡。周四在赫尔辛基的欧洲联赛中，法兰克福与jk的比赛出奇的平衡。他们以1比0的大热门获胜——胜率约为1.40英镑——但并没有给我留下深刻印象。下半时，hkk非常接近将比分扳成1-1。他们只有整整两天的休息和准备时间，这在职业足球中是很不理想的。从赫尔辛基起飞大约需要2.5个小时，这可不是最佳的恢复方式!不来梅在上一场客场比赛中以2比2战平对手，显然处于劣势。两支队伍在xG中都产生了2.01。