Przem头像
外籍分析师
英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
  • 773

    方案

  • 1278

    粉丝

20/15 in my last Champions League bets

2023-10-25

比赛分析

主队莱红牛LOGO

莱红牛

欧冠

已完赛

星期四2023-10-26 03:00

客队贝红星LOGO

贝红星

解读理由

In my opinion Crvena Zvezda have really good chances to avoid big loss in this game. +1.5 AH on away side looks like smart option to play.


Obviously, Crvena is big underdog in this game, but they coming for this game without any pressure on their shoulders, simply they don’t have nothing to lose. Crvena have good potential in attack – in Serbian league they scored 28 goals in 10 rounds (8 wins in the process). They already showed their offensive potential in first matches in this group. Crvena scored in both matches, against Manchester City and Young Boys (3 goals in total) and produced 3.51 expected goals scored. Winger Bukari is really dangerous, he scored in both matches and he will be hard to stop also today. I believe Crvena have all required tools to score at least one goal today.


RBL is still without their key defender Orban and this is huge blow, no doubt about that. Hosts without big stability or consistency at the back. They conceded at least one goal in 5 of last 7 matches in all competitions so I’m really not sure about their clean sheet today. On the other hand RBL really overperforming in attack. So far they scored 19 goals in 8 Bundesliga matches. On the paper – great achievement, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score only 11.5 goals. It’s huge difference at this stage of the season. In addition to that Crvena is under huge pressure, everyone expecting their win. No room for error and for sure is not easy to handle.


Hosts coach Rose don’t have good memories from matches against Crvena, in past he was Salzburg coach and have been knocked out by Serbian team in Champions League qualies.


Crvena is able to score and that should be enough to avoid big loss here. I see great value in this HC line.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,斑马队在这场比赛中有很好的机会避免大的损失。客场+1.5 AH看起来是个明智的选择。


显然,克雷维纳在这场比赛中处于劣势,但他们没有任何压力,只是他们没有什么可失去的。克雷维纳在进攻端有很好的潜力——在塞尔维亚联赛中,他们在10轮比赛中打进28球(8胜)。他们已经在小组赛的首场比赛中展示了他们的进攻潜力。克雷维纳在两场比赛中都有进球,对阵曼城和少年队(共3球),并产生了3.51个预期进球。边锋布卡里真的很危险,他在两场比赛中都有进球,今天他也很难被阻止。我相信尤文今天至少有一个进球。


RBL仍然没有他们的关键后卫欧尔班,这是一个巨大的打击,毫无疑问。主机没有大的稳定性或一致性在后面。在最近的7场比赛中,他们有5场至少丢了一个球,所以我真的不确定他们今天的零封。另一方面,RBL在进攻方面确实表现出色。到目前为止,他们在8场德甲比赛中打进19球。在纸上-伟大的成就,但根据预期进球得分模型,他们应该只进11.5个球。在赛季的这个阶段,这是巨大的不同。除此之外,克雷维纳承受着巨大的压力,每个人都期待着他们的胜利。没有犯错的余地,肯定是不容易处理的。


东道主教练罗斯对与克维纳的比赛并没有什么美好的回忆,过去他是萨尔茨堡的教练,曾在欧冠预选赛中被塞尔维亚队淘汰。


克雷维纳有能力得分,这应该足以避免大的损失。我认为这条HC线很有价值。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。