In my opinion Borussia have bigger chances to avoid loss in this game than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

Borussia started slow in this group, they have only one point after two rounds and failed to score in both matches so far. Borussia scored at least one goal in 25 of last 31 Champions League matches and I believe they have all required tools to score at least one goal today. They are simply too good to continue such horrible streak. Borussia offensive midfielder Julian Brandt is really creative and productive player. In first two matches he created 8 chances – it’s the highest result in whole Champions League! Guests coming for this game full of confidence as they didn’t lost a single match in Bundesliga. 6 wins and 2 draws in 8 round. Borussia also have much bigger experience at this stage and that should also make some difference at the end of the day.

Two years ago Newcastle was on last position in Premier League table, that’s was long road to the place where they are now, but team have really slim experience on this level, same as coach coach Howe. Midfielder Longstaff said: "Even sat here doing a press conference before a Champions League game seemed impossible.’’ Newcastle have 4 points after first two matches in this group, but their results looks much better than really should. Newcastle scored 4 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score only 1.2. It’s huge difference. They conceded one goal, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 2.92.

Borussia is not worse team in overall, but they have much bigger experience and offensive formation at least on same level (in first two matches Borussia produced 14 shots more than Newcastle). I believe guests are able to score at least one goal and at least avoid loss in this game.

该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:

在我看来，在这场比赛中，博罗斯队有更大的机会避免输球，而不是博彩公司给我们的赔率。

俄罗斯队在小组中开局较慢，两轮过后仅积1分，目前两场比赛均未进球。在过去的31场欧冠比赛中，有25场比赛，俄罗斯至少进了一个球，我相信他们今天都具备了至少进一个球的条件。他们太优秀了，不能继续这种糟糕的连胜。俄罗斯队的进攻中场朱利安·勃兰特是一个非常有创造力和生产力的球员。在前两场比赛中，他创造了8个机会——这是整个欧冠联赛的最高成绩!客人们对这场比赛充满信心，因为他们在德甲8轮6胜2平，没有输过一场比赛。切尔西在这个阶段也有更丰富的经验，这也会在比赛结束时带来一些不同。

两年前纽卡斯尔还在英超积分榜上垫底，他们走了很长一段路才走到现在的位置，但球队在这个级别上的经验真的很有限，就像主教练豪一样。中场球员朗斯塔夫说:“在欧冠赛前坐在这里开新闻发布会似乎都是不可能的。“纽卡斯尔在小组赛的前两场比赛中得到4分，但他们的结果看起来比实际情况要好得多。纽卡斯尔进了4球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该只进1.2球。这是巨大的差异。他们丢了一球，但根据预期丢球模型，他们应该丢2.92球。

总的来说，切尔西并不差，但他们的经验和进攻阵型至少在同一水平上(前两场比赛中，切尔西比纽卡斯尔多射门14次)。我相信客人在这场比赛中至少能进一个球，至少能避免输球。

10月26日纽卡斯尔 VS 多特蒙德比赛分析直播