Sepsi OSK Sfantul Gheorghe VS FC Botosani

Sepsi welcome Botosani for this Romanian Liga 1 round 13 battle at Stadionul Sepsi late Monday Beijing time. This league is of mediocre level by European standards. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors cannot, unfortunately, expect a match of very high level by this league’ standards. Both teams are having a disappointing season. I have lowered both Sepsi’s and Botosani’s power rating from my in-depth early season analysis. This rating reflects the teams’ pure class with the best possible starting eleven. Even so, there is a significant difference in class between these two teams! Sepsi have a very clear edge over Botosani in terms of defensive quality. Indeed, Botosani have allowed a whopping 21 goals in this league so far. It is hard to write anything positive about their defence – especially in away games it has been very shaky.. It has a poor structure; silly individual mistakes are common and the midfielders have not participated in defending enough in many matches. They have allowed nine goals in their last three games. Their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 23.35. They have lost three games in a row and have taken a win in the Liga 1 on the 20th of May! What a horrible record that is! They have clearly looked very low in confidence lately. Furthermore, according to my sources their team spirit is far from great.. They are currently in last place in the standings in this league with a total of 16 clubs. Last season they finished in 7th place in the Relegation Group where 10 clubs played in the second half of the season. Yes, they can improve as the season progresses but probably not that much.. Even buying a few new players would probably not help them significantly.. They are at big risk of being relegated to the second tier. The bookies seem to give their potential more emphasis than I do.. The biggest bookies, with the largest betting limits, offer the hosts odds of around 1.55 at the time of writing this preview Monday evening Beijing time. I also want to mention that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com their squad has an estimated total market value of only around eight million euros. This is a low number by the Liga 1 standards. The Sepsi squad, on the other hand, has a market value of around 15 million but this number is too low! I would say that 19-20 million is a more accurate number.

In their last game Botosani lost to FCSB 0-1 at home. It was not an abysmal performance, but the visitors were still clearly the better team on the pitch. They had 65% ball possession and recorded 12 goal attempts, Botosani managed only four. Before this, Botosani were awful and lost 1-5 to Univ. Craiova away from home. The hosts had 64% ball possession and recorded a whopping 25 goal attempts. Moreover, they also had many more shots on goal (15-2), corner kicks (7-1), attacks and dangerous attacks - 97-44. Sepsi’s last results are not impressive either, but they have still looked much better than Botosani in most of their matches recently. They currently occupy the 13th place with 12 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is 16.15. At home their record is pretty good, and they have lost just one of their latest 10 games in front of their loud and loyal fans. Last season they played well and finished in 6th place in the Championship Group. They struggled offensively in this league this season – scoring the same number as Botosani – 11. Sepsi's number of expected goals (xG) is 14.87. They have potential to improve significantly as the season progresses . I believe one win would make miracles to their confidence and I expect them to be very aggressive here, putting big pressure on Botosani's defence right from the kick off. The strong last season brought them a place in UEFA Europa Conference League qualification where they played surprisingly well. They beat CSKA Sofia and Aktobe who are not bad teams at all. In the last round of qualification, they challenged a strong Norwegian team, Bodo/Glimt very well despite being heavy underdogs on the betting market. This proves that they are a much better team than the Liga 1 standings would reflect. The Norwegians beat Sepsi in extra time 3-2 in the second leg – 5-4 on aggregate. In their latest match they were mediocre and lost to Poli Lasi 0-1 away from home. Their player, C Matei, missed a penalty in the 4th minute. They did have 55% ball possession and recorded more attacks and dangerous attacks in this game but lacked offensive creativity. However, I want to mention that Poli Lasi also defended very well in this game. Before this they faced U. Cluj, currently in 2nd place, away from home and lost 0-1 as clear underdogs according to the bookies. It was a decent performance despite the narrow defeat. The hosts recorded just one more shot on goal than Sepsi.

乔治VS波托萨尼

北京时间周一晚些时候，罗马尼亚西甲联赛第13轮比赛将在塞普西体育场举行。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛处于中等水平。不幸的是，足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者，不能指望以这个联赛的标准来看一场非常高水平的比赛。这两个队都有一个令人失望的赛季。我在赛季初的深度分析中降低了Sepsi和Botosani的能量评级。这个排名反映了球队的纯粹等级，有最好的首发11人。即便如此，这两支球队在班级上还是有很大的不同!在防守质量方面，塞普西比博托萨尼有明显的优势。事实上，到目前为止，博托萨尼已经在联赛中丢了21个球。很难对他们的防守做出任何积极的评价，尤其是在客场比赛中，他们的防守非常不稳定。它的结构很差;愚蠢的个人失误是常见的，中场球员在很多比赛中没有足够的参与防守。他们在最近三场比赛中丢了9个球。他们的预期进球数(xGA)是23.35。他们已经连续输了三场比赛，并在5月20日的联赛中取得了一场胜利!多么糟糕的记录啊!他们最近显然信心很低。此外，根据我的消息来源，他们的团队精神远非伟大。他们目前在这个联赛中排名最后，共有16家俱乐部。上个赛季，他们在下半赛季有10支球队参加的保级组中排名第7。是的，他们可以随着赛季的进展而进步，但可能不会那么多。即使是购买一些新球员也不会给他们带来很大帮助。他们很有可能被降级到乙级联赛。博彩公司似乎比我更重视他们的潜力。在北京时间周一晚上撰写本文时，最大的博彩公司提供的赔率约为1.55，投注限额也最大。我还想提一下，根据德国一家知名和受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com，他们的球队的总市值估计只有800万欧元左右。以西甲的标准来看，这是一个很低的数字。另一方面，Sepsi队的市场价值约为1500万欧元，但这个数字太低了!我认为1900万到2000万是一个更准确的数字。

在上一场比赛中，博托萨尼主场0-1不敌FCSB。这并不是一场糟糕的比赛，但客队显然在球场上表现得更好。他们有65%的控球率，有12次射门，博托萨尼只有4次。在此之前，博托萨尼表现糟糕，客场1-5输给了克拉约瓦大学。东道主拥有64%的控球率，并且有多达25次的进球尝试。此外，他们也有更多的射门(15胜2负)、角球(7胜1负)、进攻和危险进攻(97胜44负)。赛普西最近的成绩也不令人印象深刻，但在最近的大多数比赛中，他们看起来仍然比博托萨尼要好得多。他们目前以12分排名第13位。然而，它们的期望点数(xPTS)是16.15。在主场，他们的战绩相当不错，最近的10场比赛中，他们在忠实的球迷面前只输了一场。上个赛季他们踢得很好，在冠军小组中排名第六。本赛季他们在进攻端表现不佳，得分和博托萨尼一样，只有11分。Sepsi的预期进球数(xG)为14.87。随着赛季的进行，他们有潜力取得显著进步。我相信一场胜利会给他们的信心带来奇迹，我希望他们在这里非常有侵略性，从开球开始就给博托萨尼的防守施加巨大的压力。上个赛季的强势让他们在欧联杯资格赛中获得了一席之地，在那里他们踢得出奇的好。他们击败了索菲亚中央陆军和阿克托贝，这两支球队一点也不差。在最后一轮资格赛中，他们挑战了一支强大的挪威队伍Bodo/Glimt，尽管在投注市场上他们处于劣势。这证明了他们是一支比联赛积分榜所反映的要好得多的球队。挪威人在第二回合的加时赛中以3比2击败了塞弗西，总比分是5比4。在最近一场比赛中，他们表现平平，客场0-1不敌波利西。他们的球员C·马泰在第4分钟罚丢了一个点球。他们有55%的控球率，在这场比赛中有更多的进攻和危险进攻，但缺乏进攻创造力。不过，我想说的是，波利拉西在这场比赛中防守也很好。在此之前，他们面对的是目前排名第二的克鲁日，客场0-1输掉了比赛