Heidenheim vs Augsburg

Heidenheim welcome Augsburg for this German Bundesliga round 8 battle at Voith-Arena late Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the third-best league in the world after the English Premier League and the Spanish LaLiga. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors who go for long-term profit can expect a match of slightly worse than average level by the Bundesliga standards here. Heidenheim were promoted to this level from the 2. Bundesliga for this season and I expect a very hard season for them. Augsburg finished in the 15th place last season. Heidenheim lack quality in all areas of the game to really compete successfully at this level. They are a very small team in terms of financial standards, historical success and especially players' total market value for this level. The capacity of Voith-Arena is only 15 000. The home advantage is there but it is smaller than on average in this league. The hosts do not have very good fans. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the hosts’ squad is valued at only around 40 million euros. This is a very low number by the Bundesliga standards. I would say that the fair number would be slightly higher though. The Augsburg squad has an estimated total market value of close to 120 million. This is more or less correct in my opinion.

Most of my fans probably know by now that I never let the standings fool me. They have grabbed a total of seven points, but their number of expected points (xPTS) is only 4.35. This is the second-lowest number in the league! They are in the 17th place in my power rating in this league with a total of 18 clubs. This rating reflects the teams’ pure class with the best possible starting eleven. They have netted the ball ten times, but their number of expected goals (xG) is 8.87. Their defence has been shaky, and they have conceded 15 goals. Many of their players are very inexperienced for this level and fighting hard is not enough to defend well enough. Their defensive structure has not been bad as such at home but the players’ individual skill level and running pace is relatively poor. I want to highlight that their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 20.45. This is clearly the biggest number in the Bundesliga. Augsburg are, of course, not a great team but still deserve to be the favourites here – not very clear though. The biggest bookies who accept the largest bets from customers disagree and offer the hosts odds of around 2.35to win at the time of writing this preview late Saturday evening Beijing time. Augsburg +0.5 goals handicap option is the obvious smart bet here to try to extend our hot streak! They have just five points in their pocket but have had a lot of bad luck this season. Indeed, their number of xPTS is 9.34! In their last game they lost to Greuther Furth 0-1. It was a friendly match though. Before this they deservedly lost to Frankfurt 0-2 away from home. They generated 0.67 in xG – Frankfurt controlled the game for most of the 90 minutes and recorded 2.21 in xG as well as many more goal attempts and shots on target (6-2). Augsburg, too, lost their most recent match against Darmstadt after a mediocre performance. The match was a balanced one and could have gone either way. The ball possession was 49-51% and both teams recorded 17 goal attempts.

海登海姆vs奥格斯堡

北京时间周日晚，海德登海姆将在沃伊特球场迎来德甲第八轮对阵奥格斯堡的比赛。这是世界上第三好的联赛，仅次于英超和西甲。足球爱好者和我们这些追求长期利润的严肃投注者可以期待一场比德甲平均水平略差的比赛。海登海姆从2级晋升到这一级。本赛季的德甲联赛，我预计这对他们来说是一个非常艰难的赛季。奥格斯堡上赛季排名第15位。海登海姆在比赛的各个方面都缺乏实力，无法在这个级别的比赛中取得成功。从财务标准、历史成就，尤其是球员的总市场价值来看，他们是一支非常小的球队。沃伊特体育馆的容量只有15000人。主场优势是有的，但比这个联赛的平均水平要小。东道主没有很好的粉丝。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，东道主球队的身价仅为4000万欧元左右。以德甲的标准来看，这是一个非常低的数字。我想说，公平的数字会稍微高一些。奥格斯堡队的总市值估计接近1.2亿欧元。在我看来这或多或少是正确的。

我的大多数粉丝现在可能都知道，我从不让排名欺骗我。虽然他们总共拿到了7分，但是他们的期望分数(xPTS)只有4.35分。这是联盟第二低的数据!他们在我的权力评级中排名第17位，总共有18支俱乐部。这个排名反映了球队的纯粹等级，有最好的首发11人。他们有10次进球，但是他们的期望进球数(xG)是8.87。他们的防守很不稳固，已经丢了15个球。他们的许多球员对这个级别的比赛都非常缺乏经验，而且努力防守也不足以防守好。他们的防守结构在主场并没有那么糟糕，但球员的个人技术水平和跑动速度相对较差。我想强调的是，他们的预期进球(xGA)是20.45个。这显然是德甲联赛中最大的数字。当然，奥格斯堡不是一支伟大的球队，但仍然值得在这里成为夺冠热门——虽然不是很清楚。在北京时间周六晚上撰写这篇预告时，接受客户最大投注的最大博彩公司不同意，并为东道主提供了2.35左右的赔率。奥格斯堡+0.5个进球障碍选项显然是明智的选择，试图延长我们的连胜!他们现在只拿到了5分，但是这个赛季运气很差。实际上，他们的xPTS数量是9.34!在上一场比赛中，他们0-1输给了格鲁瑟·福特。不过这是一场友谊赛。在此之前，他们在客场0-2输给了法兰克福，这是他们应得的。他们在上一节攻入0.67球——法兰克福在90分钟的大部分时间里控制着比赛，上一节攻入2.21球，并且有更多的进球尝试和射正(6-2)。奥格斯堡在最近一场与达姆施塔特的比赛中也表现平平，输掉了比赛。这场比赛是一场平衡的比赛，两种情况都有可能发生。控球率是49比51%，两队都有17次射门。