In my opinion Strasbourg have really good chances to avoid big loss in this game. +1.5 AH looks like very solid option to play here.

Strasbourg didn’t lost with more than one goal difference in last 3 consecutive matches against PSG (2 draws and one loss). For sure they not coming here with big fear.

Strasbourg so far looks solid, they are in the middle of the table with 10 points after 8 matches and 8:11 goals balance. According to the expected goals scored/conceded models they should scored more and conceded less. Today we will see on the pitch almost best possible line up, only striker Emengha is unavailable.

Only Strasbourg goalkeeper Sels played in national team two matches in last 10 days, but for goalkeeper is much harder to be overloaed. Team is well prepared for this game and all players had big focus in last two weeks on today’s match. On the other hand so many Paris players played in national teams (two matches in 7 days). Freshness is not on guests side here, no doubt about that.

Hard to trust for PSG, even at home this year. That sounds unbelievable, but since March 2023 Paris played front of home crowd 10 league matches and.. failed to win 6 times!!!

In addition to that hosts with serious squad problems, probably today they are without: key right defender Hakimi (second-best scorer), key winger Dembele (best assistant), key central defender Kimpembe, two left defenders Kurzawa & Mendes and offensive midfielder Asensio (one of the best player in current season, according to the ratings).

On those circumstances I really don’t see easy win for home team.

在我看来，斯特拉斯堡在这场比赛中有很大的机会避免大的损失。+1.5 AH看起来是非常可靠的选择。

斯特拉斯堡在最近3场对阵巴黎圣日耳曼的比赛中(2平1负)没有输掉超过1个净胜球。他们肯定不会带着很大的恐惧来到这里。

到目前为止，斯特拉斯堡看起来很稳定，他们在8场比赛后以10分排名中游，进球数为8:11。根据预期进球/丢球模型，他们应该进得多丢得少。今天我们将在球场上看到几乎最好的阵容，只有前锋埃门哈缺阵。

在过去的10天里，只有斯特拉斯堡的门将塞尔斯参加了两场国家队比赛，但对于门将来说，很难超负荷。球队为这场比赛做了充分的准备，所有的球员在过去的两周里都非常专注于今天的比赛。另一方面，这么多的巴黎球员参加了国家队(7天两场比赛)。在这里，新鲜不是客人的菜，这一点毫无疑问。

很难相信巴黎圣日耳曼，即使是在主场。这听起来令人难以置信，但自2023年3月以来，巴黎在主场打了10场联赛。6次失败!!

除了严重的阵容问题之外，今天他们可能没有:关键的右后卫哈基米(第二最佳射手)，关键的边锋登贝莱(最佳助理)，关键的中卫金彭贝，两名左后卫库扎瓦和门德斯以及进攻中场阿森西奥(根据评分，本赛季最好的球员之一)。

在这种情况下，我真的不认为主队能轻易取胜。