In my opinion Mainz have bigger chances to avoid big loss in this game than bookies wants to suggest for us. +2 AH or more safe +2.5 looks like very good option to play.

Mainz have amazing streak at home against Bayern. They won last 3 matches front of home crowd against the most successful team in Bundesliga history.

Bayern coach Tuchel today will play against his former club, he will also play against his good friend – Mainz coach Bo Svensson. For sure is not easy situation.

Mainz started new season very bad, no doubt about that, but team have much bigger potential. They conceded 19 goals already, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 11.6. It’s big difference. Bo Svensson is good coach. With him on the bench Mainz making 1.36 points per game in Bundesliga. It’s second-best result in club history.. after 1.41 when Tuchel coached them.

Mainz is well prepared for this game, only two players from today’s first line up played in last 10 days in National team. On the other hand almost all Bayern players played twice in last 10 days for their countries. Goretzka, Sane and Musiala even traveled to North America. For sure freshness is not on guests side. Coach Tuchel said: ‘’ Now we've had an international break and are training again for the first time with the whole team today.’’

Mainz have huge motivation to break bad streak front of home crowd against the biggest team in Germany. I believe Bo Svensson learnt already a lot from this poor start of the season, he said: ‘’ I recognised my team. I could get completely behind that performance. Not that it was perfect, not at all, but keeping heads up in this tough spell, standing together as a group and with the knowledge that we can only overcome it together. I recognised that in both of those games I mentioned. And that’s also the approach now against Bayern.”

I see close game with small, one goal margin win for Bayern.

在我看来，美因茨在这场比赛中有更大的机会避免重大损失，而不是博彩公司给我们的建议。+2 AH或更安全的+2.5看起来是一个很好的选择。

美因茨在主场对阵拜仁的比赛中取得了惊人的连胜。他们在主场战胜了德甲历史上最成功的球队，赢得了最近三场比赛。

拜仁主帅图切尔今天将对阵他的老东家，他也将对阵他的好朋友——美因茨主帅斯文森。这肯定不是一件容易的事。

美因茨新赛季的开局非常糟糕，这是毫无疑问的，但球队有更大的潜力。他们已经丢了19个球，但根据预期丢球模型，他们应该丢11.6个球。差别很大。斯文森是个好教练。由于他在替补席上，美因茨在德甲的场均得分为1.36分。这是俱乐部历史上第二好的成绩。在1点41分图切尔执教之后。

美因茨为这场比赛做了充分的准备，在过去的10天里，只有两名首发球员参加了国家队的比赛。另一方面，几乎所有拜仁球员在过去10天内都为自己的国家踢了两场比赛。戈雷兹卡、萨内和穆西亚拉甚至去了北美。当然，新鲜不是客人的菜。主教练图切尔说:“现在我们已经有了国际比赛日，今天是第一次和全队一起训练。”

美因茨有巨大的动力去打破在主场对阵德国最强球队的糟糕纪录。我相信斯文森已经从赛季糟糕的开局中学到了很多，他说:“我认可我的球队。我完全可以支持他的表演。并不是说这是完美的，一点也不完美，而是在这段艰难的时期保持警惕，作为一个团队站在一起，并且知道我们只有团结起来才能克服它。我在我提到的两款游戏中都意识到了这一点。这也是我们现在对阵拜仁的方法。”

我看到了一场势均力敌的比赛，拜仁以一球之差取胜。