In my opinion Elversberg have really good chances to make 3 points in today’s match up.

Eintracht in previous season luckily avoided relegation, they finished just 2 points above red zone. Their best player Pherai moved to HSV and for me they are big candidates for relegation this year.

Elversberg have been promoted from Bundesliga 3, they kept in squad all top players from previous season and I see for them really good chances to make safe stay on the second level for next year.

Elversberg coming for this game full of confidence as they went unbeaten in last 4 league matches and during that run they won at home against strong HSV. Today only one key player is unavailable – striker Faghir, but team already played without him in last 4 rounds so it’s not big miss.

Elversberg so far scored 12 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 15.9. They are dangerous in attack and should be able to make a lot of damage today against poor Eintracht defensive formation. Elversberg scored more than one goal in 4 of 9 league matches in current season so far and I believe they are able to score more than one goal today.

Eintracht is poor on the road, they lost 7 of last 10 away matches and in 7 of last 10 away matches they conceded more than one goal. Defensive formation don’t have stability, only 4 teams in whole league produced higher expected goals conceded number.

On the other hand Eintracht scored only 6 goals in 9 rounds and they have the lowest expected goals scored number in whole league. In addition to that, today they are without their top scorer Ujah (3 goals + 1 assist). It’s huge blow and should have very bad impact on their performance. For me is hard to imagine more than one goal for them today.

On those circumstances Elversberg looks like the most logical choice for this game.

我认为埃尔弗斯伯格在今天的比赛中有很好的机会得到3分。

拜仁在上个赛季幸运地避免了降级，他们只比红区高出2分。他们最好的球员费莱转会到HSV，在我看来他们是今年降级的大热门。

埃尔弗斯伯格已经从德甲三级联赛升级，他们保留了上赛季的所有顶级球员，我认为他们明年很有可能安全留在乙级联赛。

埃尔弗斯伯格对这场比赛充满信心，因为他们在过去的4场联赛中保持不败，并且在主场战胜了强大的HSV。今天只有一名关键球员不能上场——前锋法希尔，但球队已经在过去4轮没有他的情况下比赛了，所以这不是什么大损失。

埃尔弗斯伯格目前打进了12球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该打进15.9球。他们在进攻上很危险，今天面对糟糕的法兰克福防守阵型，他们应该能够造成很大的伤害。本赛季到目前为止，埃尔弗斯伯格在9场联赛中有4场进球超过1球，我相信他们今天有能力进球超过1球。

法兰克福在客场表现很差，他们在最近10场客场比赛中输了7场，在过去10场客场比赛中有7场丢了一个以上的球。防守阵型不稳定，全联盟只有4支球队的失球数高于预期。

另一方面，德国队在9轮比赛中只进了6个球，他们的预期进球数是整个联赛中最低的。除此之外，今天他们失去了他们的头号射手乌贾(3球+ 1助攻)。这是一个巨大的打击，应该会对他们的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。对我来说，很难想象他们今天的目标不止一个。

在这种情况下，埃尔弗斯伯格似乎是这场比赛中最合理的选择。