England vs Italy

England welcome Italy for this EURO 2024 Qualification Group C round 5 battle at Wembley Stadium in London early Wednesday morning Beijing morning. Football fans around the world and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a fine match to watch between these two big football countries. However, at the moment I see a very clear difference in class between England and Italy. Yes, most of my fans probably remember the EURO 2020 final that was actually played in July 2021 as the tournament was postponed due to the Covid-19 pandemic. It was a balanced battle between these two countries. England were the better team in the first half taking 1-0 lead, but Italy controlled the events on the pitch in the second half and made it 1-1. Italy eventually won the final through penalties 2-1. There is still a big number of the same players playing in this game. We must realize that the English national team has raised its level since 2021 significantly. Italy, on the other hand, has been in decline - pretty steep in fact! They would really need striker Federico Chiesa who was one of their best players in the EURO 2020 but he – along with Ivan Provedel and Mattia Zaccani is out due to a muscle injury. England are missing the ultra-dangerous Arsenal striker Bukayo Saka but still have massive offensive power with players like Harry Kane. He plays for Bayern Munich. There is also Manchester United’s Marcus Rashford who is an extremely fast player and has a potential to play much better than we have witnessed lately. Midfielder Jude Bellingham, 20, has been one of the best players on the planet this year – especially after joining Real Madrid from Dortmund for over 100 million euros for this season. He has scored eight goals in the LaLiga and two in the UEFA Champions League. Italy simply do not have players of this calibre at the moment. The home advantage is almost always massive in international games but here it is even slightly bigger than on average. The English people adore their national team and I expect the atmosphere at the stadium to be ecstatic! England deserve to be clear favourites here! The biggest bookies with the largest stake limits offer England odds of 1.65-1.69 at the time of writing this analysis late Monday evening Beijing time. I was expecting for the odds to be a little higher but they are still good enough for my fans and me to take.

The top-2 teams from each group qualify for the EURO 2024 in Germany next summer. If points are tied at the end of the competition, head-to-head matches will be the tie-breaker. England currently top the standings with 14 points to their account and have not lost a single game. Their goal difference is excellent. Indeed, they have netted the ball 16 times and have allowed just two goals. With a win they can secure first place in this group as after this game only two games remain. Ukraine, currently with 10 points, cannot topple them anymore as England beat them 2-0 at home and the second match was a 1-1 draw. I expect them to be very motivated in front of their loud fans. For Italy the situation is dangerous as they, too, have 10 points in their pocket. Their score difference is 10:4. Let’s not forget that Italy even failed to make it to the World Cup in Qatar last year! What an embarrassment for this big football country. England on the other hand played well except for the 0-0 draw against in the group stage. They were, however, beaten by France, the eventual finalists in the quarterfinals 1-2. The match was a balanced one overall and England had 57% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (14-9), shots on goal (6-5), corner kicks, total passes, completed passes, attacks as well as dangerous attacks – 49-39. Moreover, Harry Kane missed a penalty kick when the score was 1-2. In their last game England beat Australia, a team who made it to the Playoffs in Qatar, 1-0 despite heavy squad rotation. Bellingham, Kane, Rice, Walker and the number goalkeeper Pickford did not play at all. Before this they beat Scotland 3-1 away from home. Both games were friendly matches. Let’s remember that Scotland even beat Spain in March.

In their most recent qualification match England played a 1-1 draw against Ukraine at Tarczynski Arena in Wrocław, Poland. Ukraine played well but England would have deserved a narrow win. Indeed, they had 65% ball possession and recorded massively more goal attempts (11-2), shots on target (5-1), total passes, completed passes, attacks (150-64) as well as dangerous attacks – 65-12. They also generated 1.73 in expected goals (xG). Ukraine managed 0.65. .Italy, on the other hand, beat Malta, a weak team, 4-0 at home in their last game. However, I was not at all impressed by their offense which lacked speed and creativity. Italy generated only 0.94 in xG. Malta’s number was just 0.19 though. In March England defeated Italy 2-1 at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples. The ball possession was almost 50-50% but England did deserve the win. In the first half they were even surprisingly dominant - taking 2-0 lead. Most of Italy’s attacks and xG happened in the second half when England let them have the ball. England’s L. Shaw was sent off in the 80th minute which helped Italy to put pressure on the visitors’ defence. England generated 2.34 in xG – Italy recorded just 0.98. Last month Italy even failed to beat North Macedonia, a relatively lowly team, despite being priced around 1.30 to win on the betting market. It was a 1-1 draw where Italy generated just 0.62 in xG – the North Macedonians managed 0.53. It was yet another lame performance offensively. Italy’s FIFA ranking is 7th - which is way too high. This is perhaps one of the reasons behind them being overvalued by the bookies – once again! England are in 5th place but are certainly better than Belgium, currently in 2nd place, at the moment. Indeed, they would deserve to be in 4th place. England - despite having the often mocked and sometimes erratic defender, Harry Maguire, in the team – have a clear edge in all areas of the game here!

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英格兰vs意大利

北京时间周三凌晨，2024年欧洲杯预选赛C组第5轮比赛将在伦敦温布利体育场举行，英格兰队将迎来意大利队。世界各地的足球迷和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待这两个足球大国之间的精彩比赛。然而，现在我看到了英格兰和意大利之间非常明显的阶级差异。是的，我的大多数球迷可能还记得2020年欧洲杯决赛，实际上是在2021年7月举行的，因为比赛因Covid-19大流行而推迟。这是两国之间的一场势均力敌的战斗。英格兰队在上半场以1-0领先，表现更好，但意大利队在下半场控制了场上局势，将比分扳成1-1。意大利最终通过点球2比1赢得了决赛。仍然有很多相同的玩家在玩这个游戏。我们必须看到，自2021年以来，英格兰国家队的水平有了显著提高。另一方面，意大利一直在衰退——实际上相当严重!他们真的需要前锋费德里科·基耶萨，他是他们在2020年欧洲杯上最好的球员之一，但是他和伊万·普罗韦德尔和马蒂亚·扎卡尼由于肌肉受伤而缺阵。英格兰队失去了阿森纳超级危险的前锋萨卡，但拥有哈里·凯恩这样的球员，英格兰队仍然拥有强大的进攻力量。他效力于拜仁慕尼黑。还有曼联的拉什福德，他是一个速度非常快的球员，有潜力比我们最近看到的踢得更好。20岁的中场球员裘德·贝灵汉是今年这个星球上最好的球员之一，尤其是在本赛季以超过1亿欧元的价格从多特蒙德加盟皇家马德里之后。他在西甲联赛中打进8球，在欧洲冠军联赛中打进2球。意大利现在根本没有这种水平的球员。在国际比赛中，主场优势几乎总是很大的，但在这里，主场优势甚至比平均水平还要大一些。英国人民崇拜他们的国家队，我希望球场里的气氛会欣喜若狂!英格兰理应成为最受欢迎的球队!在北京时间周一晚间撰写本文时，拥有最大赌注限制的最大博彩公司对英格兰队的赔率为1.65:1.69。我原以为获胜的几率会高一点，但对我和我的粉丝来说，这已经足够好了。

每个小组的前两名将有资格参加明年夏天在德国举行的2024年欧洲杯。如果在比赛结束时得分相等，则进行肉搏赛。英格兰队目前以14分的积分排名第一，并且一场未输。他们的净胜球非常好。事实上，他们共打进16球，只丢了2球。只要一场胜利，他们就能确保小组第一的位置，因为本场比赛之后他们只剩下两场比赛了。目前仅积10分的乌克兰队无法再击败他们，因为英格兰队在主场2-0击败了他们，第二场比赛则是1-1战平。我希望他们在喧闹的球迷面前表现得很有动力。对于意大利来说，形势很危险，因为他们的口袋里也有10分。他们的比分差是10:4。别忘了，去年的卡塔尔世界杯，意大利甚至连入场券都没进!这对这个足球大国来说是多么尴尬啊。另一方面，除了小组赛0-0战平外，英格兰表现良好。然而，他们在四分之一决赛中以1比2输给了最终进入决赛的法国队。这场比赛总体上是平衡的，英格兰队有57%的控球率，并且记录了更多的进球次数(14比9)、射正(6比5)、角球、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数(49比39)。此外，哈里·凯恩在比分为1-2时罚丢了一个点球。在他们的上一场比赛中，英格兰队以1比0击败了澳大利亚队，尽管阵容轮换频繁，但澳大利亚队还是进入了卡塔尔的季后赛。贝灵汉、凯恩、赖斯、沃克和号码门将皮克福德都没有上场。在此之前，他们在客场3-1击败了苏格兰。两场比赛都是友谊赛。让我们记住，苏格兰甚至在3月份击败了西班牙。

在最近的预选赛中，英格兰队在波兰Wrocław的塔琴斯基体育场1-1战平了乌克兰队。乌克兰踢得不错，但英格兰本应险胜。事实上，他们有65%的控球率，并且记录了更多的进球次数(11-2)、射正次数(5-1)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数(150-64)以及危险进攻(65-12)。他们还产生了1.73个预期目标(xG)。而意大利在上一场比赛中主场4比0战胜了实力较弱的马耳他队。然而，我对他们的进攻一点也不印象深刻

它缺乏速度和创造力。意大利在2010年仅为0.94。而马耳他的数字仅为0.19。今年3月，英格兰队在那不勒斯的马拉多纳球场2-1击败意大利队。控球率几乎是50%，但英格兰确实应该获胜。上半场他们甚至出人意料地占据了优势——以2-0领先。意大利的大部分进攻和射门都发生在下半场英格兰给他们控球的时候。英格兰队的L. Shaw在第80分钟被罚下，这帮助意大利队对客队的防线施加了压力。英格兰队在世界杯上进球数为2.34，而意大利队仅为0.98。上个月，意大利队甚至没能击败北马其顿队，一支实力相对较弱的球队，尽管在博彩市场上的赔率在1.30左右。这是一场1-1的平局，意大利在xG只进了0.62球，北马其顿人进了0.53球。这又是一场蹩脚的进攻。意大利在国际足联的排名是第七，这太高了。这也许是他们被庄家高估的原因之一——再一次!英格兰目前排名第五，但肯定比目前排名第二的比利时队要好。的确，他们应该排在第四名。英格兰队——尽管球队中有经常被嘲笑，有时还不稳定的后卫哈里·马奎尔——在比赛的各个领域都有明显的优势!

10月18日英格兰 VS 意大利比赛分析直播