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外籍分析师
英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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5 very convincing reasons to play this

2023-10-14

比赛分析

日乙

已完赛

星期六2023-08-26 18:00

解读理由

In my opinion Gunma have excellent chances to make at least one point in this game.


I see 5 very convincing stats to play this bet.


1. Guests have much bigger motivation to win this game as they still involved in fight to finish inside play-off zone (top6). On the other hand home team playing for nothing till end of the season.


2. Gunma is rock solid at the moment, they are really hard nut to crack. Gunma didn’t lost in 15 of last 17 league matches. This is consistency on the highest possible level in J2 league standards.


3. Fujieda is one of the worst team in whole league at home. They failed to win in 12 of 17 home league matches so for me is really hard to see them as a fav against Gunma, even front of home crowd.


4. Gunma defensive formation is at least one level above hosts. Gunma in last 15 league matches 10 times kept clean sheet and only one time conceded more than one goal (!!!).


5. Fujieda conceded 5 goals in last round against Nagasaki.. In addition to that, their defensive formation have the highest expected goals conceded number in whole league.


On those circumstance double chance on away side looks like superb value.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,群马队有很好的机会在这场比赛中至少得一分。


我看到了5个非常有说服力的数据。


1. 客人有更大的动力赢得这场比赛,因为他们仍然参与战斗,以完成在附加区(top6)。另一方面,主队在赛季结束前什么都不用打。


2. 群马队目前坚如磐石,他们真的很难对付。在过去的17场联赛中,群马队有15场没有输球。这是J2联赛中最高水平的一致性。


3.藤田是全联盟主场最差的球队之一。他们在17场主场比赛中有12场没有获胜,所以对我来说,即使在主场观众面前,也很难把他们看作是对群马队的青睐。


4. 群马队的防守阵型至少比东道主高一级。在过去的15场联赛中,群马有10次保持零封,只有一次失球超过1球(!!)


5. 藤田在上轮对长崎的比赛中丢了5球。除此之外,他们的防守阵型是全联赛失球数最高的。


在这种情况下,客场的双重机会看起来很有价值。

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