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俄罗斯职业体育分析师,是欧洲最知名的分析师之一。
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My take on this German game

2021-04-21

比赛分析

德甲

已完赛

星期四2021-04-22 02:30

解读理由

Another end of season case that I find appealing in the Bundesliga, after a successful take on 3 scenarios on Tuesday.

Stuttgart will be entertaining Wolfsburg, who are chasing a dream - direct qualification to the Champions League.

Hosts have nothing left to play for in the season and decline both in their performances and results right underlines this. There is no more spark about their football now that no goals are there to be reached. What used to be a highly entertaining side to watch is now more of a shadow of its’ old self. The manager is still the same, players haven’t changed, but the chemistry’s dropped a fair bit.

The club is not bothered by relegation being +13 points clear of Koln, neither are they realistically in the race for Europa League, sitting 8 points behind Bayer Leverkusen. Besides, the way Stuttgart has been playing in recent rounds suggests there are no European ambitions for them on the agenda.

Apart from Stuttgart lacking any proper motivation for the upcoming game, I am also drawn to this encounter due to the names on the casualty list for hosts. They will definitely miss a number of key player, such as one of the season’s revelations Wamanguituka (highest rated Stuttgart player according to Whoscored with 11 goals and 4 assist) + influential Argentinean playmaker Gonzalez (tipped to miss the game by German resource kicker.de) and regular defender Mavropanos.

My relationship with Wolfsburg this season hasn’t been good. Whenever I picked them to win, they’d collapse and that defeat would be standing out there as they would go on to win the following 6/7 games or remain unbeaten for 2 months.

They’ve had a rough couple of weeks with back to back defeats against Eintracht (3-4) and Bayern (2-3), conceding untypically many goals. Scorelines aside, though, it’s hard to call those results surprising. Bayern remains Bayern, while Eintracht on home soil s a force for any Bundesliga team these days.

Before the match of the year on Saturday (face off against Borussia), Wolfsburg will be looking to get their confidence back and maintain the +5 pts cushion over Dortmund, who is most likely taking a win against Union Berlin in their game.

I am counting on the motivational difference, Stuttgart’s poor form and their injury hit attack to give Wolfsburg the necessary edge for 3 points. -0.5 handicap is bold and you might want to look for something safer like -0.25 on Asian markets. If anything, I definitely can’t see Wolfsburg losing in Stuttgart.


在周二成功应对了3场比赛,这场德甲的比赛非常吸引人。

斯图加特将对阵沃尔夫斯堡,客队他们正在追逐直接获得欧冠资格的名额。

主队已经没有太多的目标,他们的表现和成绩均在下降,这恰恰说明了这一点。没有目标可言,他们的足球就再也没有火花。主教练还是一样,球员没有改变,但是化学反应下降了很多。

球队没有因为降级而感到困扰,因为他们离科隆还有13分,他们想参加欧罗巴联赛的目标是不现实的,他们落后勒沃库森8分。此外,斯图加特最近几轮比赛的方式表明,他们没有欧战球队的雄心壮志。

除了斯图加特缺乏动力外,主队的伤病名单很长,他们肯定会缺少许多关键球员,例如瓦曼吉图卡(11个进球和4个助攻,评分最高的斯图加特球员)+很有影响力的阿根廷组织者冈萨雷斯和常规后卫Mavropanos。

我本赛季与沃尔夫斯堡的状态总是背道而驰。每当我选择他们获胜时,他们就会崩溃。他们将继续赢得接下来的6/7场比赛或保持2个月的不败。

他们经历了大约两周的艰难赛程,对法兰克福(3-4)和拜仁(2-3)的背靠背失利,丢了很多球。尽管如此,很难将这些结果称为冷门。拜仁仍然是拜仁,而法兰克福在主场上对任何德甲球队来说都是很难对付的。

在周六前的比赛(面对多特),沃尔夫斯堡将要力争找回信心,并保持对多特蒙德5分的差距,多特蒙德极有可能在与联盟柏林的比赛中获胜。

我相信两队动力上的差异,斯图加特的状态不佳,他们的伤病发作使沃尔夫斯堡获得3分的希望很大。我不认为沃尔夫斯堡会在斯图加特身上丢分。

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