In my opinion Luxembourg have bigger chances to avoid loss in this game than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

First match between both teams in this group finished with Luxembourg home win and that was fully deserved result as they had 2.24 expected goals scored, Iceland 0.56. Luxembourg simply played on much higher level.

For me is hard to see Iceland as a fav in this match. This team declined a lot in last 3 years and if You look on the bigger picture – is really visible. Since summer 2020 Iceland played 43 matches in all competitions and recorded only 7 wins (!!!). How to trust them? I believe market overreacted for their last round win 1:0 at home against Bosnia, but that wasn’t deserved result at all as Bosnia had 1.75 expected goals scored, higher ball possession and 9 shots more than Iceland. Lucky win.

Luxembourg going in totally different direction, in comparison to Iceland. They progressing well. In last 15 matches in all competitions Luxembourg lost 4 times. It’s really good streak in their standards, no doubt about that. They have realistic chances to get qualification into Euro 2024. Luxembourg is 3 points behind second Slovakia, but Slovakia tomorrow probably going to lose against Portugal so this is perfect opportunity to reduce the gap. At Monday Luxembourg playing at home against Slovakia. I’m sure they will give absolutely everything to win this game.

Iceland is poor, no chances for qualification and I don’t see them as a fav in this game. Odds on away side are simply too high to skip it.

在我看来，卢森堡在这场比赛中避免失败的机会比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大得多。

两支球队在小组赛的第一场比赛中，卢森堡主场获胜，这是他们应得的结果，因为他们的预期进球数为2.24，冰岛为0.56。卢森堡的水平要高得多。

对我来说，很难看到冰岛队在这场比赛中获胜。这支球队在过去的3年里下降了很多，如果你从更大的角度来看，这是很明显的。自2020年夏天以来，冰岛参加了43场比赛，只取得了7场胜利(!!)如何信任他们?我相信市场对他们上一轮主场1:0战胜波斯尼亚反应过度，但这根本不应该是这样的结果，因为波斯尼亚的预期进球数为1.75，控球率更高，射门次数比冰岛多9次。幸运的赢了。

与冰岛相比，卢森堡走的是完全不同的方向。他们进展顺利。在最近15场比赛中，卢森堡输掉了4场比赛。毫无疑问，在他们的标准中，这是一个很好的连胜。他们有机会获得2024年欧洲杯的参赛资格。卢森堡落后第二名斯洛伐克3分，但斯洛伐克明天可能会输给葡萄牙，所以这是缩小差距的绝佳机会。周一卢森堡将在主场迎战斯洛伐克。我相信他们会尽一切努力赢得这场比赛。

冰岛很穷，没有出线的机会，我不认为他们会在这场比赛中获胜。客场的赔率实在太高了，不能跳过它。