Pavel头像
盈利高手
俄罗斯职业体育分析师,是欧洲最知名的分析师之一。
  • 477

    方案

  • 3721

    粉丝

Good looking German bet 法兰克福VS奥格斯堡

2021-04-20

比赛分析

德甲

已完赛

星期三2021-04-21 02:30

解读理由

Has been a while since I posted something for German Bundesliga, which remains one of the most successful leagues for me in terms of tips winning ratio. However, recently there’s been a decline in logics, for a multitude of reasons, so be alert and aware, that we don’t go as in-synch as before with Germans.

The setup here tonight is quite straightforward. Overall, following favourites in Germany is the most profitable attitude as they are consistent and professional in their work. In the face of Eintracth we have a case of a club fighting hard for a Champions League spot. BVB is on their tail and after 0-4 defeat at the weekend to Gladbach the safety cushion is only a narrow +4 points.

With 15 points left to play for in the competition - every game is like a mini-final for Eintracht now and they are motivated above traditional 100%.

They were on a good run prior to the weekend flop in Gladbach, so that result should not get anyone fooled. They are still in pole-position to qualify for the Champions League spot and should be digging hard for a win vs. Augsburg.

There are no squad issues for Frankfurt other then the injury of regular fullback Almamy Toure.

Star duo Silva-Jovic is available in attack supported by player of the month (March) Kostic.

The interesting and encouraging thing about Augsburg is their tournament position - they are 80% safe for the season and relegation questions should be settled within the next couple of rounds. There is a mini-final for Augsburg scheduled for the end of the week - home clash against Koln and strategically they might want to focus on that game and make sure maximum points are taken. In other words, they can allow themselves to “throw” the match tonight, not give 100% against Eintracht and just focus on the bigger task to come. Especially with midweek round generally being a distraction for all involved.

-1.5 handicap is quite a bold call and I usually don’t like to go with those on pre-market. But I do expect a home win and if it comes, Eintracht is usually taking 2+ goals victories when facing opponents outside top 6.

You can easily get ok odds for -1.25 line, which I’d personally be looking for to be on the safe side of things.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

我已经有一段时间没有为德甲发过帖子了,德甲仍然是我认为赢小费率最高的联赛之一。然而,由于多种原因,最近的逻辑在下降,所以要警惕和意识到,我们不像以前那样与德国人同步。

今晚的安排很简单。总的来说,在德国追随最受欢迎的人是最赚钱的态度,因为他们在工作中始终如一和专业。面对埃克西斯,我们有一个俱乐部为争夺欧冠席位而努力的例子。BVB在他们后面,在周末0:4输给格拉德巴赫之后,安全垫仅仅是狭窄的+4分。

比赛还剩15分,每一场比赛都像是Eintracht的迷你决赛,他们的动力超过了传统的100%。

在周末的格拉德巴赫失败之前,他们的表现很好,所以这个结果不会让任何人上当。他们在欧冠的预选赛中仍然处于领先位置,他们应该为战胜奥格斯堡而努力。

除了主力后卫图雷受伤之外,法兰克福没有其他阵容问题。

明星二人组席尔瓦-约维奇可以在三月最佳球员科斯蒂克的进攻模式中上场。

奥格斯堡有趣而鼓舞人心的是他们在联赛中的位置——他们本赛季有80%的保级率,降级问题将在接下来的几轮比赛中得到解决。奥格斯堡将在本周末迎来一场小型决赛——主场对阵科隆队,从战略上来说,他们可能会把注意力集中在这场比赛上,确保拿到最大的分数。换句话说,他们可以让自己在今晚的比赛中“丢球”,而不是对Eintracht 100%的投入,而是专注于更大的任务。尤其是在周中这段时间,所有人都会分心。

-1.5是一个很大胆的决定,我通常不喜欢在上市前用它。但我确实希望能在主场取得胜利,如果真能赢的话,球队在面对前6名以外的对手时通常会取得2+个进球。

看好法兰克福至少赢两球。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。