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Two good picks for the Sunday!

2023-10-08

比赛分析

主队那不勒斯LOGO

那不勒斯

意甲

已完赛

星期一2023-10-09 02:45

客队佛罗伦萨LOGO

佛罗伦萨

主队卡尔马LOGO

卡尔马

瑞超

已完赛

星期日2023-10-08 21:00

客队马尔默LOGO

马尔默

解读理由

KALMAR - MALMO

Kalmar experienced a 0-1 loss against Norrkoping last week in what was a closely contested match. Prior to that, they secured a victory against Häcken, albeit a European-weary Häcken from an away game in Leverkusen. Despite this, Häcken dominated against Kalmar, who managed to score an early goal in one of their few attacks. Häcken had significantly better expected goals (xG) and should have emerged victorious.

Looking at Kalmar's statistics throughout the season, there is nothing unusual. They've been overperforming for the most part and accrued more points than deserved. They currently sit comfortably in the middle of the table with no clear objective to pursue. With five games left, the best they can aim for is the 5th position. Djurgaren, in 4th place, is 7 points ahead, and Häcken, in a European position, holds a 14-point lead. While they may not have a pressing objective, this is undoubtedly a significant match that could provide motivation.

On the other side, Malmo secured a 2-1 victory against Brommapojkarna last week. While not a standout performance, the three points are all that matter in this crucial two-team race for the gold. This win marked their third consecutive victory and their 6th unbeaten game in the league. With five games remaining, they are at the top of the table, just one point ahead of the second-placed Elfsborg.

I believe Malmo has a strong chance of clinching another victory in Kalmar. A grass match and a relatively short journey make it one of the more comfortable away games for Malmö FF. Additionally, they have proven they can manage without the suspended Pontus Jansson, as seen in their decent performance against BP last weekend. Moving forward, Oliver Berg is in good form, Nanasi continues to impress, and Vecchia is showing signs of emerging form.

Kalmar finds themselves in a midtable no-man's-land at the end of the season, while visiting Malmo is in excellent form and competing for the title. As a result, the visitors are the favorites to win this game, especially considering their impressive track record against Kalmar. In fact, Malmo has emerged victorious in nine of the last ten league encounters with Kalmar, including a 1-0 win at home earlier this season.

Considering the full 90 minutes, I believe Malmo has a strong chance of overcoming Kalmar FF. The away factor, with a short journey, a grass pitch, and a potential advantage in the stands, is likely a minor influence compared to what it could be otherwise. When Malmö is not engaged in European fixtures, they have the opportunity to rest key players during the week and undergo focused training. This, coupled with their formidable squad, gives them a significant edge over a team like Kalmar FF.

NAPOLI - FIORENTINA

The 'Partenopei' were unable to secure a victory against Real Madrid in the second matchday of the Champions League, an intense encounter marked by great goals. Nonetheless, the Maradona crowd applauded their team for the effort and the moments of excellent football they witnessed. Osimhen and Kvaratskhelia didn't find the net but showcased glimpses reminiscent of last year's team.

Adding the victories against Lecce and Udinese in the previous matchdays, there are reasons for optimism—the 'mini' crisis has passed.

Regarding the rotations Rudi Garcia might make to regain strength against 'Viola,' it seems they will be almost nonexistent. The only expected change from the match against Madrid is the inclusion of Portuguese Mario Rui at left-back instead of Uruguayan Mathias Olivera. The offensive trident remains unchanged, considering they have returned to a high level. It's true that in the second half, players like Lindstrom, Elmas, and Giovanni Simeone may get more minutes. However, initially, it seems challenging for one of the starters to rest. A similar situation arises in the midfield—countering the more talented side of the Italian squad is best achieved by relying on the regulars.

On the other hand, in Vincenzo Italiano's third season in the capital of Tuscany, many expect the path of growth to lead to achieving new objectives. Qualifying for the Champions League next year seems challenging, but if the team slightly improves in attack, dreams can be entertained.

Up to matchday 7, they are in the group chasing the Milan clubs with 4 points behind, meaning they are well placed. They have only one defeat to regret: against Inter, and in a decisive manner at San Siro (4-0). Perhaps that's the leap they need to contend for higher positions: proving their worth against the 'big teams'. That's why the clash this Sunday at the Maradona’s stadium is crucial for them.

It will be interesting to see how the coach of the Tuscans manages to recover the most talented men in his squad. The match against Ferencvaros in the Conference League this past Thursday was quite wild: they started trailing 0-2, making it clear they didn't give enough importance to the Hungarians, then rallied for a nerve-wracking 2-2 draw. Undoubtedly, that comeback drained physical and mental strength that could be noticeable this weekend.

So, regarding the starting eleven, we'll see several permutations, but there are pieces that will have to grit their teeth and give their best in a challenging scenario, like Nico González. The 25-year-old Argentine is the most dangerous weapon, and his speed on the counterattacks can define the match.

It will be a significant test for Vincenzo Italiano's squad to analyze if they can break into the top ranks of the Italian league this season. They will have to try to achieve points at the home of the champion in a week of exhaustion for both contenders; this will undoubtedly determine the clash.

The team that shows more strength amidst a saturated schedule may clinch the victory. In this context, Rudi García's team is a priori more accustomed to this rhythm of games every three days. Furthermore, their stars are eager to regain their form from last year, and even if they are not physically at 100%, they can determine the duel with their quality.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

卡尔玛-马尔默

上周,卡尔玛在一场势均力敌的比赛中0-1输给了诺雪平。在此之前,他们在客场对阵勒沃库森的比赛中取得了对Häcken的胜利,尽管他们对Häcken感到厌倦。尽管如此,Häcken在对阵卡尔玛的比赛中占据了主导地位,卡尔玛在他们为数不多的几次进攻中率先进球。Häcken有明显更好的预期目标(xG),应该取得胜利。

纵观卡尔玛整个赛季的数据,没有什么不寻常的。他们在大多数情况下都表现得很好,积累了比应得的更多的分数。他们目前舒适地坐在谈判桌上的中间,没有明确的目标去追求。在还剩下五场比赛的情况下,他们最多只能争取第五名的位置。排在第4位的Djurgaren领先7分,在欧洲排名中Häcken领先14分。虽然他们可能没有紧迫的目标,但这无疑是一场重要的比赛,可以提供动力。

另一方面,马尔默上周以2比1战胜了布罗马波伊卡纳。虽然表现不突出,但在这场两队争夺金牌的关键比赛中,三分是最重要的。这场胜利标志着他们的三连胜和他们在联赛中的第六场不败。在还剩5场比赛的情况下,他们在积分榜上排名第一,仅领先第二名埃尔夫斯堡1分。

我相信马尔默很有可能在卡尔玛赢得另一场胜利。草地比赛和相对较短的路程使它成为Malmö FF更舒适的客场比赛之一。此外,他们已经证明,没有停赛的庞特斯·杨森,他们也能应付自如,就像上周末对阵英国石油公司的比赛中表现不错一样。展望未来,奥利弗·伯格状态不错,纳纳西继续给人留下深刻印象,而维奇亚也显示出了崭露头角的迹象。

卡尔玛发现自己在赛季结束时处于中游无人地带,而来访的马尔默状态极佳,正在争夺冠军。因此,客队是赢得这场比赛的大热门,特别是考虑到他们对卡尔玛的出色战绩。事实上,马尔默在最近10次与卡尔玛的联赛交锋中取得了9次胜利,包括本赛季早些时候在主场1-0取胜。

考虑到满90分钟,我相信马尔默有很大的机会战胜卡尔玛FF。客场因素,短途旅行,草地球场,以及看台上的潜在优势,与其他因素相比,可能是一个很小的影响。当Malmö没有参加欧洲赛程时,他们有机会让主力球员在一周内休息并进行集中训练。这一点,再加上他们强大的阵容,使他们比卡尔玛FF这样的球队有明显的优势。

那不勒斯-佛罗伦萨

在欧冠联赛的第二场比赛中,“帕特诺佩”没能在对阵皇家马德里的比赛中取得胜利,这场激烈的比赛中有很多精彩的进球。尽管如此,马拉多纳的观众还是为他们的球队的努力和他们所见证的精彩足球时刻鼓掌。奥西姆亨和克瓦拉茨基利亚没有进球,但他们的表现让人想起了去年的球队。

加上之前对阵莱切和乌迪内斯的胜利,我们有理由感到乐观——“迷你”危机已经过去。

至于鲁迪·加西亚在对阵紫百合的比赛中为恢复实力所做的轮换,看起来他们几乎不存在。与马德里的比赛中唯一的变化是葡萄牙人马里奥·鲁伊取代乌拉圭人马蒂亚斯·奥利维拉出任左后卫。考虑到他们已经回到了高水平,进攻三叉戟保持不变。的确,在下半场,像林德斯特伦、埃尔马斯和乔瓦尼·西蒙尼这样的球员可能会得到更多的上场时间。然而,一开始,让一个先发球员休息似乎是一个挑战。类似的情况也出现在中场——对付意大利队中更有天赋的一方,最好的办法是依靠主力球员。

另一方面,在温琴佐·意塔利亚诺在托斯卡纳首都的第三个赛季,许多人期望增长的道路将导致实现新的目标。明年的欧冠资格赛似乎很有挑战性,但如果球队在进攻上有一点进步,梦想就可以实现。

截止到第7比赛日,他们在小组中以4分落后米兰,这意味着他们处于有利位置。他们只有一场失利值得后悔:对阵国米,而且是在圣西罗以决定性的方式(4-0)。也许这就是他们为争夺更高的位置所需要的飞跃:证明他们与“大球队”的价值。这就是为什么本周日在马拉多纳球场的比赛对他们来说至关重要。

这将是有趣的,看看他们如何

每个托斯卡纳人都设法恢复球队中最有天赋的球员。上周四在联盟联赛中对阵费伦茨瓦罗斯的比赛相当疯狂:他们一开始0-2落后,这表明他们没有给予匈牙利人足够的重视,然后以令人伤脑筋的2-2战平。毫无疑问,这场复出耗尽了身体和精神力量,这周末可能会很明显。

所以,关于首发11人,我们会看到一些排列,但有些人必须咬牙切齿,在具有挑战性的情况下发挥出最好的水平,比如尼科González。这位25岁的阿根廷人是最危险的武器,他在反击中的速度可以定义比赛。

这将是对文森佐·意利亚诺的球队的一个重大考验,分析他们是否能在本赛季闯入意大利联赛的顶级行列。在两名竞争者都疲惫不堪的一周中,他们将不得不努力在冠军的主场取得积分;这无疑将决定这场冲突。

在赛程饱和的情况下,谁表现出更多的实力,谁就有可能取得胜利。在这种情况下,Rudi García的球队先验地更习惯这种每三天比赛的节奏。此外,他们的明星们渴望恢复去年的状态,即使他们的身体状况没有达到100%,他们也可以用自己的实力来决定这场对决。

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