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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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An INTERESTING match in France! $$$

2023-10-08

比赛分析

法乙

已完赛

星期日2023-10-08 01:00

解读理由

Valenciennes VS Troyes


Valenciennes welcome Troyes for this French Ligue 2 clash at Stade du Hainaut early Sunday morning Beijing time. We can expect a match of mediocre level by this league’s standards here. Valenciennes were poor last season and were not far from relegation to Nacional, the third tier. Indeed, they took 45 points and finished in 16th place in this league with a total of 20 clubs. Dijon, with 42 points, did relegate. Troyes, on the other hand, played a poor last season in the Ligue 1 and were relegated. This season has been a big disappointment for them – there is no denying this. Even so, by pure class they are much better than Valenciennes! They have an edge over the hosts in all areas of the game. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, their squad has an estimated total market value of around 30 million euros – this is big number by this league’s standards. The hosts’ players have a market value of about 14 million. This is definitely too high – I would say that 10-11 million is a more accurate number.

Valenciennes have been abysmal so far this season – winning just one game! They have grabbed just six points and are clearly low in confidence at the moment. They have not won any of their latest five competitive games. Yes, they have potential for some improvement but not much. Their offense has been almost hilariously bad! Indeed, they have netted the ball just three times in Ligue 1! Their offense lacks speed, creativity, individual skill and passing accuracy at critical moments. Their defense has not been bad – but not great either. They have conceded 11 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 15.53. Troyes have a lot of offensive power despite scoring just 11 goals so far. Their number of expected goals (xG) is 14.02. They have unarguably had some defensive problems though. Their defensive structure has not been great so far. They have allowed 13 goals but their xGA is “only” 9.76. They are in 16th place at the moment but is only a matter of time until they start climbing up the standings. The bookies see the hosts as favorites here but this very wrong in my expert opinion. Troyes have a 42% chance of winning! They have lost three games in a row but would have deserved at least four points from these matches. In their latest game they suffered a 0-1 defeat at home against St. Etienne, a dangerous team, despite recording 20 goal attempts and many more corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks.



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瓦朗谢纳VS特鲁瓦


北京时间周日凌晨,瓦朗西亚欢迎特鲁瓦参加这场在海诺体育场举行的法甲联赛。按照这个联盟的标准,我们可以期待一场中等水平的比赛。瓦朗谢纳上赛季表现不佳,离降级到第三梯队国家队不远了。事实上,他们得到了45分,与20家俱乐部一起排名第16位。第戎以42分的成绩降级。另一方面,特鲁瓦上赛季在法甲表现不佳,被降级。这个赛季对他们来说非常失望——这是不可否认的。即便如此,就纯粹的阶级而言,他们也比瓦朗西亚人强得多!他们在比赛的各个方面都比东道主有优势。根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com,他们球队的总市值估计在3000万欧元左右——以联赛的标准来看,这是一个很大的数字。东道主球员的市值约为1400万美元。这个数字肯定太高了——我认为1000万到1100万是更准确的数字。

本赛季到目前为止,瓦伦西亚的表现糟透了——只赢了一场比赛!他们目前只拿到了6分,显然信心不足。他们在最近的五场比赛中没有赢过一场。是的,它们有一些改进的潜力,但不是很大。他们的进攻简直糟糕得可笑!事实上,他们在法甲联赛中只进过三次球!他们的进攻缺乏速度、创造力、个人技术和关键时刻的传球准确性。他们的防守还不错,但也不太好。他们丢了11个球,但他们的预期失球数(xGA)是15.53个。尽管特鲁瓦目前只进了11个球,但他们的进攻能力很强。他们的预期进球数(xG)是14.02。毫无疑问,他们在防守上有一些问题。到目前为止,他们的防守结构还不是很好。他们丢了13球,但他们的xGA“只有”9.76。他们目前排在第16位,但他们开始上升只是时间问题。博彩公司认为东道主是最受欢迎的,但在我的专业意见中,这是非常错误的。特鲁瓦有42%的机会获胜!他们已经连续输了三场比赛,但至少应该从这些比赛中得到四分。在最近的一场比赛中,他们在主场0-1输给了一支危险的球队圣艾蒂安,尽管他们有20次进球尝试和更多的角球、进攻和危险进攻。

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