West Ham United VS Newcastle United

West Ham host Newcastle for this English Premier League round 8 battle at London Stadium Sunday evening Beijing time. This is undoubtedly the best league in the world. Us serious football bettors can expect a clearly better than average match between these two good teams. West Ham currently occupy the 7th place in the standings. They have a total of 13 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is lower – 11.01 to be precise. They have netted the ball 13 times in the Premier League so far this season and have been marginally unlucky in terms of expected goals xG. They have conceded only 10 goals but I must mention that their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is bigger – 13.46. Newcastle, on the other hand, have not had the best start to the Premier League season. Indeed, they have already lost three games.. They are currently in the 8th place with one point less than West Ham in their pocket. Their number of xPTS is 12.98. Yes, by pure class Newcastle are of course the better team and deserve to be the favorites - but only narrow – based on my strong data-based in-depth analysis. The biggest, sometimes relatively smart bookmakers that accept the biggest bets from customers - rather weirdly - see Newcastle as clear favorites – offering them odds of around 2.00 to win. This is way too low as I see them having an only 40% chance of taking all three points. We will go with the West Ham +0.5 goals handicap to increase the wild winning streak of seven picks in this league! We must not forget that Newcastle are an incredibly strong team at home in front of perhaps the best fans in England. Away from home, however, their level drops quite significantly. They have lost two of the three games on the road in this league. Yes, they beat Sheffield United 8-0 on the 24th of last month but we must keep in mind that this newly-promoted team is a very limited one and shamingly more or less gave up when Newcastle scored the 3-0 goal. It seems that this result (still) affects the odds too much here..

West Ham are a very strong team at London Stadium and have won eight of their latest nine home games! The only loss came on the 16th of September against the best team in the world – Manchester City 1-3. West Ham were leading the game at halftime and fought well. There is no denying the fact that Newcastle have improved from the start of the season winning four games in a row. However, beating Newcastle and a lowly team Burnley (2-0) in the Premier League does not excite me too much. Yes, everybody is talking about Newcastle’s fine 4-1 win over PSG in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday (England time). Yes, they did play well but everything also went their way.. Clearly this win affects the odds way too much here. I want to highlight that PSG played clearly below their normal level in this game. Even so, they had 69% ball possession and recorded massively more total passes (675-240) and completed passes (595-173) as well as more attacks and dangerous attacks! Newcastle did record more goal attempts (13-11) and generated more in xG - but only marginally – 0.99-0.85 to be precise. It is typical even in professional football - as well as in ice-hockey - that the players' concentration is not quite 100% in a regular game after a huge - and surely very emotional win. This phenomenon is even more clear if the next game is away from home.. West Ham, too, have been in fine form lately and have won three games in a row. On Thursday (England time) the reigning UEFA Europa Conference League champions beat a dangerous Bundesliga team, Freiburg, 2-1 away from home after a balanced clash. Before this they comfortably defeated Sheffield United at home 2-0. The hosts are expected to be without Johnson – Antonio and Cresswell are questionable at the time of writing this preview late Friday evening Beijing time. Newcastle will be missing Barnes, Botman, Gordon and Willick. A very important key player Joelington and Wilson are questionable.

西汉姆联VS纽卡斯尔联

北京时间8日晚，英超联赛第8轮，西汉姆联主场迎战纽卡斯尔。这无疑是世界上最好的联赛。我们这些认真的足球投注者可以期待这两支强队之间的比赛明显好于平均水平。西汉姆目前在积分榜上排名第七。他们的账户上总共有13分。然而，它们的期望值(xPTS)较低，准确地说是11.01。本赛季到目前为止，他们在英超联赛中有13次进球，在预期进球方面运气不佳。他们只丢了10个球，但我必须提到他们的预期失球数(xGA)更大——13.46个。另一方面，纽卡斯尔在英超联赛的开局并不理想。的确，他们已经输了三场了。他们目前排在第8位，比西汉姆少1分。他们的xPTS数是12.98。是的，从纯粹的等级来看，纽卡斯尔当然是更好的球队，应该成为最受欢迎的球队——但只是狭隘的——基于我强大的基于数据的深入分析。最大的，有时相对聪明的博彩公司接受客户最大的赌注——相当奇怪的是——把纽卡斯尔视为明显的热门——给他们提供大约2.00的赔率来获胜。这是太低了，因为我认为他们只有40%的机会得到所有三分。我们将用西汉姆联+0.5个进球的劣势来增加这个联赛的七连胜!我们不能忘记纽卡斯尔在英格兰最好的球迷面前是一支不可思议的强队。然而，在客场，他们的水平下降得相当明显。他们在这个联盟的三场客场比赛中输了两场。是的，他们在上个月24日以8-0击败了谢菲尔德联队，但是我们必须记住，这支新升级的球队是一支非常有限的球队，当纽卡斯尔3-0进球时，他们或多或少地放弃了。似乎这个结果仍然影响了这里的胜算。

西汉姆在伦敦球场是一支非常强大的球队，在最近的9场主场比赛中赢了8场!唯一的一次失利发生在9月16日，对手是世界上最好的球队——曼城。西汉姆在中场休息时处于领先地位，他们打得很好。不可否认的事实是，纽卡斯尔从赛季开始就取得了四连胜。然而，在英超联赛中击败纽卡斯尔和低级别球队伯恩利(2-0)并没有让我太兴奋。是的，每个人都在谈论纽卡斯尔在周三(英格兰时间)的欧洲冠军联赛中以4比1击败巴黎圣日耳曼的比赛。是的，他们踢得很好，但一切都按照他们的方式进行。显然这场胜利对赔率的影响太大了。我想强调的是，巴黎圣日耳曼在这场比赛中的表现明显低于他们的正常水平。即便如此，他们有69%的控球率，记录了更多的总传球(675-240)和完成传球(595-173)，以及更多的攻击和危险攻击!纽卡斯尔的进球次数确实更多(13-11次)，并且创造了更多的射门机会，但仅仅是一点点——准确地说是0.99-0.85次。即使在职业足球和冰球比赛中，在一场大胜之后，球员的注意力也不是100%集中，这是很典型的。如果下一场比赛是在客场，这种现象就会更加明显。西汉姆最近的状态也不错，已经取得了三连胜。英格兰时间周四，欧联杯卫冕冠军在客场2-1击败德甲劲旅弗莱堡，双方势均力敌。在此之前，他们在主场2-0轻松击败谢菲尔德联队。预计东道主将没有约翰逊——安东尼奥和克雷斯韦尔在北京时间周五晚上写这篇预告的时候还不确定。纽卡斯尔将失去巴恩斯、博特曼、戈登和威利克。一个非常重要的关键球员乔林顿和威尔逊是可疑的。