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外籍分析师
英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Excellent value in Ligue1 today

2023-09-29

比赛分析

主队斯特拉斯LOGO

斯特拉斯

法甲

已完赛

星期六2023-09-30 03:00

客队朗斯LOGO

朗斯

解读理由

In my opinion Strasbourg have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.


Strasbourg have good mental advantage before this game as they went unbeaten at home against Lens in last two consecutive seasons.


Two years ago Strasbourg finished in Top6. Unfortunately, last season was horrible for them. Strasbourg finished 3 places above relegation zone. Action was required and action was taken - Strasbourg signed high quality coach Patrick Vieira. He was Crystal Palace coach for almost two years in Premier League and for sure he have all required tools to finish season with top half of the table (at least).


Strasbourg improvement is really visible. 10 points after 6 rounds and they are in Top6 at the moment. Team deserved to be there. They scored 7 goals (according to the expected goals scored model they should score 8.1). They conceded 8 goals (according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 7.6). Strasbourg lost two matches, but twice they played on away and twice against top places contenders (Monaco and Nice). Strasbourg looked excellent at home so far (7 points in 3 matches). They are in great mood as they went unbeaten in last two rounds and wants to go with momentum front of home crowd.


Lens had excellent season, but lost two the best players (Fofana & Openda) before start of current campaign and now they have huge troubles. Only one win in 6 rounds. In addition to that, their schedule is fully packed as they playing in Champions League. Next Tuesday huge game at home against Arsenal so some rotation in squad is possible. For sure Lens not coming here with big confidence - they lost all 3 away matches in current season of Ligue1 and conceded 9 goals in the process.


I really don't see Lens as so big favorite here. Strong value on home side, no doubt about that.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,斯特拉斯堡有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。


斯特拉斯堡在这场比赛前有很好的心理优势,因为他们连续两个赛季在主场对朗斯保持不败。


两年前,斯特拉斯堡排名前6。不幸的是,上个赛季对他们来说很糟糕。斯特拉斯堡以高于降级区3个名次结束比赛。行动被要求,行动被采取——斯特拉斯堡签下了高水平的教练维埃拉。他在水晶宫执教了近两年的英超联赛,毫无疑问,他拥有所有必要的条件来完成本赛季的积分榜(至少)。


斯特拉斯堡的改善是显而易见的。6轮后积10分,目前他们在Top6。这是球队应得的。他们进了7个球(根据预期进球得分模型,他们应该得8.1分)。他们丢了8个球(根据预期丢球模型,他们应该丢7.6个球)。斯特拉斯堡输掉了两场比赛,但他们两次在客场比赛,两次对阵顶级竞争者(摩纳哥和尼斯)。到目前为止,斯特拉斯堡在主场的表现非常出色(3场7分)。他们在过去的两轮比赛中保持不败,他们的心情很好,希望在主场观众面前保持势头。


朗斯本赛季表现出色,但在赛季开始前失去了两名最好的球员(福法纳和奥彭达),现在他们遇到了巨大的麻烦。6局只赢了一场。除此之外,他们的赛程也排得满满的,因为他们要参加欧冠比赛。下周二将在主场与阿森纳进行一场重要的比赛,所以阵容轮换是可能的。可以肯定的是,蓝斯并没有带着很大的信心来到这里——他们本赛季在法甲的3场客场比赛全部输球,丢了9个球。


我真的不认为蓝思是这里的大热门。毫无疑问,主队价值很高。

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