In my opinion Frosinone have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Frosinone didn't lost a match since 19th August. At home already recorded 2 wins in 3 matches. On the other hand I don't see Fiorentina as strong away team - they failed to win in 14 of last 22 Serie A matches on the road.

Frosinone coming for this game in great mood as they went unbeaten in last 4 matches in a row. Confidence is on the highest possible level and team wants to go with momentum front of home crowd. No new absences in squad so their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round game on away against Salernitana (1:1).

Fiorentina is still without 3 key players Mina, Gonzalez and Castrovilli. In addition to that they have one new absence - key defender Dodo is unavailable. It's huge blow as he played in all league matches so far and he was important part of the all tactic process on the pitch.

I believe Frosinone have big advantage in fitness department. Since end of August it's only 4th game for them. Last game they played 6 days ago. On the other hand it's already 6th game for Fiorentina since end of August and it's third game for them in last 7 days. For sure freshness is not on their side.

In addition to that, Fiorentina have better results than really should. They scored 11 goals so far, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score only 4.4. It's huge difference.

I see big value on home side.

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在我看来，弗罗西诺内在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。

自8月19日以来，弗罗西诺内没有输过一场比赛。在主场已经3场2胜。另一方面，我不认为佛罗伦萨是一支强大的客场球队——他们在过去的22场意甲客场比赛中有14场失利。

弗罗西诺内心情很好，因为他们在最近4场比赛中保持不败。我们的信心达到了最高水平，球队希望在主场观众面前保持势头。阵容中没有新的缺阵，所以他们的阵容应该和上一轮客场对阵萨莱尼塔纳(1:1)的比赛一模一样。

佛罗伦萨仍然没有三名关键球员米娜，冈萨雷斯和卡斯特罗维利。除此之外，他们还有一个新的缺阵——关键后卫渡渡不能上场。这对他来说是一个巨大的打击，因为他参加了迄今为止所有的联赛，他是球场上所有战术过程的重要组成部分。

我相信弗罗西诺内在健身方面有很大的优势。自8月底以来，这只是他们的第四场比赛。他们最后一场比赛是6天前打的。另一方面，这已经是佛罗伦萨自8月底以来的第六场比赛，也是他们在过去7天内的第三场比赛。当然新鲜感并不在他们这边。

除此之外，佛罗伦萨取得了比实际情况更好的成绩。到目前为止，他们打进了11球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该只进4.4球。这是巨大的差异。

我看到了主场的巨大价值。

09月29日弗洛西诺 VS 佛罗伦萨比赛分析直播