In my opinion Roma should be bigger favorite in this game. +0 AH looks like great bet to play.

For sure Roma coming for this game without any fear as they won 15 of last 23 matches against Torino. Guests currently on great streak at this stadium. Roma won 5 of last 6 away matches against Torino, why not today?

Torino after 4 rounds is 2 points above Roma in league table, but they are better team only on the paper. Torino had easier schedule. They faced only one top team – Milan on away and lost 1:4. Torino scored 5 goals in 4 matches, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score only 3.7. Only 6 teams in whole league produced less.

Roma have very unlucky start of the season. In first two matches they made only one point, but in both matches they had much higher expected goals scored number than opponents. They also lost 1:2 at home after close match against Milan. In fourth round Roma broke bad streak in best possible style – they completely demolished 7:0 Empoli at home and I’m sure that was turning point. Atmosphere in team is great and they wants to go with momentum.

Obviously, Roma have a lot of great options in attack – they have top class players in Serie A standards like Lukaku, Dybala or Torino former best striker Belotti. On the other hand Roma played much better at the back than results shows. According to the expected goals concede model, they should concede only 2.8 goals in 4 matches – only 3 teams in whole league are better in that department.

I see really good value on Roma.

在我看来，罗马在这场比赛中更受欢迎。+0 AH看起来是个不错的赌注。

可以肯定的是，罗马在这场比赛中毫无畏惧，因为他们在过去23场对都灵的比赛中赢了15场。客人们目前在这个体育场表现出色。罗马在最近6场客场对阵都灵的比赛中赢了5场，为什么今天不赢呢?

4轮过后，都灵在积分榜上领先罗马2分，但他们只是在纸面上更胜一筹。都灵的赛程比较轻松。他们只在客场面对过一支强队——米兰，结果1:4输了。都灵在4场比赛中打进5球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该只进3.7球。全联盟只有6支球队的得分低于他。

罗马本赛季开局很不走运。在前两场比赛中，他们只得到一分，但在这两场比赛中，他们的预期进球数都比对手高得多。在与米兰的一场势均力敌的比赛后，他们也在主场以1:2落败。在第四轮，罗马以最好的方式打破了连败——他们在主场以7:0彻底击败了恩波利，我相信那是一个转折点。球队的气氛很好，他们想要带着动力前进。

显然，罗马在进攻端有很多不错的选择——他们拥有意甲水平的顶级球员，比如卢卡库、迪巴拉和都灵前最佳前锋贝洛蒂。另一方面，罗马在后防线上的表现比结果要好得多。根据预期失球模型，他们应该在4场比赛中只丢2.8个球，整个联赛中只有3支球队在这方面比他们更好。

我认为罗马很有价值。