In my opinion Salzburg have really good chances to avoid big loss in today's match up. +1.5 AH on away side looks like very good option to play.

I believe Salzburg have all required tools to score minimum one goal today and on those circumstances that will be very hard for Benfica to cover this high HC line.

If You just look on Benfica last 5 league matches in new season, their defensive formation is not rock solid. They conceded 3 goals against Boavista, they conceded 2 goals against Gil Vicente. At the weekend they won 2:1 on the road against Vizela, but that wasn't convincing at all: expected goals scored for Benfica 1.96, for Vizela 1.69. In last 5 matches Benfica kept clean sheet against Guimaraes and Amadora, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede together 1.68 goals in those matches.

On the other hand Salzburg offensive formation at the moment works on the highest possible level. 18 goals scored in 7 matches is not coincidence (15.6 expected goals scored). Team already showed big firepower in pre-season game against Inter (Champions League finalist from previous edition) when they scored 3 goals against them. They have high quality players at both ends of the pitch: Pavlovic and Kjaergaard at the back or Konate and Koita in attack. Guests are really dangerous team.

I see good chances for Salzburg to make big troubles for Benfica today.

在我看来，萨尔茨堡在今天的比赛中有很好的机会避免大的损失。客场+1.5 AH看起来是个不错的选择。

我相信萨尔茨堡今天拥有所有需要的工具来打进至少一个球，在这种情况下，本菲卡将很难覆盖这个高HC线。

如果你看看本菲卡在新赛季的最后5场联赛，他们的防守阵型并不是坚如磐石。他们对博阿维斯塔丢了3个球，对吉尔·维森特丢了2个球。上周末，他们客场2:1战胜了比泽拉，但这并不令人信服:本菲卡的预期进球数为1.96，比泽拉为1.69。在过去的5场比赛中，本菲卡对吉马良斯和阿马多拉保持零失球，但根据预期失球模型，他们在这些比赛中应该共失球1.68个。

另一方面，萨尔茨堡目前的进攻阵型发挥了最高水平。7场比赛打进18球并非巧合(预期进球数为15.6)。在季前赛对阵国际米兰(上一版的欧冠决赛)的比赛中，球队已经表现出了强大的火力，他们在对阵国际米兰的比赛中打进了3球。他们在攻防两端都有高水平的球员:巴甫洛维奇和贾尔加德在后腰，科纳特和科伊塔在进攻端。客人真的是很危险的队伍。

我看到萨尔茨堡今天有很好的机会给本菲卡制造麻烦。