Borja头像
外籍分析师
西班牙人,全职体育专家。
  • 968

    方案

  • 21411

    粉丝

The two best picks for the UCL!

2023-09-20

比赛分析

主队皇马LOGO

皇马

欧冠

已完赛

星期四2023-09-21 00:45

客队柏林联合LOGO

柏林联合

欧冠

已完赛

星期四2023-09-21 03:00

解读理由

BAYERN MUNICH - MANCHESTER UNITED

Another Bundesliga campaign is underway and Bayern Munich have picked up right where they left off from last season. They currently sit in second spot, with the same points as Bayer Leverkusen but behind on goal difference.

Last season was far from perfect for the Bavarians as they just managed to retain their Bundesliga title after a slip-up by Borussia Dortmund on the final matchday. One of the major concerns for the Bavarians last season was the absence of an elite striker. That has now been covered with the signing of Harry Kane, who already has four goals in four games.

However, Kane was brought for the big game like the one against United, and it is here where he will have to justify his €100 million price tag. The club has also added Serie A-winning defender Kim Min Jae, Konrad Laimer (from RB Leipzig), and Raphael Guerrero (from Borussia Dortmund).

With Leroy Sane and Kingsley Coman on the wings, as well as either Jamal Musiala or Thomas Muller in the No. 10 role, I think Bayern have greater balance going forward this season.

However, they are showing one more season that they are a goal machine. 11 goals in 4 games this season so far, and their only blip on the radar came in their last draw 2:2 against Leverkusen after conceding a penalty at 94’.

When you have as much attacking talent as Bayern have, the want to commit bodies forward every chance is tempting, but it's also been their Achilles heel. They do not want to track back with full effort for the full 90 minutes and good opposition who can generate a great counter-attack will always have a puncher's chance against the Bavarian side.

This is where Manchester United comes into the equation. United have been the laughingstock of the Premier League through the first games of the season, managing just two wins in that span. Defensively, they are in shambles, conceding 10 goals and getting taken to the woodshed by Brighton, Arsenal, and Tottenham. They have looked unconvincingly at the back lately.

Club morale is at an all-time low and Erik ten Hag is on the verge of losing the locker room if the disappointing results continue to pile up. They have also done a lot of rebuilding, but injuries and loss of form mean they have been far from perfect.

Their performances against strong teams in the Premier League have been terrible: They were totally outplayed by Brighton (1:3) and Arsenal (3:1), and also dominated by Arsenal (2:0).

I don't believe Manchester United have what it takes to go into Bayern and escape with three points, I do believe their best chance at a result is by going out and putting their attacking force to work by pressing high up the pitch, committing bodies forward, and firing off as many shots as humanly possible.

Sitting back for 90 minutes against Bayern is a losing proposition and entering this match with that mindset is a sure-fire way to fail. However, make a risky-offensive match in the Allianz Arena with a box to box game is almost suicidal, because in this scenarios Bayern has all weapons to destroy their rivals. Now even more with one of the best killers and scorers in Europe like Harry Kane, who surely will be desperate to get on the scoresheet against an English side. He’s adapted to life really well at Bayern Munich, where the fans will expect him to emulate Robert Lewandowski, and I can see him getting plenty of goals at his new club.

Bayern Munich have essentially every single aspect you could want in a team looking to make noise in Europe from the goalkeeper right through the man leading the line in Harry Kane. They can beat you with a possession-based game, or they can blitz you and outscore you in either half.

For me, the hosts are clearly favorites to win this clash. They already beat at home much stronger teams than Manchester United such as Barcelona, Inter Milan or PSG last season. This year I see them even stronger (and one of the main favorites to win the Champions League title) whilst Manchester United is far from being a top team in Europe.

REAL MADRID - UNION BERLIN

This could be one of the big UCL nights for Real Madrid in the new Santiago Bernabeu.

As you may know, Real Madrid is the most successful club in this tournament. They started the season pretty well, winning all games played so far and some of them against difficult opponents such as Real Sociedad (2:1) or Athletic Club (0:2).

One of the big impacts for Real Madrid this season has been the new signing Jude Bellingham, perfectly adapted to the club and looking one of the most in-form players in Europe, thriving under the pressure of playing in the famous white jersey after his big move. He has scored five goals in as many games from midfield, putting him well on track to surpass the eight he netted in the Bundesliga for Borussia Dortmund last term, that being his best return for a single league campaign.

Jude Bellingham has been the alpha of the attack. His ability to roam, connect dots, and get the ball into the box at an elite level, has been essential to the team’s first five wins. He is a visionary, and his paranormal ability to be at the right place at the right time — unparalleled instinct — should see him continue scoring at a consistent clip.

Striker Joselu has chipped in with a couple of goals as well; the equaliser in the 2-1 win over Getafe before the international break, and the winner against Real Sociedad on Sunday. The 33-year-old’s arrival may have been somewhat unheralded given he joined on loan from Espanyol and would not be regarded by most as anywhere close to the standard of the player he essentially replaced, Karim Benzema, but he’s already showing his worth and will be aiming to score for a third game running on Wednesday.

The team has generated two expected goals (xG) per game so far and scored 10 goals in 5 games, which isn’t bad for a team that’s missing one of the best wingers in the world like Vinicius Jr.

Where they may struggle more, still, is on defense, where they’ve still been reliant on last-second heroism. Against Real Sociedad, the heroism came from Kepa. In other games, it’s been Antonio Rudiger, Dani Carvajal, and David Alaba, flying in for a last second block or tackle. However, Real Madrid have always embraced chaos and anarchy, even in their most successful periods in history. And in this situations, the midfield engine will need to work overtime tirelessly. Luckily, it’s the team’s deepest position.

On the other hand, Union Berlin is making their debut in this tournament. We must remember that it’s a team who has been promoted for the first time ever to the Bundesliga in the 2018-19 season, and they continued making history reaching the group stage of the UEFA Conference League in 2022-22 and then Europa League round of 16 last season.

Their squad also includes several players with past European experience such as Robin Gosens, Brenden Aaronson, Kevin Volland, Robin Knoche, Josip Juranović, Lucas Tousart and, above all, Juventus and Italy veteran defender Leonardo Bonucci.

They have hit something of a rocky patch. They started the season with back-to-back 4-1 wins over Mainz and Darmstadt but have since been beaten 3-0 at home by RB Leipzig and 2-1 away to Wolfsburg.

Union Berlin will park the bus and try to be dangerous at counters. Fischer’s defensive, counter-attacking playing style may not be the most eye-pleasing, but it has brought him consistent success.

However, hosts have much more quality and experience in this kind of game. Union Berlin will have some players with nerves and without the experience needed to manage the emotions and play in the home of the beast of the tournament.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

拜仁慕尼黑-曼联

另一场德甲联赛正在进行中,拜仁慕尼黑已经从上赛季离开的地方重新开始了。他们目前排名第二,与勒沃库森积分相同,但净胜球落后。

上个赛季对巴伐利亚人来说远非完美,他们在最后一场比赛被多特蒙德击败后勉强保住了德甲冠军。上赛季巴伐利亚人最担心的问题之一就是缺少一名优秀的前锋。现在,哈里·凯恩的加盟弥补了这一点,他已经在四场比赛中打进了四个球。

然而,凯恩是为了像对阵曼联这样的重要比赛而被引进的,在这里,他将不得不证明他的1亿欧元的价格是合理的。此外,还引进了意甲冠军金珉宰、康拉德·莱默(莱比锡RB)、拉斐尔·格雷罗(多特蒙德)。

萨内和科曼在边路,穆西亚拉和穆勒在10号位置,我认为拜仁在这个赛季会更加平衡。

然而,他们又一个赛季证明了他们是进球机器。本赛季到目前为止,他们在4场比赛中打进11球,唯一的亮点是他们在上一场比赛中2:2战平勒沃库森,他们在94 '时丢掉了点球。

当你拥有拜仁这么多的进攻天赋时,想要把身体向前推进的想法很诱人,但这也是他们的致命弱点。他们不希望在整个90分钟内全力反击,而优秀的对手如果能制造出强大的反击,总是有机会对阵巴伐利亚球队。

这就是曼联进入方程式的地方。曼联在本赛季的前几场比赛中一直是英超的笑柄,在这段时间里只取得了两场胜利。在防守方面,他们陷入了混乱,丢了10个球,被布莱顿、阿森纳和热刺击败。他们最近对后场的观察令人难以置信。

俱乐部的士气处于历史最低点,如果令人失望的结果继续堆积下去,埃里克·滕·黑格就快要失去更衣室了。他们也做了很多重建工作,但是伤病和状态的丧失意味着他们还远远不够完美。

他们在面对英超强队时的表现非常糟糕:他们被布莱顿(1:3)和阿森纳(3:1)完全击败,也被阿森纳(2:0)统治。

我不相信曼联有能力击败拜仁并带着三分逃脱,我确实相信他们最好的机会是上场,让他们的进攻力量发挥作用,在球场的高处施压,身体向前,尽可能多地射门。

在对阵拜仁的比赛中坐以待毙90分钟是一件失败的事情,带着这种心态进入这场比赛肯定会失败。然而,在安联球场进行一场冒险的进攻比赛几乎是自杀式的,因为在这种情况下,拜仁拥有摧毁对手的所有武器。现在更有像哈里·凯恩这样的欧洲最好的杀手和射手,他肯定会不顾一切地在对阵英格兰球队的比赛中进球。他已经很好地适应了拜仁慕尼黑的生活,球迷们希望他能效仿莱万多夫斯基,我可以看到他在新俱乐部会进很多球。

拜仁慕尼黑基本上具备了你想要的一支在欧洲赛场上制造噪音的球队的所有方面,从守门员到哈里·凯恩的带队。他们可以用控球的方式击败你,也可以在任何半场闪电战并得分。

在我看来,东道主显然是赢得这场比赛的大热门。上赛季,他们已经在主场击败了比曼联强得多的球队,比如巴塞罗那、国际米兰或巴黎圣日耳曼。今年我看到他们更强大了(而且是赢得欧冠冠军的主要热门之一),而曼联离欧洲顶级球队还很远。

皇家马德里-柏林联盟

在新的圣地亚哥伯纳乌球场,这将是皇马在欧冠赛场上最重要的夜晚之一。

你可能知道,皇马是本届赛事中最成功的俱乐部。他们本赛季开局不错,赢下了迄今为止的所有比赛,其中一些是对阵皇家社会(2:1)或竞技俱乐部(0:2)等难对付的对手。

本赛季皇马最大的影响之一是新签下的裘德·贝灵汉,他完美地适应了俱乐部,看起来是欧洲状态最好的球员之一,在他的重大转会后,在穿着著名的白色球衣的压力下茁壮成长。他

在同样多的比赛中,他在中场打入了5个进球,这使他很有可能超过他上赛季在德甲多特蒙德的8个进球,这是他在单赛季联赛中最好的复出。

裘德·贝灵汉是这次袭击的领头人物。他的漫游能力,连点能力,以及将球带进禁区的能力,都是球队前五场胜利的关键。他是一个有远见的人,他在正确的时间出现在正确的地点的超常能力——无与伦比的本能——应该会让他继续以稳定的速度得分。

前锋何塞卢也贡献了几个进球;在国际比赛日前2-1战胜赫塔菲扳平比分,并在周日战胜皇家社会。这名33岁的球员从西班牙人租借而来,他的到来可能有点不受欢迎,而且大多数人都认为他的水平无法接近被他取代的本泽马,但他已经展示了自己的价值,并将在周三的第三场比赛中进球。

到目前为止,这支球队场均创造了两个预期进球(xG),并在5场比赛中打入10球,这对于一支缺少像小维尼修斯这样世界上最好的边锋之一的球队来说并不坏。

他们可能更挣扎的地方,仍然是在防守上,他们仍然依赖于最后一秒的英雄主义。在对阵皇家社会的比赛中,英雄主义来自凯帕。在其他比赛中,安东尼奥·鲁迪格、达尼·卡瓦哈尔和大卫·阿拉巴在最后一秒的拦截或抢断中飞过来。然而,皇马总是喜欢混乱和无政府状态,即使在他们历史上最成功的时期也是如此。在这种情况下,中场引擎需要不知疲倦地加班加点工作。幸运的是,这是全队最深的位置。

另一方面,柏林联盟是他们在本届锦标赛中的首次亮相。我们必须记住,这是一支在2018-19赛季首次晋级德甲的球队,他们继续创造历史,在2022-22赛季进入欧洲联盟联赛小组赛,然后在上赛季进入欧洲联赛16强。

他们的阵容中还包括几名有欧洲赛场经验的球员,如罗宾·戈森斯、布兰登·阿伦森、凯文·沃兰、罗宾·诺切、尤拉诺维奇、卢卡斯·图萨特,最重要的是,尤文图斯和意大利的老将后卫莱昂纳多·博努奇。

他们遇到了一些困难。赛季初,他们以4-1连续击败美因茨和达姆施塔特,但随后在主场0 - 3被莱比锡RB击败,在客场2-1被沃尔夫斯堡击败。

柏林联合公司将把巴士停在柜台上,并试图制造危险。菲舍尔的防守、反击的打法可能不是最令人赏心悦目的,但这给他带来了持续的成功。

然而,东道主在这类比赛中有更多的素质和经验。柏林联盟队将会有一些紧张的球员,他们没有足够的经验来管理自己的情绪,也没有能力在联赛之兽的主场比赛。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。