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俄罗斯职业体育分析师,是欧洲最知名的分析师之一。
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High odds in France 法甲第戎VS尼斯

2021-04-18

比赛分析

主队第戎LOGO

第戎

法甲

已完赛

星期日2021-04-18 21:00

客队尼斯LOGO

尼斯

解读理由

Traditional free pick after a lost one.

After a wicked plot twist in Italy with Fiorentina collapsing to a loss from nowhere, I hope for better luck in France, where one of the clearest games will be held in Dijon.

Every season Ligue1 gets a hopeless outsider, who gets beaten on weekly basis. After Tolouse the marathon stick has been passed to Dijon. They have already beaten the competition record for most consecutive defeats and are sitting rock bottom of Ligue1 table with no prospects of getting saved.

I’ve watched most of their recent games and there is indeed not much heart left in the squad. They usually put up a fight until the 1st conceded goal, as most relegation material teams, and the on 0-1 just collapse and throw the towel in.

Empty stands are of no help in this situation to Dijon as they struggle to get the extra bit of energy or positive vibes to keep fighting for points.

If Nice had motivation left in Ligue their odds would be lower than they currently are. I was personally expecting to see a -1 handicap, so the current 1.8 for away win is a surprisingly high and generous offer. It has a lot to do with Nice being left with nothing to play for. However, my main hope here is that youth spirit conquers all. There are so many talented boys in this Nice team, who have enough individual motivation to leave a mark in the competition. 23 year old Danish striker Kasper Dolberg, for instance, has just recently joined his teammates after a lengthy injury absence and he is 120% motivated for every game. 21-year old talent Gouiri has little concern over lack of tournament goals for Nice - he is their leading striker (12 goals) and top playmaker (6 assists). Lotomba (22), Thuram (20), Saliba (20) and Todibo (21). All these guys are definitely hungry for wins on the pitch and with the form they’ve been showing in recent weeks, I am certain, they can stretch Dijon losing streak to 13 in a row.

It also helps that a draw does not work for Dijon as they must win every single game now - this puts extra pressure on the home team and guarantees high risk defending. A perfect storm for the young and quick Nice team.


输了一场之后,免费分享这场比赛。

在佛罗伦萨经历了一场剧情转折之后,我希望在这场法甲能有好运气,最清晰的一场比赛将在第戎举行。

每个赛季法甲都会有出现一个绝望的局外人,每周都会遭到失败。在图卢兹之后,接力棒已经移交给了第戎。他们已经连续打破了纪录,并且排在了积分榜垫底,没有保级的希望。

我已经看了他们最近的大部分比赛,球队的确没有太多的底气了。他们通常会进行努力战斗直到第一个失球,因为大多数降级的球队都如此,0-1后基本也就举旗投降。

在这种情况下,空场对第戎毫无帮助,因为他们以及没有更多的精力或积极的气氛来继续争取积分。

如果尼斯还有动力,那么他们的指数将低于目前的指数。我个人期望看到-1的让分,所以目前的1.8客胜是比较高的回报。尼斯已经没有太大的目标。但是我认为他们的年轻球员依然有战斗的精神。尼斯队中有很多才华横溢的球员,他们有足够的个人动力在比赛中取得好的表现。例如,现年23岁的丹麦前锋卡斯珀·多尔伯格(Kasper Dolberg)在长时间缺席伤病后刚刚加入,每场比赛他都有120%的动力。 21岁的天才Gouiri对缺少比赛进球没什么好担心的-他是他们的当家射手射手(12个进球)和顶级组织者(6个助攻)。 Lotomba(22),Thuram(20),Saliba(20)和Todibo(21)。所有这些年轻的球员肯定都渴望在球场上取得胜利,而且凭借他们最近几周展现的状态,我敢肯定他们可以将第戎的连败扩大到13场。

平局对第戎不起作用,因为他们必须现在赢下每一场比赛-这给主队带来了额外压力,防守的风险会更大。尼斯将会刮起青春风暴。

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