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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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19/14 in my last Championship

2023-09-17

比赛分析

英冠

已完赛

星期日2023-09-17 19:00

解读理由

In my opinion Millwall have bigger chances to avoid loss in this game than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

Millwall have really good streak at home against Leeds as they didn't lost against them at The Den since March 2013. Since then Millwall played 6 home matches against Leeds and recorded 5 wins.

Before break for National matches Milllwall started to look better and better. They won at home against Stoke and recorded draw 1:1 on the road against Birmingham. Team wants to continue to go with momentum front of home crowd.

Millwall always is really hard nut to crack in London, no doubt about that. 3 years ago they avoided loss in 17 of 23 home league matches, two years ago they avoided loss in 19 of 23 home league matches. Last year again avoided loss at home in 17 of 23 matches in Championship. Today all tickets are sold out, so I expecting great atmosphere and strong support from the stands.

Leeds have been relegated from Premier League. They wants to back there as soon as possible, but team currently is not in good state. So many key players from previous season like defender Koch, defensive midfielders Adams and Roca, winger Harrison or striker Sinisterra.

On those circumstances Leeds slow start in current campaing is not big surprise. They won only once in 5 league matches, against Ipswich, but that wasn't deserved result at all: expected goals scored for Ipswich 2.47, for Leeds 1.63. In addition to that, Leeds have serious squad problems. Today they are without 5 key players: defenders Cooper, Dallas and Firpo, winger James and best striker Bamford. That shoud have very bad impact on their performance today.

I don't see Leeds as favorite of this game. Strong value on home side.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,米尔沃尔在这场比赛中避免输球的机会比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大。

米尔沃尔在主场对阵利兹联的比赛中取得了不错的连胜,自2013年3月以来他们从未在主场输过利兹联。从那以后,米尔沃尔在主场与利兹联打了6场比赛,取得了5场胜利。

在国家队比赛休息前,米尔沃尔开始变得越来越好。他们在主场战胜斯托克城,客场1:1战平伯明翰。球队希望在主场球迷面前继续保持势头。

毫无疑问,米尔沃尔在伦敦一直是一块难啃的骨头。3年前他们在23场主场比赛中有17场避免了失利,2年前他们在23场主场比赛中有19场避免了失利。去年在英冠23场比赛中17场避免了主场失利。今天所有的票都卖完了,所以我期待着很好的气氛和看台上的大力支持。

利兹联队已从超级联赛降级。他们想尽快回到那里,但是球队目前状态不佳。很多上赛季的主力球员,比如后卫科赫,后腰亚当斯和罗卡,边锋哈里森和前锋辛尼特拉。

在这种情况下,利兹在目前的竞选中起步缓慢并不令人惊讶。在联赛的5场比赛中,他们只赢了一场,对阵伊普斯维奇,但这根本不是他们应得的结果:伊普斯维奇的预期进球数为2.47,利兹的预期进球数为1.63。除此之外,利兹还有严重的阵容问题。今天他们失去了5名关键球员:后卫库珀,达拉斯和菲尔波,边锋詹姆斯和最佳前锋班福德。这将对他们今天的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。

我不认为利兹是这场比赛的赢家。在主场有很强的价值。

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