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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A FINE match to bet on! $$$ 丹麦甲 桑德捷VS奥尔堡

2023-09-16

比赛分析

丹麦甲

已完赛

星期六2023-09-16 01:00

解读理由

Sonderjyske VS Aalborg


Sonderjyske host Aalborg for this Danish Division 1. round 9 battle at Sydbank Park in Haderslev early Saturday morning Beijing time. This is the second level of Danish football. The level of this league is relatively low by global standards. The difference between this league and the Superliga, the first level, is substantial. We can expect a match of very good level by this league’s level here between these two strong teams. Most importantly, however, we have yet another promising betting opportunity here! Even the biggest. sometimes rather sharp bookies with the biggest stake limits make quite a lot of mistakes with their odds in this league. These bookies see this match as more or less a coin toss – a 50/50 game without an actual favorite - offering both odds of around 2.65 to take all three points. This is, based on my sophisticated analysis, opinion, not correct at all! The visitors deserve to bet solid favorites! They do have an edge in terms of class – with the expected lineups – over the hosts. Aalborg with the +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here with a big chance of winning

Most of my fans are probably aware by now about the fact I never let the standings fool me. Indeed, Hobro are currently in 2nd place in the league table. They have taken a total of 17 points. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is clearly lower – 14.89 to be precise. They have netted the ball a fine 22 times. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is only 16.98. They have conceded nine goals and their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is marginally bigger 9.87. Horsens, too, have bene strong this season. They have not lost a single game in the Division 1. so far this season! Their defense is amazingly good for this level! It has a great structure and silly defensive mistakes are almost non-existent! Indeed, they have allowed just four goals – their number of xGA is 5.12 though. They were – rather surprisingly, relegated from the Superliga after last season. In my expert opinion they have a very good chance of promoting back to the first level. They really do belong there. They have potential even for further improvement - especially offense. In this area of the game their edge over the hosts is much smaller than defensively. They have 20 points to their account but their number of xPTS is, in fact, a little smaller – 18.98. I do trust their coach and players a lot ahead of this difficult game. Lastly I want to mention that in terms of expected squad market value according to a well-known source - Transfermerkt.com the visitors are the bigger team here – clearly. Their squad has an estimated market value of 11 million euros.



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桑德兰斯克VS奥尔堡


在丹麦甲级联赛中,桑德兰日德兰主场迎战奥尔堡。北京时间周六凌晨,第九轮比赛在哈德斯列夫的悉尼银行公园举行。这是丹麦足球的第二梯队。按照国际标准,这个联赛的水平相对较低。这个联赛和甲级联赛之间的差距是巨大的。我们可以期待这两支强队在这个联赛的水平上进行一场非常好的比赛。然而,最重要的是,我们在这里还有另一个有希望的赌博机会!即使是最大的。有时,在这个联赛中,拥有最大赌注限制的相当精明的赌徒在赔率上犯了很多错误。这些博彩公司把这场比赛或多或少地看作是一场掷硬币的比赛——一场50/50的比赛,没有真正的热门——提供2.65左右的赔率来获得所有三分。这是,根据我老练的分析,观点,根本不正确!客队值得赌一把!在阵容方面,他们确实比东道主有优势。奥尔堡有+0.5个进球障碍,显然是一个明智的赌注,有很大的获胜机会

我的大多数粉丝现在可能已经意识到,我从不让排名欺骗我。事实上,Hobro目前在联赛中排名第二。他们一共得了17分。然而,他们的期望值(xPTS)明显更低,准确地说是14.89。他们有22次把球打进球门。然而,他们的预期进球数(xG)仅为16.98。他们已经丢了9个球,他们的预期失球数(xGA)略高于9.87个。马本赛季也表现强劲。他们在甲级联赛中一场也没输过。这一季到目前为止!他们的防守在这个级别是惊人的好!它有一个伟大的结构和愚蠢的防守错误几乎不存在!事实上,他们只丢了4个球,但他们的总进球数是5.12。令人惊讶的是,他们在上个赛季之后从超级联赛降级。以我的专家意见,他们很有可能升回一级联赛。他们确实属于那里。他们甚至还有进一步提高的潜力——尤其是进攻端。在这个领域,他们对东道主的优势远远小于防守。他们的账户上有20点,但他们的xPTS数量实际上要少一些,只有18.98点。在这场艰难的比赛之前,我非常信任他们的教练和球员。最后我想说的是,根据一个知名的消息来源——Transfermerkt.com,从球队的市场价值来看,客队显然是更大的球队。这支球队的市值估计为1100万欧元。

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