Yokohama F Marinos VS Sagan Tosu

Yokohama F. Marinos welcome Sagan Tosu for this Japanese J1 League round 27 battle at Nissan Stadium in Yokohama Friday evening Beijing time. This is the best league in Asia. Football lovers and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of pretty good level by the J1 League standards. My fans and I have enjoyed strong betting on this league – and the J2 League as well! I will be posting a pick on this league in a few hours. We have yet another promising betting opportunity here.Yes, it is true that there is a clear edge in class between the two teams. I expect Yokohama F. Marinos to control the events on the pitch for the most of the 90 minutes of play. Sagan Tosu are probably going to defend very hard here – perhaps even with nine or ten men - mainly relying on counter attacks, free kicks, corner kicks - or a possible penalty kick to score. I believe they would be satisfied with a point here against a strong opponent. The goal expectancy here is undoubtedly bigger than on average in this league but it is still, in my expert opinion, smaller than the betting market estimates. The probability of under 3.5 total goals to be scored is 60%. The hosts are definitely one of the best teams in Japan. They are the reigning J1 League champions and might well lift the trophy again this year. Sagan Tosu, on the other hand, finished in 11th place last season. Indeed, they are not a bad team at all – more like mediocre. They are currently in 13th place with 31 points to their account. They occupy the 10th place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class with the best possible starting lineup. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 34.04. Their offense does lack some individual skill and creativity and they have netted the ball just 32 times so far this season. Well, this is not a bad number though as for example Nagoya Grampus, in 3rd place, have scored ”only” 34 goals. Sagan Tosu's defense, on the other hand, is pretty solid – they have allowed 33 goals in this league so far. Silly defensive mistakes are relatively rare. Quite interestingly Yokohama T. Marinos have allowed just one goal less than the visitors! They do, however, have a lot of firepower! They have scored a whopping 48 goals so far! Their style of play is indeed aggressive and entertaining but also offer the opponent chances to hurt them with counter attacks..

The hosts did beat Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo at home in their latest game 3-0 at home in an YBC Levain Cup game. However, the visitors had 52% ball possession and recorded more shots off goal, attacks (136-111) and dangerous attacks (91-63). Both teams managed nine goal attempts. Before this they were poor and lost three games in a row and something is not right with their game at the moment.. Their defense is way too shaky – mainly because of poor structure and too much space between the players. They allowed a total of eight goals in these three defeats. In round 26 for example they suffered a 0-2 defeat away from home against Kashiwa Reyosal, a team who are currently in 16th place! Yokohama F. Marinos were solid favorites in this game according to the bookies but were abysmal in this game! The hosts recorded more goal attempts (14-8), shots on goal, shots off target, corner kicks and dangerous attacks – 45-19. Moreover, they generated a pathetic 0.19 in expected goals (xG) – the hosts recorded 1.89. Before this Yokohama FC humiliated them completely – winning 4-1 at home as very big underdogs! I want to highlight that Yokohama are a very limited team, currently in 17th place. It is fair to say that Sagan Tosu have not been in great form lately either.. They have not won a game since July but have, on the other hand, lost just one of their latest 10 games by a margin of more than one goal! This happened in their latest game, against Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-2 at home. However, the xG numbers were 0.61-1.21 in the visitors' favor. They do fight hard in every game and would have deserved more points than two in the four games in August.. Here they have a 64% chance of avoiding losing by a margin of more than one goal against the out-of-form hosts! Odds of around 1.75 are widely available on the visitors +1.5 goals handicap option at the time of writing this preview Thursday evening Beijing time.

横滨F Marinos VS Sagan Tosu

北京时间周五晚上，横滨F.马里诺斯队将在横滨尼桑体育场迎来日本J1联赛第27轮的比赛。这是亚洲最好的联赛。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场按照J1联赛标准相当高水平的比赛。我的粉丝和我都很喜欢这个联赛——还有J2联赛!我将在几个小时内发布这个联盟的选秀。我们还有另一个很有希望的赌博机会。是的，这两个队在阶级上确实有明显的优势。我希望横滨F.马里诺斯能在90分钟的比赛中控制场上的局势。萨根-托苏在这里可能会非常努力地防守——甚至可能有9到10个人——主要依靠反击、任意球、角球——或者可能的点球来得分。我相信他们在面对强大的对手时能得到一分就会很满意了。这里的进球预期无疑比这个联赛的平均水平要高，但在我的专家意见中，它仍然比博彩市场的估计要小。总进球数少于3.5个的概率是60%。东道主绝对是日本最好的球队之一。他们是J1联赛的卫冕冠军，今年很可能再次举起奖杯。另一方面，萨根·托苏上赛季排名第11位。事实上，他们根本不是一支糟糕的球队——更像是一支平庸的球队。他们目前以31分排名第13位。他们在我的力量排名中排名第十，这反映了球队的纯粹等级，拥有最好的首发阵容。他们的期望值(xPTS)为34.04。他们的进攻确实缺乏一些个人技术和创造力，本赛季到目前为止，他们只有32次进球。好吧，这不是一个糟糕的数字，尽管以排名第三的名古屋格兰普斯为例，只进了34个球。另一方面，萨根-托苏的防守相当稳固，他们目前在联赛中丢了33球。愚蠢的防守失误相对较少。有趣的是，横滨的马里诺斯只比客队少丢了一个球!然而，它们确实拥有强大的火力!到目前为止，他们已经进了48个球!他们的比赛风格确实很有侵略性和娱乐性，但也给对手提供了反击的机会。

在最近的一场YBC列文杯比赛中，东道主在主场3-0击败了北海道俱乐部札幌队。然而，客队拥有52%的控球率，并且记录了更多的射门、进攻(136胜111负)和危险进攻(91胜63负)。两队都有9次射门机会。在此之前，他们很穷，连输了三场比赛，现在他们的比赛有些不对劲。他们的防守太不稳定了——主要是因为结构不佳和球员之间的空间太大。在这三场失利中，他们一共丢了8个球。以第26轮为例，他们在客场0-2不敌目前排名第16位的柏华雷萨尔!根据博彩公司的说法，横滨F.马里诺斯队在这场比赛中是最受欢迎的，但在这场比赛中表现糟糕!东道主的进球次数(14胜8负)、射正、射偏、角球和危险进攻均以45胜19负居多。此外，他们的预期进球数(xG)只有可怜的0.19，东道主的预期进球数为1.89。在此之前，横滨FC彻底羞辱了他们，在主场以4比1的比分击败了他们。我想强调的是，横滨车队是一支非常有限的车队，目前排名第17位。公平地说，萨根·托苏最近的状态也不太好。他们自7月以来没有赢过一场比赛，但另一方面，在最近的10场比赛中，他们只输了一场超过一球的比赛!这发生在他们最近的比赛中，主场0-2对阵广岛圣弗雷斯。然而，xG值为0.61-1.21，对游客有利。他们每场比赛都很努力，在8月份的4场比赛中，他们应该得到比2分更多的积分。在这里，他们有64%的机会避免输给状态不佳的东道主一个球以上!在北京时间周四晚上写这篇预告时，客队+1.5个进球障碍选项的赔率约为1.75。