SC Paderborn 07 VS SV Wehen Wiesbaden

Paderborn welcome Wehen for this German 2. Bundesliga round 6 clash at Home Deluxe Arena very early Saturday morning Beijing time This is the second tier of German football. The difference compared to the first tier, the Bundesliga, is, of course, substantial but the level of this league is surprisingly good – for a second tier. It is the second-best second tier, after the (English) Championship. We can expect a match of mediocre level by the 2. Bundesliga standards here. Many teams have big numbers of spectators and the home advantage on average is bigger than in many other leagues. This is the case here as well – despite the fact that Paderborn do not have the biggest number of home fans at their stadium. Their fans are, however, very loud and enthusiastic! Wehen were promoted to this league from 3. Bundesliga for this season. They were not even close to winning the 3. Bundesliga – in fact they finished in 4th place with 70 points. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) was much lower – 64.99. I expect a pretty difficult season for Wehen. They lack quality in all areas of the game. I want to highlight that there is a massive difference in tempo and players’ individual skill level between 2. and 3. Bundesliga! Furthermore, Wehen are a small team in terms of financial resources by 2. Bundesliga standards. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com their squad has an estimated market value of only around 12 million euros! Paderborn finished in 6th place in this league last season with 55 points to their account. Their score difference was excellent – 68:44.

Most of my fans are probably aware by now that I never let the standings fool me! Wehen currently occupy the 8th place in the standings. They have a total of eight points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is only 5.11. They have allowed just four goals in this league so far and I must admit that I have been surprised by the level of their defense. Their defense does have a good structure and they will most probably be very defensive here as well. Their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is however, bigger 6.98. Their offense, on the other hand, is lame and lacks speed, creativity and especially individual skill. Their offensive structure is not great either and see them as one of the poorest teams in this league in terms of offensive class! Paderborn. In their most recent game, they were beaten by a big team, Frankfurt. It was a 1-3 defeat in a friendly game. Two days before this they crushed a very small team, RW Walldorf, 6-1 in another friendly. Before the break (international games) they were in decline after a good start to the season. On the 2nd of this month, they took a point from Schalke at home through a 1-1 draw but had some luck on their side. The visitors recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal, corner kicks, attacks (132-68) and especially dangerous attacks – 56-18. Moreover, Schalke generated more in expected goals (xG) – 1.78-0.98 – to be precise. Before this they lost to Nurnberg 1-2 away from home despite having a one-man-advantage for 29 minutes – after the hosts’ Gurleyen was sent off in the 11th minute. Paderborn have been disappointing this season, there is no denying that! they have just four points in their pocket but they would have deserved much more in terms xPTS! Even so, I have lowered their power rating that reflects the teams’ pure class with the best possible starting eleven. The bookies seem to have reacted too heavily to their struggles in the early season. They have huge potential for improvement in all areas of the game. Their biggest problem has been the often poorly structured defense but their defenders have made some silly individual mistakes as well. They have had 13 days to improve their game since their most recent game and I still believe in them. There is a long list of players in the squad. Taking their potential into account I see them having a 63.50% chance of taking all three points here. The biggest, sometimes rather sharp bookmakers who accept the biggest bets from customers offer the odds of around 1.70-1.75 on Paderborn to win at the time of writing this analysis late Wednesday evening Beijing time but I expect the odds to drop before the kickoff as smart money is expected to pile up on the hosts!

帕德伯恩VS威斯巴登

帕德博恩欢迎我们的德国2号。北京时间周六凌晨，德甲联赛第6轮比赛在主场豪华球场进行，这是德国足球的第二梯队。当然，与第一梯队德甲相比，差距是巨大的，但这个联赛的水平令人惊讶地好——对于第二梯队来说。这是仅次于(英格兰)联赛的第二顶级联赛。我们可以预期到2号的时候会有一场中等水平的比赛。这里是德甲标准。许多球队都有大量的观众，主场优势平均比许多其他联赛都要大。这里的情况也是如此——尽管帕德博恩的主场球迷人数并不多。然而，他们的粉丝非常大声和热情!当我们从3升到这个联赛时。本赛季的德甲联赛。他们离赢得三连胜还差得远呢。德甲——事实上他们以70分排名第四。然而，他们的期望值(xPTS)要低得多，为64.99。我预计这将是一个非常艰难的赛季。他们在比赛的各个方面都缺乏质量。我想强调的是，两支球队在节奏和球员个人技术水平上存在巨大差异。和3。德甲!此外，我们在财务资源方面是一个小团队。德甲的标准。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，这支球队的市值估计只有1200万欧元左右!帕德博恩上赛季以55分的成绩排在联赛第六名。他们的比分差距非常大——68分44秒。

我的大多数粉丝现在可能已经意识到，我从不让排名欺骗我!目前在积分榜上占据第8位。他们的账户上总共有8分。然而，它们的期望值(xPTS)只有5.11。到目前为止，他们在联赛中只丢了4个球，我必须承认我对他们的防守水平感到惊讶。他们的防守确实有一个很好的结构，他们很可能也会非常防守。然而，他们的预期进球数(xGA)更大，为6.98。另一方面，他们的进攻很差劲，缺乏速度、创造力，尤其是个人技术。他们的进攻结构也不是很好，就进攻水平而言，他们是联盟中最差的球队之一!帕德伯恩。在最近的一场比赛中，他们被一支强队法兰克福击败。这是一场友谊赛，比分是1-3。在此之前两天，他们在另一场友谊赛中以6比1击败了一支非常小的球队RW沃尔多夫。在中场休息前(国际比赛)，他们在本赛季的良好开局后开始走下坡路。本月2日，他们在主场1-1战平沙尔克，从沙尔克手中拿到1分，但运气还不错。客队的进球次数、射正次数、角球次数、进攻次数(132胜68负)，尤其是危险进攻次数(56胜18负)更多。此外，沙尔克的预期进球(xG)更多，准确地说是1.78-0.98。在此之前，他们在主场1-2不敌纽伦堡，尽管他们在29分钟内拥有一人优势——主队的古尔莱恩在第11分钟被红牌罚下。帕德博恩本赛季的表现令人失望，这是不可否认的!他们现在只拿到了4分，但是他们应该得到更多的积分!即便如此，我还是降低了他们的能力评级，这反映了球队的纯粹等级，他们拥有最好的首发11人。博彩公司似乎对他们在赛季初的挣扎反应过度。他们在比赛的各个方面都有巨大的进步潜力。他们最大的问题是防守结构不佳，但他们的后卫也犯了一些愚蠢的个人错误。自从最近一场比赛以来，他们有13天的时间来提高他们的比赛水平，我仍然相信他们。这个队有一长串队员名单。考虑到他们的潜力，我认为他们有63.50%的机会得到这三分。在北京时间周三深夜撰写这篇分析时，接受客户最大赌注的最大，有时相当敏锐的博彩公司提供的赔率约为1.70-1.75，认为帕德博恩会赢，但我预计赔率在开球前会下降，因为预计聪明的钱会堆积在东道主身上!