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Can Finland defend its first place?

2023-09-10

比赛分析

主队芬兰LOGO

芬兰

欧预赛

已完赛

星期一2023-09-11 00:00

客队丹麦LOGO

丹麦

解读理由

Finland's journey in September's international schedule got off to a fantastic start when Oliver Antman's 78th-minute strike secured a crucial victory against Kazakhstan, propelling them to the top of their group. With a remarkable record of four wins and just one defeat, they are in the best possible position. Notably, these four consecutive victories mark Finland's joint-longest winning streak in European Qualifiers (ECQ) games in this century, igniting hopes of securing a spot in their second-ever finals.


To equal their points tally from their previous successful ECQ campaign, Finland needs just two more wins. However, their Nordic rivals, Denmark, pose a formidable challenge, given the two-point gap that Finland needs to maintain. Nevertheless, Finland has proven to be resolute in ECQ home matches, conceding goals only against the reigning European champions, Italy, in their last seven games. This impressive defensive record spans over ten hours of play, with six wins and only one loss to their name.


Denmark's recent victory over San Marino (4-0) kept them within striking distance of Finland ahead of this crucial showdown. Despite Denmark's higher world ranking, their defense has been shaky in five of the six matches leading up to the San Marino encounter, which could provide Finland with an opportunity. Importantly, Denmark boasts a 100% win rate in ECQ head-to-head matchups against Finland, winning all three encounters.


However, Denmark's questionable away record in ECQ contests could level the playing field. They have managed to secure victories only against minnows Gibraltar in their last nine away trips dating back to 2014, with a record of one win, five draws, and three losses. Additionally, Denmark entered the two most recent away games in this ECQ cycle as favorites but failed to secure expected results, highlighting that their abundance of talent doesn't always guarantee success.


I can see the hosts surprising as the underdogs in the upcoming duel vs. their Nordic rivals. Their defensive record is outstanding, so I expect a low-scoring game ahead of us, with the hosts winning at least a point. Good luck!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

芬兰队在9月份的国际赛程中有了一个梦幻般的开局,奥利弗·安特曼在第78分钟的进球帮助芬兰队在对阵哈萨克斯坦的比赛中取得了关键的胜利,并将他们推向小组第一。凭借四胜一负的出色战绩,他们处于最好的位置。值得注意的是,这四连胜标志着芬兰队在本世纪欧洲预选赛(ECQ)比赛中并列最长的连胜纪录,点燃了他们第二次进入决赛的希望。


为了追平他们之前在ECQ的积分,芬兰队只需要再赢两场。然而,他们的北欧对手丹麦构成了巨大的挑战,因为芬兰需要保持两分的差距。尽管如此,芬兰队在ECQ的主场比赛中已经证明了自己的坚定,在过去的七场比赛中,他们只在对阵欧洲卫冕冠军意大利的比赛中失球。这个令人印象深刻的防守记录跨越了10个小时的比赛,他们的名字是6胜1负。


丹麦队最近战胜了圣马力诺队(4-0),使他们在这场关键的对决中与芬兰队保持着距离。尽管丹麦队的世界排名更高,但在与圣马力诺的比赛之前的六场比赛中,他们的防守有五场表现不佳,这场比赛可能会给芬兰队提供机会。重要的是,丹麦在ECQ与芬兰的正面交锋中拥有100%的胜率,三场比赛都赢了。


然而,丹麦在ECQ比赛中令人质疑的客场记录可能会使比赛变得公平。自2014年以来,他们在最近9次客场比赛中只取得了对小鱼直布罗陀的胜利,战绩为1胜5平3负。此外,丹麦队作为夺冠热门参加了本次ECQ周期的最近两场客场比赛,但未能取得预期的结果,这突显出他们的天赋并不总是能保证成功。


在即将到来的与北欧对手的对决中,我可以看到东道主令人惊讶的劣势。他们的防守记录非常出色,所以我预计我们面前的比赛会是低分比赛,东道主至少能赢一分。好运!

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