Minnesota United FC VS New England Revolution

Minnesota welcome New England Revolution for this MLS clash at Allianz Field Thursday morning Beijing time. This league has raised its level a lot during the last 10 or so years. Clubs from the US and Canada play in this league. Now Messi, Jordi Alba and Sergio Busquets have joined David Beckham's Inter Miami which brought a lot of media attention to MLS. This is a good thing for this league moving forward. We can expect a match of good level here between these two teams. It is true that the home advantage in the MLS is bigger than in many other significant football leagues on the planet. Minnesota, however, have been disappointing at Allianz Field so far this season.. It seems that the bookies give the home advantage too much emphasis here.. Minnesota have taken all three points just three times in front of their fans in the MLS so far this season. Only Colorado have taken less points at home in the Western Conference.. Minnesota do not have the very best fans by the MLS standards. New England, on the other hand, have been mediocre – 6th best in the Eastern Conference - on the road so far this season! Indeed, they have won just two away games in the MLS this season. The biggest, sometimes somewhat sharp bookies with the largest stake limits offer Minnesota odds of around 1.85 to take all three points. This is, based on my sophisticated, in-depth - strongly data-based analysis, way too low! Their chance of winning is 43%. The visitors +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here to win once again! According to a well-known and well-respected German website, Transfermarkt.com Minnesota are the smaller team. Their squad has an estimated market value of around 38 million euros. This is definitely too low. However, the New England Revolution squad has a market value of about 45 million which is clearly too low in my expert opinion. I would set the number at around 53-54 million.

The visitors currently occupy 2nd place in the Eastern Conference. They have 47 points to their account. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is, however, marginally lower – 46.05 to be precise. Teams who finish 1-9th place have a chance to play in the Playoffs. The New England Revolution have lost just one of their latest six games in the 90 minutes of play. Yes, it is clear that Minnesota are surely extremely motivated here as they are in a merciless fight for a place in the Playoffs. They are currently in the 7th place in the Western Conference. They have grabbed 36 points and have been slightly unlucky in terms of xPTS. Motivation is important but with the expected lineups the visitors seem a little stronger. We should not overemphasize the motivation factor – as I have mentioned many times in the past. Minnesota played a balanced game, that was 1-1 draw, away from home against San Jose Earthquakes in their latest game. Before this they beat a very weak team, Colorado Rapids 3-0 at home but the final score is a bit misleading. The visitors, too, had their chances. Indeed, Colorado recorded 12 goal attempts. Minnesota’s number was 12. Furthermore, the hosts only recorded 10 more dangerous attacks than the visitors. The xG numbers were 2.01 – 0.76 in favor of the heavy favorites, Minnesota.

明尼苏达联队VS新英格兰革命

北京时间周四上午，明尼苏达队将在安联球场迎来新英格兰革命队。在过去的10年左右的时间里，这个联赛的水平提高了很多。来自美国和加拿大的俱乐部参加这个联赛。现在梅西、乔迪·阿尔巴和塞尔吉奥·布斯克茨加盟了大卫·贝克汉姆的国际迈阿密，这给美国职业足球大联盟带来了很多媒体的关注。这对联盟的发展是一件好事。我们可以期待这两支球队在这里进行一场高水平的比赛。的确，美国职业足球大联盟的主场优势比地球上许多其他重要的足球联赛都要大。然而，本赛季到目前为止，明尼苏达在安联球场的表现令人失望。看来博彩公司把主场的优势看得太重了。本赛季到目前为止，明尼苏达队在他们的球迷面前仅三次获得三分。西部只有科罗拉多队在主场拿的分比他们少。按照美国职业棒球大联盟的标准，明尼苏达并没有最好的球迷。另一方面，新英格兰队本赛季到目前为止在客场表现平平，在东部排名第六。事实上，他们本赛季在大联盟只赢了两场客场比赛。最大的，有时有些精明的博彩公司给出了最大的赌注限制，为明尼苏达提供了1.85左右的赔率，以获得所有三分。这是，基于我复杂的，深入的，强有力的数据为基础的分析，太低了!他们获胜的几率是43%。客队+0.5个进球的劣势显然是再一次赢球的明智选择!根据德国一家知名且备受尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com，明尼苏达队是规模较小的球队。这支球队的市值估计在3800万欧元左右。这肯定太低了。然而，新英格兰革命队的市场价值约为4500万英镑，这在我的专家看来显然太低了。我估计这个数字在5300万到5400万之间。

客队目前在东部排名第二。他们的账户上有47分。然而，它们的期望值(xPTS)略低，准确地说是46.05。排名第1-9的球队有机会参加季后赛。在最近的六场比赛中，新英格兰革命队在90分钟的比赛中只输了一场。是的，很明显，森林狼在这里非常有动力，因为他们正在为季后赛的一席之地而无情地战斗。他们目前在西部排名第七。他们拿到了36分，但在积分方面有点不走运。动力是很重要的，但在预期的阵容下，客队似乎有点强。我们不应该过分强调动机因素- -正如我过去多次提到的那样。明尼苏达打了一场平衡的比赛，1-1平局，客场对阵圣何塞地震在他们的最新比赛。在此之前，他们击败了一支非常弱的球队，科罗拉多急流队在主场3-0，但最后的比分有点误导。来访者也有他们的机会。事实上，科罗拉多队有12次进球尝试。明尼苏达的数字是12。此外，东道主只比东道主多记录了10次危险袭击。xG值为2.01 - 0.76，对大热门明尼苏达队有利。