In my opinion Gamba have really good chances to make at least one point in today’s match up.

In overall Gamba have solid record against Sapporo as they didn’t lost in 14 of last 19 matches against them. For sure they coming here without any fear as they won 2 of last 3 matches at this stadium.

Gamba had awful start of the season, but since end of the May they looking superb. They played 13 matches in all competitions and lost only twice – against Kochi in Cup when used second-choice players and against title defenders Marinos on away, but that was close game: expected goals scored for Marinos 1.88, for Gamba 1.26. On the other hand Gamba won 9 of last 13 matches and offensive formation working on really high level. In last 13 matches in all competitions Gamba scored at least one goal 12 times. 7 times they scored more than one goal. They failed to score only against Yokohama on away, but even in that match they produced some chances to score and finished with 0.86 expected goals scored.

Since middle of June Sapporo played 12 matches in all competitions and recorded only one win – in Cup against team from lower league Verspah. Sapporo defensive formation don’t have any stability because even against Verspah they conceded 2 goals. Sapporo conceded at least one goal in last 12 matches in a row and is hard to imagine clean sheet for them in today’s game especially with huge squad blow. Hosts today without their best defender Okamura – that should have very bad impact on their performance at the back.

Gamba have all required tools to score at least one goal today and continue really solid streak.

在我看来，甘巴在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。

总的来说，甘巴在对阵札幌的比赛中有着稳定的战绩，他们在过去的19场比赛中有14场没有输球。他们毫无畏惧地来到这里，因为他们在这个球场赢了最近3场比赛中的2场。

甘巴本赛季开局很糟糕，但自从五月末以来，他们看起来很出色。他们在各项赛事中打了13场比赛，只输了两场——在杯赛中使用替补球员对阵高知，在客场对阵卫冕冠军马里诺斯，但这是一场势均力敌的比赛:马里诺斯的预期进球数为1.88，甘巴的预期进球数为1.26。另一方面，甘巴在过去的13场比赛中赢了9场，进攻阵型发挥得非常高。在过去的13场比赛中，甘巴有12次至少打进一球。他们有7次进了不止一个球。他们只在客场对阵横滨的比赛中没有进球，但即使在那场比赛中，他们也创造了一些进球机会，最终打进了0.86个预期进球。

自6月中旬以来，札幌在各项赛事中打了12场比赛，只在对阵低级别联赛球队维斯帕的杯赛中取得了一场胜利。札幌的防守阵型没有任何稳定性，因为即使对阵维斯帕，他们也丢了两个球。札幌在过去的12场比赛中至少丢了一个球，很难想象他们在今天的比赛中不失球，特别是在阵容巨大的打击下。东道主今天失去了他们最好的后卫冈村——这将对他们后防线的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。

甘巴拥有所有需要的工具，今天至少进一个球，并继续保持稳定的连胜。