In my opinion Burnley have bigger chances to avoid loss in this game than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

It's never easy to play at Turf Moor. Tottenham failed to win in 3 of last 4 away league matches at this stadium.

Burnley started new season slow - two losses in first two opening matches, but I don't see any reason to panic as they played against top teams like Manchester City and Aston Villa. At the midweek Burnley played in EFL Cup on the road against Nottingham. Despite many second-choice players on the pitch, Burnley won 1:0. For sure that was big boost of confidence for today's match and team wants to go with momentum. I trust for coach Vincent Company, in previous season he also started slow in Championship (one win in first opening 5 matches), but when team found the rhythm and flow, they finished season with 101 points..

On the other hand Tottenham lost their top scorer and team captain Harry Kane. Sooner or later we will see big impact of this move. Guests so far played worse than their results shows. 7 points in 3 matches. Tottenham defensive formation conceded 2 goals so far, but they had a lot of luck: according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede already 5 goals. Tottenham also should score less goals (according to the expected goals scored model they should score 5 goals instead of 6). Tottenham have new coach, new key players and is hard to Imagine big consistency from them at the start of the season.

In previous season Tottenham failed to win in 13 of 19 away league matches. Odds on Burnley are simply too high.

在我看来，伯恩利在这场比赛中避免输球的机会比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大。

在草皮荒原打球从来都不容易。托特纳姆热刺在这个球场进行的最近4场客场联赛中有3场没有获胜。

伯恩利新赛季开局缓慢——前两场首场比赛输了两场，但我认为他们面对曼城和阿斯顿维拉这样的强队时没有任何理由恐慌。周中，伯恩利在客场对阵诺丁汉的联赛杯比赛中出场。尽管场上有很多替补球员，伯恩利还是以1:0获胜。毫无疑问，这是对今天比赛信心的极大提升，球队想要带着势头前进。我相信Vincent Company教练，上个赛季他在冠军赛的开局也很慢(前5场比赛1胜)，但是当球队找到节奏和流程时，他们以101分结束了赛季。

另一方面，热刺失去了他们的头号射手和队长哈里·凯恩。我们迟早会看到这一举措的巨大影响。到目前为止，客人们的表现比他们的成绩要差。3场7分。到目前为止，热刺的防守阵型丢了2个球，但他们运气很好:根据预期失球模型，他们应该已经丢了5个球。热刺也应该少进一些球(根据预期进球模型，他们应该进5个而不是6个)。热刺有了新的教练，新的关键球员，很难想象他们在赛季初会有多大的稳定性。

上个赛季，热刺在19场客场比赛中有13场未能获胜。伯恩利的赔率实在太高了。