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Best bet for Thursday! 欧协联 赫尔辛基VS康斯坦察

2023-08-31

比赛分析

欧协联

已完赛

星期五2023-09-01 00:00

解读理由



HJK won their dress rehearsal game in the local league by 1-3 away at Oulu, and lead the table ahead of the last round of regular season by 1 point. On the last round they will decide who wins it in the last match v KuPS, so the stakes are high also locally.

The Oulu match was relatively easy, as they had fired coach recently, and also missed several key players in the defense, nevertheless it was a good performance by HJK and a needed self-conficence boost, and HJK form in local league is excellent. HJK changed their own coach weeks ago, and it is getting better all the time, match after match. In fact the likely new coach for HJK next season is actually the forementioned Oulu coach Ricardo Duarte.

HJK were able to rotate, and also had the already familiar feature of making a lot of subs either at halftime or at 60th minute. There are fresh legs and often another strategy as well, and HJK are hard to beat and follow when they do that. It is like two games in one!

There is a positive atmosphere and good competition within the HJK squad, there are no major injury worries anymore, and even if HJK lost the first leg by 2-1 as well as most underlying performance stats they feel confident that they can - and will - win at home on their artificial ground with a full stadion support. Also we can not forget the impact of the new keeper Niki Mäenpää who has great experience from better leagues, and who just returned home to Helsinki in the last transfer window.

Last round at Oulu HJK started

(3-5-2) avausrosteri Mäenpää; Da Graca, Tenho, Hämäläinen; Kouassivi-Benissan, Peltola, Hetemaj, Tanaka, Ollila; Riski, Olusanya,

they led early by one goal, but after they subbed in the best players Keskinen and Radulovic in 2nd half the performance only improved, and the formation was to a more attacking 3-4-3.


HJK probable lineup: (3-4-3) Mäenpää; Toivio, Tenho, Halme; Soiri, Kouassivi-Benissan, Kanellopoulos, Ollila; Hostikka, Radulovic, Keskinen.

A lot of top players still would start from the bench, like Serie A veteran Perparim Hetemaj!

Farul are coached by legend Gheorghe Hagi, and there is another familiar name in Rivaldinho, especially because his father is Rivaldo!

Farul Constanta beat in the local league Universitatea Craiova by 2 Louis Munteanu first half goals, and they took their 3rd win after 6 rounds.

Farul (4-3-3) lineup v Craiova was: Aioani; Dussaut, Larie, Boli, Kiki; Artean, Nedelcu, Grameni; Mazilu, Munteanu, Vina.

As Hagi did about the same type of changes than what HJK did, letting best players come in as subs on 2nd half we have no reason to think that Hagi would make any changes from the first leg lineup vs HJK, so it will be:

Farul: Aioani; Sirbu, Larie, Boli, Kiki; Artean, Nedelcu, Baluta; Mazilu, Rivaldinho, Budelscu.

As there is no more the away goal rule there is a bigger chance for extra time in the games, and it would happen it HJK win by exactly 1 goal. Naturally both team would prefer to qualify on regular time, but the long the score board would show a draw at aggregate results the less risks are taken.

I am expecting a home win, hopefully by 2 goals or more, but probably by 1, and as the HJK defense have not fully convinced yet this season I see both to score, so this is a 2-1 home win!

Good luck, I will be at the stadion, in the media stand myself for this one.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:



香港恒大客场1-3战胜奥卢,以1分的优势领跑上一轮常规赛积分榜。在最后一轮,他们将决定谁在最后一场比赛中获胜,所以当地的赌注也很高。

与奥卢的比赛相对轻松,因为他们最近解雇了教练,并且在防守中也失去了几名关键球员,尽管如此,这是HJK的好表现和需要的自信提升,并且HJK在当地联赛中的状态非常好。香港队几周前换了教练,比赛一场接一场,情况一直在好转。事实上,下赛季可能的新教练实际上是前面提到的奥卢队教练里卡多·杜阿尔特。

hkk能够轮换,并且在中场休息或第60分钟都有很多替补的特点。总会有新人加入,也会有新的策略,当他们这么做的时候,hkk很难被击败和跟随。这就像一场两场比赛!

这里有一个积极的氛围和良好的竞争在HJK的阵容,没有重大伤病的担忧了,即使HJK以2-1输掉了首回合,以及大多数潜在的表现数据,他们有信心,他们可以-并且将-赢得主场的人造场地,全场球迷的支持。我们也不能忘记新门将尼基Mäenpää的影响,他在更好的联赛有丰富的经验,在上一个转会窗口刚刚回到赫尔辛基的家。

最后一轮在奥卢港港开始

(3-5-2) avausrosteri Mäenpää;Da Graca, Tenho, Hämäläinen;Kouassivi-Benissan, Peltola, Hetemaj, Tanaka, Ollila;Riski Olusanya,

他们一开始领先一球,但在下半场换上最好的球员凯斯基宁和拉杜洛维奇后,他们的表现得到了改善,阵型变成了更具攻击力的3-4-3。


hkk可能的阵容:(3-4-3)Mäenpää;Toivio, Tenho, Halme;Soiri, Kouassivi-Benissan, Kanellopoulos, Ollila;霍斯蒂卡,拉杜洛维奇,凯斯基宁。

很多顶级球员仍然会从板凳上首发,比如意甲老将佩帕利姆·赫特马伊!

法鲁尔的教练是传奇人物哈吉,还有另一个熟悉的名字,里瓦尔迪尼奥,尤其是因为他的父亲是里瓦尔多!

法鲁尔·康斯坦塔在当地联赛中以蒙泰亚努上半场的两粒进球击败克拉约瓦大学,这是他们在6轮比赛后的第3场胜利。

法鲁尔(4-3-3)对克拉约瓦的阵容是:阿约亚尼;Dussaut, Larie, Boli, Kiki;Artean, Nedelcu, Grameni;Mazilu, Munteanu, Vina。

由于萩城和沪江做了同样的改变,让最好的球员在下半场替补出场,我们没有理由认为萩城会对沪江的首回合阵容做出任何改变,所以应该是:

Farul: Aioani;Sirbu, Larie, Boli, Kiki;Artean, Nedelcu, Baluta;马齐鲁,里瓦尔迪尼奥,布德尔斯库。

由于不再有客场进球规则,比赛中有更大的机会进入加时赛,如果jk以1球的优势获胜,就会发生这种情况。当然,两支球队都希望在常规时间出线,但记分牌上显示的总比分越长,风险就越小。

我期待着一场主场胜利,希望能赢2球或更多,但也可能是1球,而且由于本赛季hkk的防守还没有完全让人信服,我认为双方都能进球,所以这是一场主场2-1的胜利!

祝你好运,我会在球场上,在媒体上站在自己的立场上。

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