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BIG VALUE 解放者杯 巴西国际VS玻利瓦尔

2023-08-29

比赛分析

解放者杯

已完赛

星期三2023-08-30 06:00

解读理由

Internacional host Bolivar at the Estadio Jose Pinheiro Borda in the Copa Libertadores quarterfinal second leg on Tuesday late night. When these sides met in La Paz for the opening leg last week, the visitors stunned the home crowd with a 16th-minute strike and hung on from there, capturing the opening leg of that tie 1-0. Internacional were on their heels and forced to defend for a good portion of their match in Bolivia last Tuesday, but in the end, they held the fort and came away with a road victory for only the second time in this year's competition. Having scraped a narrow first-leg win at the Estdio Hermndo Siles, Eduardo Coudet’s side were denied consecutive wins for the first time since June, as they were held to a goalless draw by Flamengo in Brazilian Serie A on Saturday. Meanwhile, for Bolivar, last week’s first-leg defeat enedd their blistering run of 11 home wins across competitions. I expect this game to be a tight match, and with a handicap of +1.5, Bolivar should be victorious for the following reasons:

Firstly. Internacional's win over Bolivar last week was only the second time in club history that they had emerged victorious from a Copa Libertadores fixture played in Bolivia, with the first one coming back in 2011 at Jorge Wilstermann in the group phase (4-1). After two impressive results on the road, Internacional now return home, where they have managed one win in six games since July. Internacional have managed just one win in their last four games across competitions, losing twice. They have been struggling recently, and their home form should be a cause for concern.

Secondly. Bolivar’s form is concerning as they have lost three of their last five matches in all competitions. They played well against Internacional in the first leg, having over 60% of the possession. However, they lost that game by conceding one goal. Goalkeeper Sergio Rochet played well in the first leg and stopped five shots on target against them. While Benat San Jose’s men will look to turn the tie around, their form on the road is nothing to write home about. They have not won any away game in their last six outings, drawing three of them.

Internacional have won only a single home game in the last two months. While Bolivar will look to overturn their first-leg deficit, they have also struggled away from home. But, judging by their performance in the first leg and how they were able to keep Internacional at bay, they should be able to win this game with a help of a +1.5 handicap.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周二深夜,在解放者杯四分之一决赛次回合的比赛中,国际东道主玻利瓦尔队在博尔达球场举行。这两支球队上周在拉巴斯的首场比赛中相遇,客队在第16分钟的进球震惊了主场观众,并在那里坚持下来,以1比0赢得了首场比赛。上周二在玻利维亚的比赛中,国足一直处于紧追不舍的状态,被迫防守,但最终,他们坚守住了阵地,并在今年的比赛中获得了第二次客场胜利。继首回合在埃尔蒙多·西尔斯球场险胜之后,爱德华多·库代特的球队在周六的巴西甲级联赛中0比0被弗拉门戈逼平,这是他们自6月以来首次被剥夺连胜机会。与此同时,对于玻利瓦尔来说,上周的首回合失利结束了他们在各项赛事中11场主场胜利的辉煌战绩。我预计这场比赛将是一场势均力敌的比赛,加上+1.5的差点,玻利瓦尔应该会获胜,原因如下:

首先。上周国际战胜玻利瓦尔队是俱乐部历史上第二次在玻利维亚举行的解放者杯比赛中获胜,第一次是在2011年小组赛阶段在豪尔赫·威尔斯特曼(Jorge Wilstermann)的比赛中获胜(4-1)。在客场取得两场令人印象深刻的成绩后,国际现在回到了家乡,自7月以来,他们在六场比赛中取得了一场胜利。国际队在过去的四场比赛中只取得了一场胜利,输了两场。他们最近一直在挣扎,他们的主场状态应该引起人们的关注。

其次。玻利瓦尔的状态令人担忧,因为他们在最近的五场比赛中输掉了三场比赛。他们在首回合对国际踢得很好,控球率超过60%。然而,他们因丢一球而输掉了那场比赛。门将塞尔吉奥·罗切特在第一回合发挥出色,在对阵他们的比赛中拦截了5次射正。虽然贝纳特圣何塞的队员们希望扭转局面,但他们在客场的状态却没什么好写的。在过去的六场比赛中,他们没有赢得任何一场客场比赛,其中三场平局。

在过去的两个月里,国际队只赢得了一场主场比赛。虽然玻利瓦尔希望扭转首回合的劣势,但他们在客场也表现不佳。但是,从他们在第一回合的表现以及他们如何能够阻止国际的表现来看,他们应该能够在+1.5差点的帮助下赢得这场比赛。

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