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外籍分析师
英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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2023-08-24

比赛分析

主队奥林LOGO

奥林

欧罗巴

已完赛

星期五2023-08-25 01:00

客队卡拉巴赫LOGO

卡拉巴赫

主队赫根LOGO

赫根

欧罗巴

已完赛

星期五2023-08-25 01:00

客队阿伯丁LOGO

阿伯丁

解读理由

In my opinion Olimpija have really good chances to make positive result front of home crowd. +0 AH looks like very solid option to play.


Team from Ljubljana looks very solid under new coach Joao Henriques. They knocked out much more experienced Ludogorets from Champions League Q. They lost against Galatasaray, but no shame at all. In addition to that, Ljubljana played much better than results suggest. In first match they lost 0:3 at home against Galata, but they finished with only 2 shots less: expected goals scored for Ljubljana 0.51, for Galata 1.17. In second match they lost 0:1 on away, but again looks solid: expected goals scored for Ljubljana 0.76, for Galata 0.73.


Ljubljana offensive formation looks extremely dangerous – they scored already 13 goals in 4 league matches. Brazilian/Portuguese Pedro & Lucas have a lot of quality. Qarabaq don’t have stability at the back – they conceded at least one goal in 6 of 7 matches in all competitions.


On the other hand Qarabar have been knocked out from Champions League qualies by unexperienced Polish team Rakow (first time in CL q). Qarabaq is super solid team at home, but I don’t trust them on the road. Qarabaq lost 7 of last 10 away matches in Europa League and they failed to win 7 of 10 away matches in Champions League.


I see good chances for hosts.




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In my opinion Hacken is clear favorite of today’s match up.


First huge advantage for hosts: they plays home matches on artificial surface. It’s something really weird for Aberdeen. Ball moving differently and is hard to find rhythm on it. Hacken is superb team at home – 10 wins in 11 home league matches with 36 goals scored. On the other hand Aberdeen lost 13 of last 19 away league matches in previous season and conceded 46 goals. Today difference between both should be very visible on the pitch.


Second huge advantage for hosts: they are in big match rhythm, they already played 20 matches in Allsvenskan (14 wins in the process with 50 goals scored). In addition to that, Hacken firepower looks outstanding – they scored more than one goal in last 6 consecutive matches in all competitions.


I saw Aberdeen last league game against Celtic (obviously, stronger team than Hacken). They lost 1:3, but defensive formation looked really unstable. 6 days ago Aberdeen played in League Cup against poor Stirling Albion (third level) and struggled a lot. They won 2:1, but that wasn’t convincing at all. In pre season Aberdeen lost best defender Scales and best midfielder Ramadani. For sure that have bad impact on their stability at the back and in the middle zone.


I believe Hacken have all required tools to beat Aberdeen front of home crowd.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,奥林匹亚有很好的机会在主场取得积极的结果。+0 AH看起来是一个非常可靠的选择。


卢布尔雅那队在新教练若昂·恩里克斯的带领下看起来非常稳固。他们在欧冠q中淘汰了经验丰富的卢多戈雷特队,他们输给了加拉塔萨雷,但一点也不丢人。除此之外,卢布尔雅那的表现比结果显示的要好得多。在第一场比赛中,他们在主场0:3输给了加拉塔,但他们只少射了2球:卢布尔雅那的预期进球数为0.51,加拉塔的预期进球数为1.17。在第二场比赛中,他们在客场以0:1输掉了比赛,但看起来又很稳定:卢布尔雅那的预期进球数为0.76,加拉塔的预期进球数为0.73。


卢布尔雅那的进攻阵型看起来非常危险,他们已经在4场联赛中打进13球。巴西/葡萄牙的佩德罗和卢卡斯都很有实力。卡拉巴赫的后防线不稳定——他们在所有赛事的7场比赛中有6场至少丢了一个球。


另一方面,卡拉巴尔在欧冠预选赛中被经验不足的波兰球队Rakow淘汰(第一次参加欧冠预选赛)。卡拉巴尔在主场是一支超级稳定的球队,但我不相信他们在客场的表现。最近10场欧联杯客场比赛中,卡塔尔输掉了7场,10场欧冠客场比赛中,他们7场未赢。


我认为东道主有很好的机会。




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在我看来,哈肯显然是今天最受欢迎的对手。


东道主的第一个巨大优势是:他们在人造地面上进行主场比赛。这对阿伯丁来说真的很奇怪。球的移动方式不同,很难找到节奏。哈肯在主场是一支出色的球队,在11场主场比赛中取得了10场胜利,打进了36球。另一方面,阿伯丁在上个赛季的19场客场比赛中输了13场,丢了46个球。今天双方的区别在球场上应该是非常明显的。


东道主的第二个巨大优势:他们处于大赛节奏中,他们已经在阿尔斯温斯坎打了20场比赛(其中14场胜利,打进50球)。除此之外,哈肯的火力也很出色——他们在最近的6场比赛中连续打进1球以上。


我看了阿伯丁上一场对阵凯尔特人的比赛(很明显,他们比哈肯强)。他们1比3输了,但是防守阵型看起来很不稳定。阿伯丁在联赛杯对阵可怜的斯特灵队(第三级)的比赛中表现得很挣扎。他们2:1获胜,但这一点都不令人信服。在季前赛中,阿伯丁失去了最好的后卫斯卡尔斯和最好的中场拉马达尼。毫无疑问,这对他们在后腰和中路的稳定性有不好的影响。


我相信哈肯拥有在主场击败阿伯丁所需要的一切工具。

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