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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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STRONG results in this league! $$$

2023-08-23

比赛分析

挪甲

已完赛

星期四2023-08-24 00:00

解读理由

Start vs ÅSANE, not Stjørdals-Blink Fotball (There is on error on the match list) !!!



Start welcome Åsane for this Norwegian OBOS-Ligaen round 20 battle at Sparebanken Sør Arena in Kristiansand very early Thursday morning Beijing time. This is the second tier of Norwegian football and the level is pretty low by European standards.. Football fans and us serious football bettors can expect a match of mediocre quality by this league's standards here. My fans and I have achieved strong results betting on this league and we have yet another promising betting opportunity here! Indeed, the bookies seem to make a lot of mistakes with their odds in this league! Start currently occupy the 5th place in the standings. They have a total of 30 points to their account. The teams who finish in first and second place are promoted to Elitserien, the first tier, for the next season. Furthermore, the teams who finish 3-6th place will play in the promotion playoffs. I would not be at all surprised to see Start dropping out of the top-6 before the season comes to an end.. Indeed, Start are in 7th place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class with the best possible starting eleven. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 27.19. They do, of course, have an edge over Åsane in all areas of the game. Offensively their edge is more substantial than defensively. Indeed, Start have scored a whopping 39 goals in this league so far this season! This is the highest number in this league with a total of 16 clubs. It is hard to say anything negative about their offense but it has also got a lot of media attention - this is probably one of the reasons behind them being overvalued on the betting market here.. I want to mention that their number of expected goals (xG) is, however, "only" 35.67. Åsane, on the other hand, are pretty mediocre in terms of firepower. They have netted the ball 25 times and have been only marginally unlucky in terms of xG. Their offense lacks some individual skill and passing accuracy near the opponent's goal.. Their defense does have weaknesses – individual mistakes are pretty common especially away from home.. They have conceded 31 goals in the OBOS-Ligaen this season. However, their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is smaller – 28.33 to be precise. Start's defense is far from top-level as well and they have allowed 27 goals in this league. I want to highlight that in this area of the game, Start do not have a clear edge over Åsane! 

Start do not have that good fans - even by this league's standards.. Indeed, the home advantage here is smaller than on average in the OBOS-Ligaen.. With the expected lineups, Start, of course, deserve to be clear favorites here and the odds of around 1.60 offered by the bookies on the hosts to win are way too low! They have a 51% chance to take all three points. With the recommended +1.5 goals handicap option on Åsane my fans and I have a 74.5% chance of winning once again! Åsane have lost just one game in this league by a margin of more than one goal this season! Moreover, they have lost just two of their latest eight games and have improved from early season! In their most recent game they defeated Bryne 2-0 at home. Bryne are a more dangerous team than the standings would suggest.. It was a pretty balanced match as a whole and Bryne, too, did have their chances.. Start, on the other hand, lost two Raufoss, a pretty limited team in their latest game 1-2 way from home. The match could have gone either way though.. Before this beat Sogndal 2-0 at home but this match was a balanced one as well. Asane are in force fight to avoid relegation and I see them being slightly the more motivated team here.. They are in 14th place with 17 points but their number of xPTS is bigger -  20.99.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

开始vs ÅSANE,而不是stj ø rdls - blink足球(比赛列表上有错误)!!



北京时间周四凌晨,在克里斯蒂安桑的斯帕雷班肯体育馆,欢迎Åsane参加挪威obos与利加恩的第20轮比赛。这是挪威足球的第二梯队,以欧洲标准来看,水平相当低。足球迷和我们这些认真的足球投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的平庸比赛。我和我的球迷在这个联赛中投注取得了强劲的成绩,我们在这里还有另一个有希望的投注机会!事实上,在这个联赛中,博彩公司似乎在赔率上犯了很多错误!Start目前在积分榜上占据第5位。他们的账户上总共有30分。以第一名和第二名结束比赛的球队将在下个赛季升入一级联赛Elitserien。此外,获得第3-6名的球队将参加晋级季后赛。如果在赛季结束前看到Start跌出前六,我一点也不会感到惊讶。事实上,Start在我的力量评级中排名第七,这反映了球队的纯粹等级,拥有最好的首发11人。他们的期望值(xPTS)是27.19。当然,他们在游戏的所有领域都比Åsane有优势。他们的进攻优势比防守优势更大。事实上,本赛季到目前为止,斯Start已经在联赛中打进了惊人的39球!这是联赛中最多的16家俱乐部。很难对他们的进攻说什么负面的话,但这也吸引了很多媒体的关注——这可能是他们在博彩市场上被高估的原因之一。我想说的是,他们的预期目标数(xG)“只有”35.67。Åsane,另一方面,在火力方面相当平庸。他们已经打进了25次球,在xG方面只是稍微不走运。他们的进攻缺乏一些个人技巧和在对手球门附近传球的准确性。他们的防守确实有弱点——个人失误很常见,尤其是在客场。本赛季,他们在欧冠联赛中丢了31球。然而,他们的期望进球数(xGA)更小,准确地说是28.33。Start的防守也远没有达到顶级水平,他们在联赛中丢了27个球。我要强调的是,在这方面的游戏,开始没有一个明确的优势超过Åsane!

Start没有那么好的球迷——即使按照这个联盟的标准…事实上,这里的主场优势比bobos - ligaen的平均水平要小。随着预期的阵容,开始,当然,应该是明确的最受欢迎的,赔率约1.60的博彩公司提供的东道主赢的方式太低了!他们有51%的机会拿到全部三分。有了Åsane上推荐的+1.5个进球障碍选项,我和我的球迷有74.5%的机会再次获胜!Åsane本赛季在联赛中只输过一场球以上的比赛!此外,他们在最近的八场比赛中只输了两场,而且比赛季初有了进步!在最近的一场比赛中,他们在主场以2比0击败了布莱恩队。布莱恩是一支比排名更危险的球队。这是一场相当平衡的比赛,布莱恩也有机会。另一方面,Start输掉了两个劳弗斯,这是一支相当有限的球队,在他们最近的比赛中,他们距离主场1-2远。不过,这场比赛本来可能是两种结果。在此之前,我们在主场2-0击败了索格达尔,但这场比赛也是一场平衡的比赛。Asane正在为保级而战,我认为他们在这里更有动力。他们以17分排在第14位,但他们的得分更高,达到20.99分。

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