Raufoss vs Sogndal

Raufoss welcome Sogndal for this Norwegian OBOS-Ligaen round 20 battle at NAMMO Stadion  very early Thursday morning Beijing time. This is the second tier of Norwegian football and the level is pretty low by European standards. However, we can expect a match of pretty good quality by this league's standards here. My fans and I have done well betting on this league and we have yet another promising betting opportunity here! Sogndal currently occupy the 4th place in the standings. They have a total of 31 points to their account. The teams who finish in first and second place are promoted to Elitserien for next season. Furthermore, the teams who finish 3-6th place will play in the promotion playoffs. I would not be at all surprised to see Sogndal toppling KFUM Oslo, currently in 3rd place, during the rest of the season.. Indeed, Sogndal are in 3rd place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class with the best possible starting eleven. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 35.12. I want to highlight that they have an edge over Raufoss in all areas of the game. Offensively their edge is bigger than defensively. Indeed, they have scored 29 goals in this league so far this season. However, they can improve in this area of the game! They should move the ball faster near the opponent's goal to create more dangerous scoring chances.. Their number of expected goals (xG) is 34.02. Raufoss, on the other hand, are a pretty lame team offensively. They have netted the ball just 24 times and have not been lucky or unlucky in terms of xG. Their offense lacks speed, creativity and passing accuracy near the opponent's goal. Their defense is okay and they have conceded 24 goals in the OBOS-Ligaen this season. However, their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is bigger – 26.34 to be precise. They do not have particularly good fans - even by this league's standards.. Indeed, the home advantage here is smaller than on average in this league.. With the expected lineups Sogndal deserve to be solid favorites here and the odds of around 2.40 offered by the on the visitors - at the time of writing this preview Wednesday afternoon Beijing time - to win are too high! With the recommended +0.5 goals handicap option on Sogndal my fans and I have a 74% chance of winning once again! I expect the odds to come down before the kickoff! 

I want to highlight that Raufos have not beaten Sogndal in the latest six games between the two teams! Sogndal have, in fact, won five of these six games! Let's also remember last season the visitors took many more points than Raufoss. According to a well-known German website, Transfermarkt.com, they are also a much bigger team in terms of players' total market value. Their squad has an estimated total market value of over four million euros! The Raufoss squad is valued at only about 2.40 million.. Raufoss took a somewhat undeserved 2-1 win at home over Start in their latest game. They were solid favorites in this match on the betting market but the visitors had 52% ball possession and also recorded more shots on goal, corner kicks, attacks (105-84) and especially dangerous attacks – 83-56! It was clear before, during and after the match that Raufoss were overvalued by the bookies also in this game! They are in 9th place in the standings with 25 points in their pocket. However, their number of xPTS is marginally lower. I do not see them having a true chance of making it to the top-6 and they probably realize this themselves too.. Sogndal faced Kongsvinger, currently in 2nd place, in their most recent game and it was an entertaining and high-level game at home! The final score was 3-3 but Sogndal would have deserved a narrow win after having 58% ball possession, more goal attempts, corner kicks and dangerous attacks – 80-60.

劳弗斯对索格达尔

北京时间周四凌晨，在纳莫球场，劳弗斯欢迎索格达尔参加挪威奥博斯对利加恩的第20轮比赛。这是挪威足球的第二梯队，以欧洲的标准来看，水平相当低。然而，我们可以期待一场相当高质量的比赛，以这个联盟的标准来看。我和我的球迷在这个联赛上投注得很好，我们在这里还有另一个有希望的投注机会!索格达尔目前在积分榜上排名第四。他们的账户上总共有31分。获得第一名和第二名的球队将在下个赛季升入埃里茨林。此外，获得第3-6名的球队将参加晋级季后赛。如果在本赛季剩下的时间里，Sogndal击败目前排名第三的KFUM Oslo，我一点也不会感到惊讶。事实上，Sogndal在我的力量评级中排名第三，这反映了球队的纯粹等级，拥有最好的首发11人。他们的期望值(xPTS)为35.12。我想强调的是，他们在比赛的各个方面都比劳弗斯有优势。他们的进攻优势大于防守优势。事实上，本赛季到目前为止，他们已经在联赛中打进了29球。然而，他们可以在游戏的这一领域有所提高!他们应该在对方球门附近更快地移动球，以创造更多危险的得分机会。他们的预期进球数(xG)为34.02。另一方面，劳弗斯在进攻端是一支相当蹩脚的球队。他们只进了24次球，从xG的角度来看，他们既不走运也不倒霉。他们的进攻缺乏速度、创造力和在对手球门附近传球的准确性。他们的防守还不错，本赛季他们在欧冠联赛中丢了24个球。然而，他们的预期进球数(xGA)更大——准确地说是26.34。即使按照联盟的标准，他们也没有特别好的球迷。的确，这里的主场优势比这个联盟的平均水平要小。根据预期的阵容，索格达尔应该是最受欢迎的球队，在北京时间周三下午写这篇预告的时候，客队给出的胜率大约是2.40，这太高了!在Sogndal上推荐的+0.5个进球障碍选项，我和我的球迷有74%的机会再次获胜!我预计赔率会在开球前降下来!

我想强调的是，在两队最近的六场比赛中，拉福斯没有击败索格达尔!事实上，Sogndal赢了这六场比赛中的五场!让我们也记住上赛季客队比劳弗斯多拿了很多分。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，就球员的总市值而言，他们也是一支更大的球队。这支球队的总市值估计超过400万欧元!劳弗斯队的身价只有240万英镑。在他们最近的一场比赛中，劳弗斯在主场以2-1战胜了Start。在这场比赛中，他们在博彩市场上是最受欢迎的球队，但客队有52%的控球率，并且有更多的射门、角球、进攻(105比84)，尤其是危险的进攻(83比56)!很明显，在比赛前，比赛中和比赛后，劳福斯被博彩公司高估了，在这场比赛中也是如此!他们以25分的积分排在积分榜第9位。但是，它们的xpt数量略低。我不认为他们有真正的机会进入前六，他们自己可能也意识到了这一点。索格达尔在他们最近的比赛中面对了目前排名第二的孔斯辛格，这是一场有趣的高水平主场比赛!最后的比分是3-3，但在控球率为58%、进球次数更多、角球和危险进攻更多(80-60)的情况下，索格达尔本应以微弱优势取胜。