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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A FINE match to bet on! $$$

2023-08-23

比赛分析

丹麦甲

已完赛

星期三2023-08-23 01:00

解读理由

Naestved vs B93 Copenhagen



Naestved welcome B93 Copenhagen for Danish 1st Division clash at round Tintshop Park very early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the second-highest level of Danish football. The difference compared to the first tier, the Superliga, is substantial. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of lower than average level by the 1st Division standards between these two lowly teams! Most importantly, we have yet another extremely interesting betting opportunity here! As I have mentioned a few times before, even the biggest bookies put much more resources on the biggest leagues - like The English Premier League, LaLiga, Serie A, German Bundesliga etc – than on this league, for example, as well as in many other inferior leagues. This often leads to mistakes with the odds they offer in smaller leagues! Naestved play a decent last season and finished in 5th place in the Promotion Group. They took a total of 43 points and had a goal difference of 50:48. However, I want to highlight that they had luck on their side in many games last season. Indeed, their number of expected points (xPTS) was just 38.12. It seems that the bookies give last season way too much empahsis here.. Indeed, the betting market has failed to fully realize how much worse Naestved have been this season! They are currently the rock-bottom team in this league with a total of 12 clubs. They have faled to win a single game and have – rather pathetically – just one point to their account! Moreover, their score difference is very weak – 6:12 to be precise.

According to my my sources the hosts' team spirit is also pretty weak. I also do not trust their coach very much. The current odds of around 2.15-2.30 offered by the biggest bookies - with the largest stake limits – on the hosts to win are too way low! They deserve to be only marginal favorites here. The recommended bet, +0.5 goals on B93 Copenhagen has a clearly over 60% chance of winning! Naestved too a very lucky point in their most recent game and this result probably affects the odds heavily here. Indeed, it was a 1-1 draw away from home against Aalborg as big underdogs. Aalborg dominated the events on the pitch generating much more in expected goals (xG). Before this Naesteved lost to Kolding 1-2 at home The visitors were the much better team in this game and could easily have scored even more goals! Naestved were clearly low in confidence and their fans looked frustrated.. Indeed, the home advantage here is smaller than on average in this league. The visitors are a newly promoted team and would deserve more respect from the bookies. They do have some talent in the squad and pley very well as a team. They were bad in their latets game but the final score (0-5) is still very misleading. Before this they took two fine wins in a row!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

Naestved vs B93哥本哈根



北京时间周三凌晨,丹麦甲级联赛B93哥本哈根将在Tintshop公园举行。这是丹麦足球的第二高水平。与第一梯队,超级联赛相比,差距是巨大的。足球迷和我们这些贪图利益的球迷可以期待这两支低水平球队之间的比赛低于平均水平。最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有趣的投注机会!正如我之前几次提到的那样,即使是最大的博彩公司也会把更多的资源投入到最大的联赛中,比如英超、西甲、意甲、德甲等,而不是这个联赛,以及其他许多次等联赛。这通常会导致他们在较小的联赛中提供的赔率错误!内维斯德上赛季表现不错,在升级组排名第五。他们总共得到43分,净胜球为50:48。然而,我想强调的是,上赛季他们在很多比赛中都有运气。事实上,他们的期望值(xPTS)仅为38.12。看来博彩公司在这里太强调上赛季了。事实上,博彩市场还没有完全意识到本赛季的情况有多糟糕!他们目前是这个联赛中垫底的球队,总共有12个俱乐部。他们一场比赛都没赢,可悲的是,他们只拿到一分!此外,他们的得分差距非常小,准确地说是6:12。

根据我的消息来源,东道主的团队精神也很弱。我也不太相信他们的教练。目前由最大的博彩公司提供的2.15-2.30左右的赔率-最大的赌注限制-东道主获胜的几率太低了!在这里,他们应该只是被边缘化的宠儿。推荐的赌注,+0.5球B93哥本哈根有明显超过60%的获胜机会!在他们最近的比赛中,他们也得到了非常幸运的一分,这个结果可能会严重影响这里的赔率。事实上,在客场1-1战平奥尔堡的比赛中,我们处于劣势。奥尔堡在比赛中占据主导地位,创造了更多的预期进球(xG)。在主场1比2输给科尔丁之前,客队在这场比赛中表现得更好,可以轻松地进更多的球!内维尔显然缺乏信心,他们的球迷看起来很沮丧。事实上,这里的主场优势比这个联盟的平均水平要小。客队是一支新提升的球队,应该得到博彩公司更多的尊重。他们确实有一些天赋,作为一个团队,他们表现得很好。他们在最后一场比赛中表现很糟糕,但最后的比分(0-5)仍然很容易误导人。在此之前,他们取得了两连胜!

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