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Best Wednesday's bet!! 22中18

2021-04-14

比赛分析

南美超杯

已完赛

星期四2021-04-15 08:30

解读理由

Palmeiras -0.75 in the pair is the best bet this Wednesday.

This game is worth a lot of money and Palmeiras after losing the Recopa Brasileira at the weekend in the penalties to Flamengo, wants this title at all costs. In the first leg they won 1-2 to play away. There is no criterion for an away goal, so if they lose 0-1, for example, the game will go to the penalties.

I like this bet for 3 important reasons.

1st Reason: Difference in the quality of the teams, Defensa Y Justicia is a medium-sized team, with the dismissed players of the great ones in Argentina and some young people on loan. Palmeiras on the other hand is one of the biggest teams in South America and has one of the squads with more quality.

2nd and 3rd Reason: These reasons are interconnected. Result and tactics of the teams. As Defensa needs victory they won't be able to defend themselves, they will have to look for the attack to get the goal. Only this is what Palmeiras want. Palmeiras is not a team to take over the game and be on the attack all the time. They prefer to wait for the opponent's mistake and then leave with great speed and quality for the attack. So I expect Defensa attack with many players, without quality to score and Palmeiras to leave very fast and create many opportunities. Defensa's defense will be badly positioned many times.


帕尔梅拉斯-0.75是本周三最好的选择。

这场比赛价值很多钱,而帕尔梅拉斯在周末在对弗拉门戈点球大战输球之后,他们不惜一切代价想要这个冠军。在第一回合中,他们客场2-1赢下比赛。没有客场进球的优势,例如,如果他们输了0-1,比赛依然将进入罚球。

我选择帕尔梅拉斯有3个重要原因。

第一个原因:球队的实力差异,防御正义是一支比较普通的球队,有阿根廷的优秀球员,租借了一些年轻球员。另一方面,帕尔梅拉斯是南美最大的球队之一,拥有非常有实力的阵容。

第二和第三原因:这两个原因是相互联系的。比赛战绩和和战术。由于防御正义需要胜利,他们将无法顾及防守,因此他们将不得不通过进攻来寻求进球。这正是帕尔梅拉斯想要的。帕尔梅拉斯不是一支擅长持续发起进攻的球队。他们喜欢等待对手的犯错,然后以极高的速度和发动反击。因此,我预测防御正义会在进攻中投入很多球员,但没有能力取得进球,而帕尔梅拉斯利用快速反击创造很多机会。防御正义的防线将在很多时候处于劣势。

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