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La Liga is back with a confident pick!

2023-08-11

比赛分析

西甲

已完赛

星期六2023-08-12 04:00

解读理由

Sevilla is clearly the favorite here in my opinion.

Odds are based on the fact that last season Sevilla made a terrible first half of the season, close to the relegation zone. But with new coach Mendilibaer they improved a lot, playing very simple but effective football, gained confidence and won the Europa League title.

Furthermore, they were last season dealing with many important injuries. For today they have the best lineup available, and with this squad and coach, Sevilla is a TOP5 contender. It’s important to maintain the coach, because his agreement was only to finish the last season, but due to the success, how comfortable players felt with him, and the fans request, he signed another year.

They had a poor preseason but I’m sure they’ll change their mind for this match. At home they use to be pretty strong and surely will start the season at 100%. With this coach, the intensity isn’t negotiable.

On the other hand, Valencia is a relegation contender. They lost many key players from last season: Samu Lino, Justin Kluivert, Lato, Cavani, Yunus Musah… and signed only a midfielder from the second division - Pepelu.

The club is chaotic. Last season they were very close to being relegated. They made the miracle thanks to some impressive results (and very lucky) with this coach, who is an old player who did the favour to the club. Nobody wants to take this charge, because the owner are selling all main players and just focused on the money, so the club is losing quality year after year.

They finished last season (and made the miracle of avoiding relegation) with many youngsters from the B team, because the coach didn’t have more alternatives. And for this season, the lineup is again full of youngsters from B team who in normal circumstances, won’t play a single minute in a top team of La Liga.

Their midfield and attack is composed of players from 21 to 24 years old, without any kind of experience (only a few games played last season). In defense they have as CB couple an irregular player like Paulista and a terrible defender like Diakhaby, who usually make many mistakes.

They had a good preseason but were pretty lucky and their rivals were weak. Against a serious team like Aston Villa they were totally outplayed and lost 1:2.

Sevilla has much more quality and I’m sure that their coach will know how to play this match against a young and inexperienced Valencia team. Quality is clearly in the home side, and in my opinion guests will struggle a lot this season and their main battles will be against relegation teams or home games. In normal circumstances, Sevilla should be in the TOP5 and Valencia in the bottom 5 this campaign.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,塞维利亚显然是最受欢迎的球队。

赔率是基于上个赛季塞维利亚前半赛季的糟糕表现,接近降级区。但在新教练门迪利贝尔的带领下,他们进步了很多,踢出了非常简单但有效的足球,获得了信心,并赢得了欧联杯冠军。

此外,上赛季他们还遭遇了很多严重的伤病。今天他们拥有最好的阵容,有了这样的阵容和教练,塞维利亚是TOP5的有力竞争者。留住教练很重要,因为他的协议只是完成上个赛季,但由于成功,球员们觉得和他在一起很舒服,以及球迷的要求,他又签了一年。

他们季前赛表现不佳,但我相信他们会在这场比赛中改变主意。在主场,他们曾经非常强大,并且肯定会以100%的状态开始新赛季。有了这个教练,强度是不容商量的。

另一方面,瓦伦西亚是一个降级的竞争者。他们失去了上赛季的许多关键球员:利诺、克鲁伊维特、拉托、卡瓦尼、尤努斯·穆萨……而且只从乙级联赛签下了一名中场球员佩佩卢。

俱乐部里一片混乱。上个赛季他们差一点就降级了。他们创造了奇迹,这要归功于一些令人印象深刻的结果(而且非常幸运),这位教练是一位老球员,他为俱乐部做了贡献。没有人愿意承担这个责任,因为老板正在出售所有的主要球员,只关注钱,所以俱乐部的质量在逐年下降。

上个赛季结束时,他们用了很多B队的年轻人(并创造了保级奇迹),因为教练没有更多的选择。本赛季,球队的阵容再次充满了来自B队的年轻人,在正常情况下,他们不会在西甲的顶级球队打上一分钟。

他们的中场和进攻是由21到24岁的球员组成的,没有任何经验(上赛季只踢了几场比赛)。在防守端,他们有一个像保利斯塔这样的不规则球员和一个像迪亚哈比这样的糟糕后卫,他经常犯很多错误。

他们季前赛打得很好,但是运气很好,他们的对手很弱。面对像阿斯顿维拉这样的强队,他们完全被击败,以1:2的比分输掉了比赛。

塞维利亚的实力要强得多,我相信他们的教练会知道如何对付年轻又缺乏经验的瓦伦西亚。显然主队的实力很重要,在我看来客队本赛季会很挣扎,他们的主要战斗将是对阵保级球队或主场比赛。在正常情况下,塞维利亚本赛季应该在前5名,瓦伦西亚在后5名。

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