Helsingborg vs Örgryte

Helsingborg welcome Trelleborg for this Swedish Superettan round 17 battle at Olympia very early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the second tier of Swedish football. Superettan is of somewhat low level by European standards but is still significantly better than for example the Finnish second tier, Ykkönen. Unlike in the Ykkönen, players in Allsvenskan are professional footballers. When analyzing and betting on Superettan it is important to realize that the home advantage in this league is on average lower than in most big European leagues, for example the Spanish LaLiga or the English Premier League. However, here the home advantage is bigger than on average in Superettan. Indeed, Helsingborg have loyal and loud fans by Superettan standards. Örgtyte, on the other hand, rarely excel on the road. They have now lost four away games in a row. They allowed 11 goals in these four games – scoring just two! In this match football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a pretty mediocre game between these two better teams. As most of my fans probably are aware of by now I never let the league table fool me! Trelleborg currently occupy the 15th place in the standings and have a total of only 15 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is a little bigger. They do have potential for some improvement but I do not think this will happen quickly.. Indeed, they are having yet another disappointing season. Last season they finished in 13th place with 35 points to their pocket and had to fight hard to avoid relegation to the third tier. Furthermore, their score difference is not impressive at all– 16:23 to be precise. Örgryte's number of expected goals (xG) is 15.21. It is hard to write anything overly positive about their game.. Their defense has been the somewhat disorganized defense in terms of structure – especially on the road – their defenders make too many stupid individual mistakes. The midfielders should also take part in defending much more than we have witnessed so far.. They have conceded a whopping 24 goals in this league so far.

Örgryte have lost six of their most recent seven games. In their most recent game they took a point at home through a 1-1 draw against Brage. It was, however, a rather disappointing performance. They were priced around 2.00-2.10 to win on the betting market at the time of kickoff. Brage had 55% ball possession and also recorded many more goal attempts (12-9), shots off goal attacks and dangerous attacks - 59-44. Both teams had five shots on target. I do not understand why the bookies still trust this team so much – very often offering them way too low odds.. Örgryte and Helsingborg last locked horns on the 15th of July and the then visitors, Helsingborg took a 2-1 win - weirdly as clear underdogs according to the bookies! The hosts are undervalued by the bookies here and the odds of around 2.05-2.15 are widely available! Helsingborg have a 55% chance of taking all three points!

We must not forget that Helsingborg played in Allsvenskan last season and are a traditional., pretty big club in Sweden. Their players total market value according to Transfermarkt.com, a reliable and well-known source, is around 5.5 million euros but I would set the number at around 7.3-7.5 million. The Trelleborg squad is valued at 4.64 million euros which is too high in my view.. Yes, Helsingborg have struggled this season as a whole and I have lowered their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class from my sophisticated in-depth – strongly data-based pre-season analysis. However, I want to highlight that they have clearly improved from early season both on the pitch and in terms of actual results! Even so, they have only 17 points in their pocket but their number of expected  points is 21.78. I believe that they can improve even further, especially in terms of offensive structure and creativity.. So far their offense has failed to impress me – or probably anyone else - taking the pretty high expectations into account.. They have scored just 13 goals in this league so far but their number of xG is still 18.46! At least their defense has worked pretty well and they have allowed just 17 goals. Indeed, I would not be surprised to see Örgryte failing to score in this game. To give an accurate picture of the hosts' strong defense I want to mention that for example Oster, in 3rd place with 30 points to their account, have conceded 22 goals! 

In their most recent game the hosts faced Utsikten away from home and it was a 1-1 draw. Utsikten, who currently top the standings with 39 points, were solid favorites in this game and were undoubtedly the slightly stronger team on the pitch. Before this Helsingborg started the game well at home against Trelleborg but faded away as the match progressed, losing the balanced game 1-3. Trelelborg played a better than average game though.. However, before these two matches mentioned above Helsingborg won three competitive matches in a row and have looked pretty confident on the pitch even against Trelleborg - perhaps except for the last 30 or so minutes..! On the 10th of July Helsingborg kept a clean sheet against Eskilstuna and before the summer break, on the 11th of June they defeated Ostersund – both wew 1-0 wins were achieved after excellent defensive performances!

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赫尔辛堡vs Örgryte

北京时间周三凌晨，赫尔辛堡欢迎特瑞堡参加瑞典超级联赛第17轮在奥林匹亚的战斗。这是瑞典足球的第二梯队。按照欧洲标准，Superettan的水平有些低，但仍然明显好于芬兰的第二梯队Ykkönen。与Ykkönen不同，阿尔斯温斯坎的球员都是职业足球运动员。在分析和下注超级联赛时，重要的是要意识到这个联赛的主场优势平均低于大多数欧洲联赛，例如西甲联赛或英超联赛。然而，这里的主场优势比超级城市的平均优势要大。的确，赫尔辛堡拥有忠实而响亮的粉丝。Örgtyte，另一方面，很少在路上表现出色。他们已经连续输掉了四场客场比赛。他们在这四场比赛中丢了11个球，只进了两个!在这场比赛中，球迷和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待这两支更好的球队之间的一场相当平庸的比赛。正如我的大多数粉丝现在可能已经意识到的那样，我从不让积分榜欺骗我!特瑞堡目前在积分榜上排名第15位，总共只有15分。然而，它们的期望值(xPTS)要大一些。他们确实有一些改进的潜力，但我认为这不会很快发生。事实上，他们又经历了一个令人失望的赛季。上个赛季，他们以35分的成绩排在第13位，为了避免降级到第三梯队而不得不努力拼搏。此外，他们的比分差距也不是很大——准确地说是16:23。Örgryte的预期进球数(xG)为15.21。很难对他们的比赛做出任何过分积极的评价。他们的防守在结构上有些混乱——尤其是在客场——他们的防守者犯了太多愚蠢的个人错误。中场也应该比我们目前看到的更多地参与防守。到目前为止，他们在联赛中已经丢了24个球。

Örgryte在最近的7场比赛中输掉了6场。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场1-1战平布拉日，拿到一分。然而，这是一个相当令人失望的表现。开球时，在博彩市场上，他们的价格在2.00-2.10左右。布拉日有55%的控球率，并且有更多的射门次数(12比9)，射门次数(59比44)和危险进攻次数(59比44)。两队都有5次射正。我不明白为什么博彩公司仍然如此信任这支球队-经常给他们太低的赔率…Örgryte和赫尔辛堡最后一次交锋是在7月15日，当时的客队赫尔辛堡以2-1获胜——奇怪的是，根据博彩公司的说法，他们显然处于劣势!这里的博彩公司低估了东道主的价值，2.05-2.15的赔率随处可见!赫尔辛堡有55%的机会拿到全部三分!

我们不能忘记赫尔辛堡上赛季在阿尔斯温斯坎踢过球，他们是一支传统球队。这是瑞典一家非常大的俱乐部。根据可靠且知名的Transfermarkt.com的数据，他们球员的总市值约为550万欧元，但我认为这个数字在730万至750万欧元之间。特瑞堡的球队价值464万欧元，在我看来太高了。是的，赫尔辛堡本赛季整体表现不佳，我已经降低了他们的能量评级，这反映了我基于赛季前数据的复杂深度分析中球队的纯粹等级。然而，我想强调的是，他们在球场上和实际成绩上都比赛季初有了明显的进步!尽管如此，他们目前的积分只有17分，但他们的期望积分是21.78分。我相信他们还可以进一步提高，特别是在进攻结构和创造力方面。到目前为止，他们的进攻没有给我留下深刻的印象——或者可能是其他人——考虑到很高的期望。到目前为止，他们在联赛中只进了13球，但他们的xG数仍然是18.46!至少他们的防守做得很好，只丢了17个球。事实上，如果Örgryte在这场比赛中没有进球，我不会感到惊讶。为了准确描述东道主强大的防守，我想提一下奥斯特，以30分排名第三，丢了22个球!

在他们最近的一场比赛中，主队客场对阵乌茨克滕，双方1-1战平。目前以39分排名第一的Utsikten是本场比赛中最受欢迎的球队，毫无疑问是稍强的球队

球场。在此之前，赫尔辛堡在主场对阵特瑞堡的比赛中开局不错，但随着比赛的进行，赫尔辛堡逐渐淡出了比赛，以1-3输掉了比赛。不过特瑞堡打得比一般人好…然而，在这两场比赛之前，赫尔辛堡连续赢得了三场有竞争力的比赛，即使在对阵特瑞堡的比赛中，赫尔辛堡在球场上看起来也相当自信——也许除了最后的30分钟左右…!7月10日，赫尔辛堡在对阵埃斯基尔斯蒂纳的比赛中保持了零封，在暑假之前，他们在6月11日击败了奥斯特松德——两场新的1-0胜利都是在出色的防守表现之后取得的!

08月09日赫尔辛堡 VS 奥尔格里特比赛分析直播