In my opinion Australia have really good chances to win this game and qualification into quarter final front of home crowd.

Both teams played each other in friendly game at October 2022, Australia won 3:1 and I expect similar scoreline today.

Obviously, Australia have advantage because plays at home and will have strong support from the crowd, but for me also Australia looked better than Denmark in group stage.

Australia recorded 6 points in 3 group matches. They don't have problems with goalscoring as they scored 7 goals (6.11 expected goals scored). In those 3 matches Australia conceded 3 goals (according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 2.52).

Denmark also made 6 points in group stage, but for me doesn't looked convincing at all. 1:0 in close match against China. In second round 0:1 loss against England and England had full control. In third game Denmark won against poor Haiti 2:0, but match was much close than scoreline can suggest.

What is the most important - Australia played in group stage without their best player Samantha Kerr. She is superb striker - 86 goals in 110 matches for Chelsea London! I'm sure we will see her on the pitch today at some point. She is able to make big difference.

I see strong value on home side.

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在我看来，澳大利亚有很好的机会赢得这场比赛，在主场观众面前晋级四分之一决赛。

两支球队在2022年10月的友谊赛中相遇，澳大利亚以3:1获胜，我预计今天的比分会是类似的。

显然，澳大利亚有优势，因为他们在主场比赛，并且会得到球迷的大力支持，但对我来说，澳大利亚在小组赛阶段看起来比丹麦要好。

澳大利亚在3场小组赛中获得6分。他们在进球方面没有问题，他们进了7个球(预期进球数为6.11)。在这3场比赛中，澳大利亚丢了3个球(根据预期丢球模型，他们应该丢2.52个球)。

丹麦在小组赛中也拿到了6分，但对我来说，这看起来一点也不令人信服。在与中国队的比赛中比分1:1。在第二轮0:1输给英格兰队的比赛中，英格兰队完全控制了比赛。在第三场比赛中，丹麦队以2:0战胜贫穷的海地队，但比分比比分显示的要接近得多。

最重要的是，澳大利亚在小组赛中没有他们最好的球员萨曼莎·科尔。她是一名出色的前锋，在切尔西伦敦队的110场比赛中打进86球!我相信我们今天一定会在球场上看到她。她能带来很大的改变。

我认为主场很有价值。

08月07日澳大利女 VS 丹麦女比赛分析直播