LILLESTROM - HAM-KAM

Lillestrom is coming from a 1:0 away defeat last week against Haugesund, which was the end of three consecutive victories. But were pretty unlucky as they missed many chances and deserved at least a draw, having 1.46 expected goals (xG) against just 0.51.

We can’t forget that Lillestrom has a lot of potential. Although they are only 6th on the table, they have the 4th best squad in the Eliteserien according to their value, which is 14.5MM Euros (Ham-Kam’s value is just 6.5 MM Euros).

They’ll miss their topscorer and best striker Akor Adams, who has scored 15 goals so far, but will be replaced by Olsen Thomas who has scored 6 already. The club is looking for a new striker as most probably the Nigerian scorer Akor Adams will leave the club.

On the other hand, Ham-Kam looked to be in massive trouble when they lost 8 out of 9 league games but have responded by winning their last three league matches consecutively. A clear over-performance by a weak side who will be fighting to avoid relegation, as they have the second worst squad of the league in terms of value and quality.

Their two most recent wins have both been by exact 3-2 scorelines vs Sarpsborg and Stabaek. Ham-Kam have been lucky in both games though and outplayed on each occasion, especially Stabaek where scored at 94’ after having just 0.48 expected goals and 1.73 against.

They need to improve the level of their performance otherwise they will start to lose matches again. Their away record is very poor with 6 out of 7 defeats and a 9:24 goal differential in the league.

Even without Akor Adams, Lillestrom should still win. This might only be 1-0 or 2-0 but it would be a surprise if the match didn’t result in a home victory. Quality difference is huge here and Ham-Kam has been overperforming lately, whilst Lillestrom will be looking for another victory to stay in the top positions of the Eliteserien.

JAPAN - SPAIN

Final round in the group with both teams already qualified (and did it easily) and playing just for the 1st position. Also it’s an important fixture for both teams to gain confidence for the next stages.

Japan made two impressive performances, winning Zambia 5:0 and Costa Rica 2:0. In the game against Costa Rica the two goals came in just three minutes, but here Spain will be their most difficult match in the tournament.

Japan has some promising youngsters such as Fujino, but has a shorter squad (in terms of quality) than Spain. And this will be very important for a match like this one where surely both teams will make some changes in the lineup. Their best player Mana Iwabuchi is out of the squad for this tournament.

Although Japan has quality, we can’t forget their poor performances in the friendlies and preparation for this World Cup, being outplayed and losing against all top teams: England (4:0), the USA (1:0), Brazil (1:0), Denmark (1:0) and even Spain (1:0).

On the other hand, Spain is between the main title contenders and are full of confidence after their results and performances so far. They have one of the best squads in the tournament, and Jorge Vilda’s side will be brimming with confidence after PSG striker Jennifer Hermoso scored twice in her 100th appearance to bag 50 goals for the country while Alexia Putellas made her first start since 2022.

Aitana Bonmati also had a great game against Zambia while I expect centre-backs Irene Paredes and Ivana Andres to keep things tight and build attacks from the back.

This is a contest between two very impressive possession-based teams. But Spain is in better form, has more quality and a better squad to manage rotations. Spain has probably the best attack in the tournament and it will be very difficult for Japan to stop them.

该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:

利勒斯特罗姆-咸甘

利勒斯特罗姆上周客场1:0输给豪格松，结束了他们的三连胜。但是他们很不走运，因为他们错过了很多机会，至少应该平局，预期进球数为1.46，而预期进球数只有0.51。

我们不能忘记利勒斯特罗姆有很大的潜力。虽然他们在积分榜上只排在第6位，但他们的阵容在精英队中排名第四，他们的价值为14.5亿欧元(咸锦的价值仅为650万欧元)。

他们将失去他们的最佳射手和最佳前锋阿科尔·亚当斯，他到目前为止已经打进了15球，但奥尔森·托马斯将取代他，他已经打进了6球。俱乐部正在寻找一名新的前锋，最有可能的是尼日利亚射手阿克尔·亚当斯将离开俱乐部。

另一方面，咸锦队在9场联赛中输掉8场比赛，看起来陷入了巨大的麻烦，但最近3场联赛连续获胜。这支弱队的表现明显超群，他们将为保级而战，因为他们的阵容在价值和质量上都是联赛第二差的。

他们最近的两场胜利都是在对阵萨尔普斯堡和斯塔巴赫的比赛中以3比2的比分获胜。哈姆卡姆在两场比赛中都很幸运，而且每场比赛都表现出色，尤其是斯塔巴赫，他在预期只有0.48个进球和对阵1.73个进球的情况下打进了94分。

他们需要提高他们的表现水平，否则他们会再次输掉比赛。他们的客场战绩非常糟糕，7败6负，联赛净胜球差9:24。

即使没有阿克·亚当斯，利勒斯特罗姆也应该会赢。这可能只是1-0或2-0，但如果比赛没有在主场获胜，那将是一个惊喜。在这里，实力差距是巨大的，咸锦最近的表现非常出色，而利勒斯特罗姆将寻求另一场胜利，以保持在精英队的榜首位置。

日本-西班牙

在小组最后一轮，两支球队都已经出线(而且很容易出线)，只为第一名而战。同时，这也是两支球队为下一阶段获得信心的重要赛程。

日本队有两次令人印象深刻的表现，分别以5:0和2:0战胜赞比亚和哥斯达黎加。在对阵哥斯达黎加的比赛中，西班牙队在短短三分钟内就进了两球，但在这场比赛中，西班牙队将面临本届杯赛中最艰难的比赛。

日本有一些很有前途的年轻人，比如藤野，但是阵容(就质量而言)比西班牙短。这对于像这样的比赛来说是非常重要的，因为两支球队肯定会在阵容上做出一些改变。他们最好的选手岩渊真已经退出了本届比赛的大名单。

虽然日本队有实力，但我们不能忘记他们在友谊赛和世界杯备战中的糟糕表现，在面对所有顶级球队时都被击败和输球:英格兰(4:0)，美国(1:0)，巴西(1:0)，丹麦(1:0)，甚至西班牙(1:0)。

另一方面，西班牙是主要的冠军争夺者之一，在他们迄今为止的成绩和表现之后，他们充满了信心。他们是本届世界杯上最好的球队之一，豪尔赫·维尔达的球队将充满信心，因为巴黎圣日耳曼前锋詹妮弗·赫尔莫索在她的第100次出场中梅开二度，为国家队打进50球，而亚历克西亚·普泰拉斯自2022年以来首次首发。

博马蒂在对赞比亚的比赛中也有出色的表现，我希望中后卫帕雷德斯和安德烈斯能保持紧张，并在后场组织进攻。

这是两支令人印象深刻的控球球队之间的比赛。但是西班牙的状态更好，有更多的实力和更好的阵容来管理轮换。西班牙可能拥有本届杯赛中最好的进攻，日本很难阻止他们。

07月31日日本女 VS 西班牙女比赛分析直播

07月30日利勒斯特 VS 汉坎比赛分析直播