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Two great picks for the Saturday! 德乙+女世界杯分享

2023-07-29

比赛分析

女世界杯

已完赛

星期六2023-07-29 18:00

德乙

已完赛

星期六2023-07-29 19:00

解读理由

WEHEN - MAGDEBURG

I have no doubts Magdeburg is a clearer favourite here than what these odds show. First of all, they were among the best teams in BL2 in the second half of last season. After they had learned things the hard way in the first half of the season when they also played good football but defended like a youth team, they gained a lot of maturity in the second half of the season. In the last 15 rounds of the league they were the 6th best team.

With some good additions to the squad, such as signing Arslan, the top scorer from the last season in the 3. Liga with 25 goals in Dynamo Dresden, they should play a really good role again with the clear philosophy of dominating games with a high share of ball possession.

Their target is again the TOP10.

On the other hand, Wehen is a newly promoted side who have gone through quite many changes prior to this season. They will be a bit of a surprise bag but they will certainly play against relegation only. With Hollerbach and Ezeh, they lost their two best players of last season and the new transfers have been pretty weak.

Their squad is, according to the value, the third worst in the Bundesliga II. They are a classic team from the third division (3. Liga) so for them to achieve a promotion is a big success and avoid relegation, a huge target (and very difficult for them).

Wehen were promoted ending fourth, below Freiburg II who couldn’t promote because the first team was already in the Bundesliga II. And Wehen ended just one point above two teams, so in normal circumstances they could have been out of the promotion, as they did not dominate the league hard.

So Wehen were pretty lucky with Freiburg’s second team position, because with another team there they’d be still playing in the third division.

Furthermore, Wehen had a really poor preseason. They have played just 4 friendlies against weak sides, while Magdeburg played 6 friendlies, some of them against strong teams like Nordsjaelland (2:0) or Sevilla (3:1). I saw their game against Sevilla, which was the last one, and made a very solid and strong performance.

What is also important is that Wehen have no fans, whereas Magdeburg have great fans. There will be more Magdeburg fans than Wehen fans in the stadium. 90 minutes, you will hear only the Magdeburg supporters. So this will not be a classic home advantage spot for Wehen, in my opinion.

There isn’t any reason to see Wehen favorite here. They have a much weaker squad, experience and quality than Magdeburg. Guests ended the previous season pretty good, made a better preseason, some good transfers and surely will continue at the same level.

FRANCE - BRAZIL

France started the tournament with a disappointing goalless draw against Jamaica. They created chances, but were unlucky upfront.

The French have a new manager in Herve Renard and I believe he’s galvanised the team by bringing players who didn’t want to play under the previous manager back into the squad, but it looks like the team is still far from their best level.

France have some phenomenal players – Eugenie Le Sommer is their all-time record scorer and has scored three goals in three games since returning to the national team. Captain Wendie Renard will be key at the back. She’s such a leader, has so much experience and has won so many titles at club level. Undoubtedly one of the best defenders in the world and, if France are to go far, she’ll have a big role to play.

They need goals and more danger upfront, and it’s a difficult task to solve in just one game. Especially, against a strong team like Brazil.

Brazil was clearly the favorite in this group, as shown in their previous game winning 4:0 Panama. With a victory here, they’ll be already in ⅛ finals and will be able to make some rotations in the last round against Jamaica, resting the best players for the last stages. They have big hopes to go far in this World Cup, are an exciting team to watch and like to pass the ball around in a similar style to Spain and Japan. France will expend a lot of energy trying to press and close the opposition down.

Against Panama they clearly dominated the game, with great performances of their striker Ary Borges, who scored three goals of high quality.

They also have some top players like Marta, the all-time top scorer at the World Cup with 17 goals, fellow forward Debinha, and former Arsenal defender Rafaelle who is excellent at the back.

From the goalkeeper all the way through the side, there’s so much talent in the Brazil team. They are playing with a lot of flair and freedom and surely will be able to dominate France here.

Again here in this pick too, there's no reason to see France favorite. Brazil has much more quality and is clearly the better team here. France needs points here too but Brazil can’t afford a defeat either.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

魏恩——马格德堡

我毫不怀疑马格德堡比这些赔率所显示的更受欢迎。首先,他们在上赛季后半段是BL2最好的球队之一。他们在前半赛季也踢得很好,但防守像青年队一样,在经历了惨痛的教训后,他们在后半赛季获得了很多成熟。在过去的15轮联赛中,他们是排名第六的球队。

随着球队的一些不错的补充,比如签下了上赛季在第三赛季的最佳射手阿尔斯兰。在德累斯顿迪纳摩的比赛中攻入25球,他们应该以高控球率统治比赛的明确理念再次发挥出色的作用。

他们的目标还是TOP10。

另一方面,温格是一支刚刚升级的球队,在本赛季之前经历了很多变化。他们将是一个令人惊讶的组合,但他们肯定只会为保级而战。加上霍勒巴赫和伊泽,他们失去了上赛季最好的两名球员,新的转会也相当薄弱。

根据该数值,他们的阵容在德甲乙级联赛中排名第三。他们是一支来自乙级联赛的经典球队。所以对他们来说,晋级是一个巨大的成功,保级是一个巨大的目标(对他们来说也是非常困难的)。

当我们以第四名的成绩晋级时,排在弗莱堡二队之后,弗莱堡二队无法晋级,因为第一支球队已经在德甲二队了。他们只比两支球队多一分,所以在正常情况下他们可能已经被淘汰了,因为他们并没有在联赛中占据主导地位。

所以我们很幸运弗莱堡的第二队位置,因为换了另一支球队,他们仍然在第三级别比赛。

此外,我们的季前赛表现很差。他们只与弱队打了4场友谊赛,而马格德堡打了6场友谊赛,其中一些是与北荷兰(2:0)或塞维利亚(3:1)这样的强队。我看了他们对塞维利亚的比赛,那是最后一场比赛,他们的表现非常稳定和强劲。

同样重要的是我们没有球迷,而马格德堡有很棒的球迷。马格德堡的球迷会比威恩的球迷多。90分钟,你只会听到马格德堡的支持者。所以在我看来,这将不会是一个典型的主场优势。

没有任何理由在这里看到最喜欢的。他们的阵容、经验和实力都比马格德堡弱得多。客队上赛季表现不错,季前赛表现更好,一些不错的转会,肯定会继续保持同样的水平。

法国-巴西

法国队以一场令人失望的0比0战平了牙买加队。他们创造了机会,但在前场运气不佳。

法国人有了新教练埃尔韦·雷纳德,我相信他把那些不想在前任教练手下踢球的球员带回了球队,从而激励了球队,但看起来这支球队还远没有达到最佳水平。

法国队有一些杰出的球员——欧吉尼·勒索默是他们的历史进球纪录,自从回到国家队以来,他在三场比赛中打进了三球。温迪·雷纳德上尉是后面的关键人物。她是这样的领袖,有这么多的经验,赢得了这么多的冠军在俱乐部水平。毫无疑问,她是世界上最好的后卫之一,如果法国队要走得更远,她将发挥重要作用。

他们需要进球和更多的前场威胁,这是一场很难在一场比赛中解决的任务。尤其是面对巴西这样的强队。

巴西队显然是这个小组的热门,他们在上一场比赛中以4:0战胜了巴拿马。如果在这里取得胜利,他们就已经进入了决赛,并且可以在最后一轮对阵牙买加的比赛中进行一些轮换,让最好的球员在最后阶段休息。他们希望在本届世界杯上走得更远,是一支令人兴奋的球队,喜欢用与西班牙和日本相似的方式传球。法国队将花费大量的精力试图压制和逼抢对手。

在对阵巴拿马的比赛中,他们显然控制了比赛,他们的前锋博尔赫斯表现出色,他打进了三个高质量的进球。

他们也有一些顶级球员,如世界杯历史最佳射手玛尔塔,17个进球,同为前锋的德比尼亚,以及前阿森纳后卫拉斐尔,他在后防线上表现出色。

从门将一直到边路,巴西队充满了天赋。他们踢得很有天赋,很自由,肯定能在这里统治法国。

在这个选择中,也没有理由

n去看法国的最爱。巴西实力更强,显然是一支更好的球队。法国也需要积分,但巴西也输不起。

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