In my opinion Corinthians have all required tools to avoid loss in today's first part of Copa do Brasil semifinal.

For Sao Paulo not coming here full of confidence as fhey failed to win at this stadium since was opened in 2014 (17 matches in a row!!!). When both teams played each other in knock out stages - Corinthians won in 17 or 23 ties. Mental advantage is on their side, no doubt about that.

Home ground really should make big difference in this game. In current season Corinthians didn't lost in 5 of 6 home league matches (in previous season they didn't lost in 16 of 19). On the other hand Sao Paulo is so poor on the road - they failed to win in all 8 away matches in Serie A!

For sure Corinthians are not in worse form than Sao Paulo at the moment. Hosts didn't lost in last 5 matches in a row in all competitions (4 wins in the process). Sao Paulo had streak of 6 matches without a loss, but 4 days ago they lost 1:2 in league game on away against Cuiaba.

Corinthians today will play with very strong line up - we will see on the pitch all their best players like top scorer Guedes (he is fresh, coming back from suspension), Fagner, Murillo, Yuri Alberto or Fausto Vera.

According to the ratings, Rafinha is second-best Sao Paulo player in current season. At Sunday he was in Europe (Munich, Germany) for special event created by Bayern. Hard to expect top quality performance from him today.

On those circumstances I don't see Sao Paulo as a favorite of this game. Without any shadow of doubt value here is on home side .

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在我看来，科林蒂安在今天的巴西杯半决赛的第一部分中都需要避免输球。

对于圣保罗来说，他们没有信心来这里，因为他们自2014年开放以来没有在这个球场赢过球(连续17场比赛!!)当两支球队在淘汰赛阶段相遇时，科林蒂安在17或23场比赛中获胜。毫无疑问，心理优势在他们这边。

主场在这场比赛中应该会起很大作用。本赛季，科林蒂安在6场主场联赛中5场未输(上个赛季，他们在19场主场比赛中16场未输)。另一方面，圣保罗在客场表现太差了——他们在意甲的8场客场比赛都没赢过!

当然，科林蒂安目前的状态并不比圣保罗差。东道主在所有赛事中最近5场比赛都没有输过(4场胜利)。圣保罗已经连续6场比赛不败，但4天前他们在客场1:2输给了库亚巴。

科林蒂安今天的阵容非常强大——我们将在场上看到他们所有最好的球员，比如头号射手古德斯(他刚刚停赛归来)、法格纳、穆里略、尤里·阿尔贝托和福斯托·维拉。

根据评分，拉菲尼亚是本赛季圣保罗第二好的球员。周日，他在欧洲(德国慕尼黑)参加了拜仁举办的特别活动。今天很难期待他有高质量的表现。

在这种情况下，我不认为圣保罗是这场比赛的热门。毫无疑问，这里的价值在主场。

07月26日科林蒂安 VS 圣保罗比赛分析直播