Talleres Cordoba VS Gimnasia La Plata

Talleres Córdoba host Gimnasia La Plata for this Argentinian Liga Profesional round 26 battle at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This is the first tier of Argentinian football. This league is of pretty good level by global standards but football fans and us football bettors should not expect a particularly entertaining encounter here. I expect the visitors to defend very hard in this game and they would most probably be happy with a draw.. The probability of under 2.5 total goals to be scored is definitely bigger than the bookies estimate – 63% to be precise. Based on my sophisticated, in-depth – strongly data-based analysis the visitors have a very big chance - (72.50%) to avoid losing by more than a margin of one goal. Odds of close to 1.50 are widely available for the +1.5 goals handicap option at the time of writing this analysis late Tuesday evening Beijing time! I do not expect Gimansia La Plata to significantly increase the risk-level even if they end up trailing by a margin of one goal..They probably would not be able to take that clear control of the game even if they tried as the hosts are a strong team with quite a lot of individual skill.. In Argentina the fans are usually very demanding and loud and expect their team to be aggressive, sometimes even taking clearly (too) big risks at home especially against worse opponents.. Furthermore, they sometimes frustrate pretty fast if their team is unable to score – or at least create a lot of scoring chances - this could potentially have a negative effect on the players..The visitors will most probably mainly rely on fast counter attacks, corner kicks, free kicks or a possible penalty kick to score here. I want to highlight that they can be very dangerous on counter attacks even at this level and the hosts’ defense does have some vulnerabilities.. Indeed, they have allowed 20 goals so far but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is higher – 23.01 to be precise. We should not be fooled by their record in their latest five games – just one goal allowed that is. The opponent has been very unlucky in many of these five matches! However, their defense has looked more solid – especially in terms of structure lately than some months ago.. Their offense, on the other hand, has significantly declined recently. It has lacked creativity, speed, passing accuracy and the midfielders have not been active enough in attacking.

The hosts have not won any of their latest seven games by a margin of more than one goal! In fact, they have only won four of these seven matches. Furthermore, they have scored just four goals in their most recent five games. At home they have now played two draws in a row scoring just once. The odds of around 1.50 offered by the sometimes pretty smart bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers are way too low! Even so, the hosts deserve to be solid favorites here as they have an edge in all areas of the game. They currently occupy the 2nd place in the standings with 48 points to their account. However, their number of expected points is just 43.12. I have them in 6th place in my power rating that reflects the teams’ pure class.. The visitors, on the other hand, occupy the 22nd place in the standings and have taken 28 points. This is a disappointment but they have the potential to improve, especially defensively. They have allowed too many goals – 35 to be precise. However, their number of goals allowed (xGA) is 29.76. They are in 13th place in my power rating. The teams last locked horns in October 2022 and Talleres Cordoba won 2-1 at home after a pretty balanced clash - rather interestingly as underdogs on the betting market! Let's keep in mind that last season Gimnasia La Plata grabbed six more points than the hosts and also had a much better score difference! Yes, it is clar that the bookies have reacted too much to the hosts’ good season and way too heavily on Gimnasia La Plata’s struggles this season.. The visitors were unlucky to lose to an iconic club in Argentina, Boca Juniors, in their latest game 1-3 at home as clear underdogs – priced around 3.70 to win.I want to highlight Boca Juniors are a rich and very dangerous team despite being disappointing this season.. Gimnasia la Plata recorded many more goal attempts (19-8), shots on and off goal, corner kicks (11-4), attacks as well as dangerous attacks! They also generated 0.98 in expected goals – the visitors were lucky as their number was just 0.43! An irriting loss indeed and I expect the visitors to be eager to make something happen here!

塔列斯·科尔多瓦VS吉纳西亚·拉普拉塔

北京时间周二凌晨，塔雷雷斯Córdoba主场迎战金纳西亚·拉普拉塔，将在马里奥·阿尔贝托·肯佩斯球场进行阿根廷职业联赛第26轮的比赛。这是阿根廷足球的第一梯队。按照全球标准来看，这个联赛的水平相当不错，但球迷和美国的足球投注者不应该期望在这里看到一场特别有趣的比赛。我希望客队在这场比赛中会非常努力地防守，他们很可能会对平局感到高兴。总进球数少于2.5球的概率肯定比博彩公司估计的要大——准确地说是63%。根据我复杂的、深入的、基于数据的分析，客队有很大的机会(72.50%)避免输掉超过一个球的差距。在北京时间周二晚上写这篇分析的时候，接近1.50的赔率广泛适用于+1.5个进球的障碍选项!我不认为拉普拉塔会大幅提高风险水平，即使他们最终落后一球，他们也可能无法完全控制比赛，因为东道主是一支拥有很多个人技术的强队。在阿根廷，球迷通常要求很高，声音很大，他们希望自己的球队有侵略性，有时甚至在主场冒很大的风险，尤其是面对实力更强的对手。此外，如果他们的球队无法得分，或者至少创造出很多得分机会，他们有时会很快让球员感到沮丧，这可能会对球员产生负面影响。客队很可能主要依靠快速反击、角球、任意球或可能的点球来得分。我想强调的是，即使在这种水平上，他们的反击也是非常危险的，东道主的防守确实有一些漏洞。事实上，到目前为止，他们已经丢了20个球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)更高，准确地说是23.01个。我们不应该被他们最近五场比赛的战绩所愚弄——他们只丢了一个球。对手在这五场比赛中的许多场都很不走运!然而，他们的防守看起来更加稳固——尤其是在结构方面，最近比几个月前。另一方面，他们的进攻最近明显下降。它缺乏创造力，速度，传球准确性，中场球员在进攻中不够活跃。

东道主在最近的七场比赛中没有赢过一球以上的比赛!事实上，他们在这七场比赛中只赢了四场。此外，他们在最近的5场比赛中只进了4球。在主场，他们已经连续两场战平，只进了一个球。有时非常聪明的赌徒接受客户的最大赌注，他们提供的1.50左右的赔率太低了!即便如此，东道主应该是最受欢迎的，因为他们在比赛的各个方面都有优势。他们目前在积分榜上排名第二，有48分。但是，他们的期望值只有43.12分。我把他们排在我的力量排名第6位，这反映了球队的纯粹水平。另一方面，客队在积分榜上排名第22位，拿到了28分。这是令人失望的，但他们有潜力提高，尤其是防守。他们丢了太多的球——准确地说是35个。然而，他们的失球数(xGA)是29.76个。他们在我的能量评级中排名第13位。这两支球队上一次交锋是在2022年10月，塔列雷斯·科尔多瓦在一场势均力敌的比赛后，在主场以2比1获胜——有趣的是，他们在博彩市场上处于劣势!让我们记住，上赛季拉普拉塔比东道主多拿了6分，而且比分差距也大得多!是的，很明显，博彩公司对东道主本赛季的好表现反应过度，而对拉普拉塔本赛季的挣扎反应过度。客队不幸在最近一场主场1-3输给了阿根廷的标志性俱乐部博卡青年队，他们显然处于劣势——胜率约为3.70英镑。我想强调博卡青年队是一支富有且非常危险的球队，尽管本赛季令人失望。吉纳西亚·拉普拉塔的进球次数(19胜8负)、射门次数(11胜4负)、角球次数(11胜4负)、进攻次数以及危险进攻次数都更多!他们还创造了0.98的预期进球——客队很幸运，因为他们的预期进球只有0.43!这确实是一个令人恼火的损失，我希望游客们渴望在这里有所作为!