Tapio头像
外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
  • 2

    方案

  • 17

    粉丝

GREAT results in this league!

2023-07-24

比赛分析

罗甲

已完赛

星期一2023-07-24 23:30

客队佩特罗鲁LOGO

佩特罗鲁

解读理由

Botosani vs Petrolul Ploitesti


Botosani welcome Petrolul for this Romanian Liga 1 round 2 battle at Stadionul Municipal late Monday evening Beijing time. I know Romanian football exceptionally well and we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here! The results my fans and I achieved last season were impressive and we also won both picks on this league last week! I do not know exactly why the bookies make so many clear mistakes with their odds in this league even in the summer when their main focus – the top European leagues are on a break.. The level of Liga 1 is mediocre by European standards. Here we cannot expect a super good-level or entertaining game even by this league's standards.. Furthermore, at the early stages of the season no team's offense is usually in top form.. Defending is, of course, more easy than attacking. Indeed, based on my in-depth, strongly data-based analysis the goal expectancy here is lower than the betting market estimates. The probability of under 2.5 goals to be scored is 66%.The probability of a draw is also pretty high – 31% to be precise. This result would be enough to bring my fans and me yet another winner betting on this league with the +0.5 goals handicap on Petrolul! The biggest, sometimes pretty sharp bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers see the hosts as solid favorites offering them odds of around 2.15-2.20 at the time of writing this preview Monday afternoon Beijing time at least. However, I would not be at all surprised to see their odds go down before the kickoff.. I must strongly disagree with the bookies! Based on my careful analysis this match is a coin toss – a 50-50% game without an actual favorite.

Botosani faced Voluntari away from home in their previous game a week ago. They were the underdogs, of course, in this game but very perhaps even more lame than I expected.. Yes, they had 55% ball possession but lost 1-2 and the hosts fully deserved the three points. Voluntari recorded many more goal attempts (12-8), corner kicks as well as dangerous attacks – 63-44. The hosts' A. Nemec also missed the penalty in the 44th minute. Voluntari could easily have scored 1-2 goals in the first half. They finally broke the this time surprisingly shaky Botosani defense in the 54th minute and went to take a 2-0 lead in the 59th minute. After that they understandably became more defensive and Botosani were able to control the ball more than early into the match but did not create that much danger. The 2-1 goal was an own goal. They would probably have to improve - or get lucky to beat Petrolul today. Voluntari also recorded more shots on and off goal in this game but - mainly after the 2-0 goal - Botosani recorded so many attacks that in the end the total attacks statistic was 89-74 in their favor. Before the match against Voluntari Botosani got hammered by a big strong Hungarian team, Ferencvaros, 3-0. This team lost to a small team, Klaksvik 0-3 last week at home – shocking the football world! ! Furthermore, before this, on the 28th of June, Botosani were crushed by Polish Legia 5-0 in a friendly at a neutral location. After that they defeated a very small team from Cyprus, Zakakiou, 3-0 at home as massive favorites according to the bookies. The visitors have an edge in all areas of the game and according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com their squad also has a bigger market value than the hosts. Moreover, the Botosani squad is, in my view, not worth the listed 8.7 million euros!

I do not believe that the hosts will be very confident coming into this difficult game even in front of their loyal and pretty loud fans.. They were disappointing in most games late last season winning just 1/5 games. The only win they achieved in the last round of the Relegation Group was at home over an abysmal team, Mioveni, who had nothing left to play for and seemed to have lost all will to truly fight on the pitch.. They were priced around 1.22-1.28 to win the game by the bookmakers. Petrolul finished last season in the Relegation group with 34 points - three more points than Botosani. Despite losing two last games last season they played relatively well in the last 10 games last season. In their latest game they faced a dangerous team, U. Cluj, at home and it was a 1-1 draw as slim underdogs according to the bookies. Petrolul's Budescu missed a penalty in the 59th minute and the hosts could easily have won the game. They had 53% ball possession and recorded many more attacks and dangerous attacks. Both teams managed eight goal attempts though. They can improve from this game and I do trust their coach ahead of today's clash. Before the U. Cluj match Petrolul played 1-1 draw against Osijek in a friendly game as big underdogs.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

Botosani vs . petrol Ploitesti


北京时间周一晚间,波托萨尼将在市政体育场迎来罗马尼亚甲级联赛第二轮的比赛。我非常了解罗马尼亚足球,我们在这里还有一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!我和我的球迷上赛季取得的成绩令人印象深刻,上周我们还赢得了联赛的两个选秀权!我不知道为什么博彩公司在这个联赛的赔率上犯了这么多明显的错误,即使是在他们的主要关注点——欧洲顶级联赛正在休息的夏天……按照欧洲的标准,西甲的水平是中等的。在这里,即使按照联盟的标准,我们也不能期待一场超级高水平或有趣的比赛。此外,在赛季初期,通常没有球队的进攻处于最佳状态。当然,防守比进攻容易。事实上,根据我深入的、强有力的基于数据的分析,这里的进球预期低于博彩市场的估计。进不到2.5球的概率是66%。平局的概率也相当高——准确地说是31%。这个结果将足以给我和我的球迷带来另一个赢家,在这个联赛中以+0.5个进球的劣势投注汽油!至少在北京时间周一下午撰写这篇预告时,接受客户最大赌注的最大、有时相当精明的博彩公司认为东道主是最受欢迎的,赔率在2.15-2.20左右。然而,如果在开球前看到他们的赔率下降,我一点也不会感到惊讶。我必须强烈反对赌马公司!根据我的仔细分析,这场比赛是一场掷硬币的比赛,没有真正的偏爱。

博托萨尼一周前在客场对阵了志愿塔里队。当然,他们在这场比赛中处于劣势,但可能比我想象的还要差劲。是的,他们有55%的控球权,但是1-2输了,主队完全配得上三分。沃尔塔里的进球次数更多(12胜8负)、角球和危险进攻(63胜44负)。东道主A. Nemec在第44分钟也罚丢了点球。沃尔塔里本可以在上半场轻松打进1-2球。他们终于在第54分钟打破了波托萨尼的防守,并在第59分钟取得了2-0的领先。在那之后,可以理解的是,他们变得更加防守,博托萨尼能够比比赛开始时更多地控制球,但没有制造太多的危险。2比1的进球是乌龙球。他们可能需要改进——或者今天能打败石油公司就很幸运了。沃尔塔里在本场比赛中也有更多的射门和射门,但主要是在2-0进球之后,博托萨尼的进攻次数太多,最终他们的总进攻数据是89比74。在与博托萨尼的比赛之前,他们被强大的匈牙利球队费伦瓦罗斯以3比0击败。这支球队上周在主场0-3输给了一支小球队克拉克斯维克,震惊了足球界!! 此外,在此之前,6月28日,波托萨尼在一个中立地点的友谊赛中以5比0被波兰莱吉亚击败。在那之后,他们在主场以3比0击败了一支来自塞浦路斯的小球队扎卡库,根据博彩公司的说法,这支球队非常受欢迎。客队在比赛的各个方面都有优势,根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,客队的市场价值也高于主队。此外,在我看来,博托萨尼的阵容不值标价的870万欧元!

我不相信东道主会很有信心进入这场艰难的比赛,即使面对他们忠实的球迷。上赛季末的大部分比赛他们都令人失望,只赢了1/5场比赛。他们在降级组最后一轮取得的唯一一场胜利是在主场战胜了一支糟糕的球队米奥韦尼,后者已经没有什么可以为之效力的了,似乎已经失去了在球场上真正战斗的所有意志。博彩公司将他们的价格定在1.22-1.28左右,以赢得比赛。上个赛季,汽油队以34分的成绩排在保级组,比博托萨尼多3分。尽管上赛季输掉了最后两场比赛,但他们在最后10场比赛中表现相对不错。在最近的一场比赛中,他们在主场面对一支危险的球队克鲁日,根据博彩公司的说法,他们以1比1战平,处于微弱的劣势。汽油队的布德斯库在第59分钟错失了一个点球,东道主本可以轻松赢得比赛。他们有53%的控球率,记录了更多的进攻和危险进攻。两队都有8次射门机会。他们可以从这场比赛中取得进步,我相信他们的教练会在今天的比赛前取得进步。在与克鲁日的比赛之前,石油队在一场友谊赛中1-1战平奥西耶克队

我是个大失败者。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。