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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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How many goals they will score today?

2023-07-23

比赛分析

主队北雪平LOGO

北雪平

瑞超

已完赛

星期日2023-07-23 21:00

客队代格福什LOGO

代格福什

解读理由

In my opinion IFK is clear favorite of today's match up.

IFK coming for this game with big mental advantage as they won 2:0 on away in first match of the season between both teams. In previous season IFK won 2:0 against Degerfors in Allsvenskan.

IFK currently is on 6th place and looking good after the break. They made 4 points in 3 matches, all games played against teams ranked higher than Degerfors. I like a lot what I saw from their offensive formation, especially in last two matches. IFK scored 3 goals in last two matches, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 4.60. Team is full of confidence after last round win on away against Mjallby. In last home game IFK lost 1:2 against 5th Halmstad, but that wasn't deserved result at all as they had higher expected goals scored number than opponents.

Degerfors is the worst away team in whole league. They lost 6 of 7 matches on the road and conceded 25 goals in the process. Their defensive formation still looks very unstable after the break as they conceded 6 goals in 3 matches after the break (according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede even more - 7.01). On the other hand today guests going to play without their best scorer Vukojevic so I expect problems at the both ends of the pitch.

On those circumstances IFK looks like very logical choice. They should be able to score more than one goal today.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,IFK显然是今天比赛中最受欢迎的。

IFK带着巨大的心理优势来看这场比赛,因为他们在两队本赛季的第一场比赛中客场2:0获胜。在上一个赛季,IFK在阿尔斯温斯坎以2:0战胜德格福斯。

IFK目前排在第6位,休息后看起来还不错。他们在3场比赛中得到4分,所有比赛都是对阵排名高于德格弗斯的球队。我很喜欢他们的进攻阵型,尤其是最近两场比赛。IFK在最近两场比赛中打入3球,但根据预期进球模型,他们应该打入4.60球。在上一轮客场战胜曼城后,球队充满了信心。在上一场主场比赛中,IFK以1:2输给了排名第五的Halmstad,但这根本不应该是这样的结果,因为他们比对手有更高的预期进球数。

德格弗斯队是整个联盟中最差的客场球队。他们在客场7场比赛中输了6场,丢了25个球。中场休息后,他们的防守阵型看起来仍然很不稳定,他们在中场休息后的3场比赛中丢了6个球(根据预期失球模型,他们应该丢得更多——7.01)。另一方面,今天的客人将失去他们最好的射手武科耶维奇,所以我预计在球场的两端都会出现问题。

在这种情况下,IFK看起来是非常合理的选择。他们今天应该能进不止一个球。

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